Aston Villa and Newcastle United face off in the opening weekend of the 2025/26 Premier League season. Both sides finished in the top six last season, with Newcastle fifth and Villa sixth, indicating a closely matched contest with high-quality attacking players on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
Aston Villa ended last season strong with 12 home wins and a potent attacking line led by Ollie Watkins (19 goals). Newcastle finished slightly higher but struggled in pre-season, managing only draws and a loss. Villa's pre-season was more convincing with wins against Roma and Villarreal.
Recent head-to-head matches slightly favor Newcastle with a 3-1 win earlier in 2025 and a 3-0 victory in December 2024. However, Villa secured a 4-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025, showing these teams can exchange decisive results.
Aston Villa face doubts with Morgan Rogers injured, Ross Barkley out, and Emiliano Martinez suspended, potentially weakening their defensive options. Newcastle's injury updates are less severe but Anthony Gordon's availability is uncertain, impacting their attacking threat.
Villa plays at home with strong fan support at Villa Park, a venue where they were formidable last season. Newcastle face travel fatigue and have a less successful pre-season form which may affect their sharpness.
Both teams are motivated to start strong after missing out on Champions League qualification narrowly last year. Villa look to build on home advantage and rectify defensive lapses, while Newcastle seek to avoid a slow start given their pre-season struggles.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Aston Villa: 1.3, Newcastle United: 1.97, Draw: 2.6
Aston Villa
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Aston Villa -0.25: 1.01, Newcastle United +25: 1.17
Aston Villa -0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 3: 1.03, Under 3: 1.19
Under 3 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Aston Villa 27%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Aston Villa at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England
Game Overview
Newcastle United hosts Everton at St James' Park on the final day of the Premier League season. Newcastle, currently 4th in the table, require a win to secure UEFA Champions League qualification. Everton, placed 13th, have had a decent second half of the season under David Moyes but are not in contention for European spots. The match is crucial for Newcastle’s top-five ambitions and Champions League qualification hopes.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle United has won their final league game in 8 of the last 10 seasons. They have shown strong recent form, including a 2-0 win over Chelsea and a draw with Brighton. Everton has improved since Moyes’ first Premier League victory in January 19 and picked up 28 points thereafter, making them a tougher opponent than earlier in the season.
Pre-match simulations by Opta give Newcastle a 67.5% chance of winning versus Everton. Historically, Newcastle has had upper hand in recent matches this season and overall in the league.
No specific injury updates available from the search results. It can be inferred that both teams are likely to field strongest available squads given the importance of the fixture.
The match is played at Newcastle’s home ground, which gives them a strong home advantage. Weather or other external conditions are not explicitly mentioned.
Newcastle is highly motivated, needing a win to guarantee Champions League football next season. Everton, mid-table and safe, lack direct stakes but may look to spoil Newcastle’s ambitions.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Everton: 710, Newcastle United: -319, Draw: 440
Newcastle United win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Everton: 1.5 -114, Newcastle United: -1.5 -117
Newcastle United -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 3.5: 126, Under 3.5: -169
Under 3.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United -8%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 -5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3.5 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A Newcastle United victory is the most probable outcome considering their form, motivation, and simulations.
This Premier League match pits Arsenal against Newcastle United on May 18, 2025. Arsenal is seeking to improve their standings, while Newcastle aims to maintain their form.
Key Factors to Consider
Arsenal has been consistent in the league, while Newcastle has shown impressive resilience, particularly in recent performances against top teams.
Recent head-to-heads favor Newcastle, with victories in the Carabao Cup and a Premier League win earlier in the season.
Arsenal faces several injuries, including L. Trossard and Gabriel Jesus, which could weaken their lineup. Newcastle has injuries as well, notably to S. Botman and Joelinton.
The match is crucial for both teams' end-of-season positioning and may influence their summer transfers and squad dynamics.
Arsenal is motivated to secure a strong finish to the season, while Newcastle looks to maintain their standing in the league table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Arsenal: -105, Newcastle United: 260, Draw: 260
Arsenal
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Arsenal: -0.5 -108, Newcastle United: 50 -123
Arsenal
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 -141, Under: 2.5 106
Over
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Arsenal -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at -11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Arsenal is expected to win, given their home advantage and recent form, but Newcastle's recent performances suggest they could cause an upset.
Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, ENG
Game Overview
Newcastle United will host Chelsea at St James' Park in a crucial English Premier League fixture. Newcastle currently holds 4th place in the EPL with a strong offensive record, scoring 66 goals and conceding 43, while Chelsea sits 5th with a slightly lower goal tally and defensive record. Newcastle aims to avoid a season series sweep by Chelsea, making this a highly competitive encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle United has been solid at home with 12 clean sheets this season and a strong goal-scoring form led by forward Alexander Isak with 23 goals and 6 assists. Chelsea, although strong, has struggled away from home with fewer clean sheets and has not dominated Newcastle in recent encounters.
Chelsea and Newcastle have a balanced rivalry this season, with Chelsea having an edge in away matches but Newcastle showing resilience at home. The season series so far indicates Chelsea winning earlier, so Newcastle is motivated to respond.
No major injuries reported for either team ahead of this match, allowing both sides to field close to their strongest lineups.
Weather and pitch conditions at St James' Park are expected to be typical for May in England, favoring the home side accustomed to the venue. The match will be televised live which adds pressure but also motivation to both teams.
Newcastle is highly motivated to secure a win to maintain their top-four position and avoid being swept by Chelsea in the season series. Chelsea aims to consolidate their position in the league and gain points on the road.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chelsea: 210, Newcastle United: 110, Draw: 270
Newcastle United
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Chelsea: -0.5 at -142, Newcastle United: +50 at 107
Newcastