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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 25, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 25, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sevilla vs. Getafe Prediction Sevilla 121 28%
Newcastle United vs. Liverpool Prediction Over 3.5 133 28%
Athletic Bilbao vs. Rayo Vallecano Prediction Under 2.25 -112 17%

Combined Odds: +875 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $194.94

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Aston Villa vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Aston Villa vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Villa Park

Game Overview

Aston Villa and Newcastle United face off in the opening weekend of the 2025/26 Premier League season. Both sides finished in the top six last season, with Newcastle fifth and Villa sixth, indicating a closely matched contest with high-quality attacking players on both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Aston Villa ended last season strong with 12 home wins and a potent attacking line led by Ollie Watkins (19 goals). Newcastle finished slightly higher but struggled in pre-season, managing only draws and a loss. Villa's pre-season was more convincing with wins against Roma and Villarreal.
  • Recent head-to-head matches slightly favor Newcastle with a 3-1 win earlier in 2025 and a 3-0 victory in December 2024. However, Villa secured a 4-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025, showing these teams can exchange decisive results.
  • Aston Villa face doubts with Morgan Rogers injured, Ross Barkley out, and Emiliano Martinez suspended, potentially weakening their defensive options. Newcastle's injury updates are less severe but Anthony Gordon's availability is uncertain, impacting their attacking threat.
  • Villa plays at home with strong fan support at Villa Park, a venue where they were formidable last season. Newcastle face travel fatigue and have a less successful pre-season form which may affect their sharpness.
  • Both teams are motivated to start strong after missing out on Champions League qualification narrowly last year. Villa look to build on home advantage and rectify defensive lapses, while Newcastle seek to avoid a slow start given their pre-season struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Aston Villa: 1.3, Newcastle United: 1.97, Draw: 2.6 Aston Villa ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Aston Villa -0.25: 1.01, Newcastle United +25: 1.17 Aston Villa -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3: 1.03, Under 3: 1.19 Under 3 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Aston Villa 27%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3 20%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Aston Villa to win on the moneyline

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Newcastle United vs. Everton Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Everton – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-25
  • Time: 3:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Everton at St James' Park on the final day of the Premier League season. Newcastle, currently 4th in the table, require a win to secure UEFA Champions League qualification. Everton, placed 13th, have had a decent second half of the season under David Moyes but are not in contention for European spots. The match is crucial for Newcastle’s top-five ambitions and Champions League qualification hopes.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has won their final league game in 8 of the last 10 seasons. They have shown strong recent form, including a 2-0 win over Chelsea and a draw with Brighton. Everton has improved since Moyes’ first Premier League victory in January 19 and picked up 28 points thereafter, making them a tougher opponent than earlier in the season.
  • Pre-match simulations by Opta give Newcastle a 67.5% chance of winning versus Everton. Historically, Newcastle has had upper hand in recent matches this season and overall in the league.
  • No specific injury updates available from the search results. It can be inferred that both teams are likely to field strongest available squads given the importance of the fixture.
  • The match is played at Newcastle’s home ground, which gives them a strong home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not explicitly mentioned.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated, needing a win to guarantee Champions League football next season. Everton, mid-table and safe, lack direct stakes but may look to spoil Newcastle’s ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Everton: 710, Newcastle United: -319, Draw: 440 Newcastle United win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Everton: 1.5 -114, Newcastle United: -1.5 -117 Newcastle United -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 3.5: 126, Under 3.5: -169 Under 3.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A Newcastle United victory is the most probable outcome considering their form, motivation, and simulations.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Arsenal vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Arsenal vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Emirates Stadium, London, England

Game Overview

This Premier League match pits Arsenal against Newcastle United on May 18, 2025. Arsenal is seeking to improve their standings, while Newcastle aims to maintain their form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Arsenal has been consistent in the league, while Newcastle has shown impressive resilience, particularly in recent performances against top teams.
  • Recent head-to-heads favor Newcastle, with victories in the Carabao Cup and a Premier League win earlier in the season.
  • Arsenal faces several injuries, including L. Trossard and Gabriel Jesus, which could weaken their lineup. Newcastle has injuries as well, notably to S. Botman and Joelinton.
  • The match is crucial for both teams' end-of-season positioning and may influence their summer transfers and squad dynamics.
  • Arsenal is motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Newcastle looks to maintain their standing in the league table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arsenal: -105, Newcastle United: 260, Draw: 260 Arsenal ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Arsenal: -0.5 -108, Newcastle United: 50 -123 Arsenal ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -141, Under: 2.5 106 Over ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Arsenal -12%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Arsenal is expected to win, given their home advantage and recent form, but Newcastle's recent performances suggest they could cause an upset.

Predicted Score: Arsenal 2, Newcastle 1


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Newcastle United vs. Chelsea Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Chelsea – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 11:00 AM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, ENG

Game Overview

Newcastle United will host Chelsea at St James' Park in a crucial English Premier League fixture. Newcastle currently holds 4th place in the EPL with a strong offensive record, scoring 66 goals and conceding 43, while Chelsea sits 5th with a slightly lower goal tally and defensive record. Newcastle aims to avoid a season series sweep by Chelsea, making this a highly competitive encounter.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has been solid at home with 12 clean sheets this season and a strong goal-scoring form led by forward Alexander Isak with 23 goals and 6 assists. Chelsea, although strong, has struggled away from home with fewer clean sheets and has not dominated Newcastle in recent encounters.
  • Chelsea and Newcastle have a balanced rivalry this season, with Chelsea having an edge in away matches but Newcastle showing resilience at home. The season series so far indicates Chelsea winning earlier, so Newcastle is motivated to respond.
  • No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this match, allowing both sides to field close to their strongest lineups.
  • Weather and pitch conditions at St James' Park are expected to be typical for May in England, favoring the home side accustomed to the venue. The match will be televised live which adds pressure but also motivation to both teams.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their top-four position and avoid being swept by Chelsea in the season series. Chelsea aims to consolidate their position in the league and gain points on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Chelsea: 210, Newcastle United: 110, Draw: 270 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Chelsea: -0.5 at -142, Newcastle United: +50 at 107 Newcastle United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 3.5: 133, Under 3.5: -178 Under 3.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United 20%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 3.5 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win this match narrowly due to home advantage, superior recent form, and motivation levels. A closely contested game with moderate scoring is expected.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Newcastle United vs. Ipswich Town Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Ipswich Town – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-26
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

Newcastle United hosts Ipswich Town in a Premier League match. Newcastle is currently ranked higher and has shown stronger form, while Ipswich struggles in the relegation zone.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle has been performing well, although they recently lost 4-1 to Aston Villa. Ipswich is struggling with just 21 points from 33 games.
  • Newcastle won the last Premier League meeting between the two sides with a 4-0 victory at Portman Road.
  • Ipswich is hampered by injuries which may affect their team dynamics.
  • Newcastle's strong home form could be a significant advantage.
  • Newcastle is motivated to secure a higher league position, while Ipswich fights to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -481, away: 1025, draw: 550 Newcastle United ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread home: -1.5 -166, away: 1.5 124 Newcastle United ★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under over: 3.5 102, under: 3.5 -136 Over 3.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.5 11%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle is likely to win based on their home form and Ipswich's struggles.

Predicted Score: Newcastle United 3, Ipswich Town 0


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Newcastle United vs. Crystal Palace Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Crystal Palace – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-16
  • Time: 6:30 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England

Game Overview

The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace promises to be exciting, with Newcastle aiming to consolidate their top-four position and Crystal Palace seeking to move up from mid-table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has had a solid season, holding a perfect home record with 6 wins. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, has shown strong away performances, winning 6 of 10 matches.
  • Newcastle United leads the head-to-head record with 16 wins out of 31 matches, while Crystal Palace has won only 6.
  • No specific injury details are mentioned, but team performance and strength could be impacted by potential injuries.
  • The home advantage significantly benefits Newcastle United, known for their strong home performances.
  • Newcastle's motivation to secure a top-four spot and Crystal Palace's desire to climb the table will drive both teams to perform well.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle United: -143, Crystal Palace: 350, Draw: 285 Newcastle United to win Not available
Spread Newcastle United: -0.5 -146, Crystal Palace: 50 110 Newcastle United to cover the spread Not available
Over_under Over 2.5: -147, Under 2.5: 110 Over 2.5 Not available

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at -2% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win this match due to their home advantage and strong form against Crystal Palace.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Newcastle United


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Newcastle United vs. Manchester United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Manchester United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 13 April 2025
  • Time: 3:30 PM UTC
  • Location: St James' Park

Game Overview

Newcastle United, currently fifth in the Premier League, faces Manchester United, who are struggling in 13th place. The match promises to be intense, with Newcastle aiming to strengthen their push for European competition spots and Manchester United looking to improve their disappointing season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United has been impressive this season, having recently won the League Cup and maintaining a strong run of form. Manchester United, despite showing signs of recovery, has had a tough season with inconsistent performances.
  • Manchester United historically holds a strong record against Newcastle, but recent matches have favored Newcastle, with them winning four of their last five encounters.
  • Newcastle faces uncertainty over Anthony Gordon's availability due to a groin injury and Joe Willock's concussion. Manchester United sees returns from injuries for some players but still has significant absences.
  • The match's outcome is influenced by the teams' differing motivations, with Newcastle eager to secure a European spot and Manchester United striving to improve their league standing.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated, seeking to capitalize on their strong form to move up the Premier League table. Manchester United aims to build momentum to escape the lower end of the table.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle United: -159, Manchester United: 370, Draw: 310 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Newcastle United: -0.5 -161, Manchester United: 50 121 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.5: -163, Under 2.5: 122 Over 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 -16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United to win 2-1

Predicted Score: Newcastle United 2-1 Manchester United


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Leicester City vs. Newcastle United Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Leicester City vs Newcastle United – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-07
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: King Power Stadium

Game Overview

Leicester City, struggling to avoid relegation, hosts Newcastle United, aiming for a top-four finish. Leicester's recent performances have been dismal, with multiple consecutive losses, while Newcastle has shown resilience and consistency in securing important wins.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Leicester is in poor form with a goal drought, while Newcastle has been performing well with significant victories.
  • Newcastle has a strong recent record against Leicester, including a five-game unbeaten run.
  • Leicester misses Patson Daka and Jannik Vestergaard. Newcastle lacks Alexander Isak, Jamaal Lascelles, Bruno Guimarães, and Joelinton due to injuries or suspension.
  • Newcastle's motivation to secure a Champions League spot could enhance their performance.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated for a top-four finish, which contrasts with Leicester's desperation to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Leicester: 490, Newcastle: -208, Draw: 350 Newcastle United ★★★★☆ 80% Newcastle United -100%
Spread Leicester: 1.5 -168, Newcastle: -1.5 125 Newcastle United -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65% Newcastle United -1.5 -100%
Over_under Over 2.5: -162, Under 2.5: 122 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55% Under 2.5 -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Newcastle United -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 33%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is expected to dominate and win the match 0-2 against Leicester City.

Predicted Score: 0-2


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Newcastle United vs. Brentford Prediction EPL in Soccer

Match Analysis: Newcastle United vs Brentford – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-02
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: St. James' Park

Game Overview

Newcastle United, fresh from their League Cup victory, hosts Brentford in the Premier League. Newcastle seeks to refocus and climb the league standings, while Brentford aims to capitalize on any potential distractions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Newcastle United is currently positioned to challenge for a Champions League spot, while Brentford has shown inconsistency but remains capable of challenging for European positions.
  • No recent head-to-head statistics are provided, but both teams are likely to have a close match given their current form.
  • Newcastle is without Lewis Hall and Sven Botman, with Anthony Gordon questionable. Brentford has several absentees, including Kayode, Fabio, Hickey, Thiago Dasilva, and Gust Nunes, with Rico Henry uncertain.
  • The match may be influenced by Newcastle's recent celebrations and their need to refocus quickly.
  • Newcastle is highly motivated to secure Champions League qualification, while Brentford seeks a strong finish to potentially qualify for European competitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Newcastle: -142, Brentford: 310, Draw: 320 Newcastle United ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Newcastle: -0.5 (-145), Brentford: 50 (109) Newcastle United -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 3.5: 113, Under 3.5: -150 Under 3.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Predicted Outcome

Newcastle United is favored to win due to their current form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Newcastle United


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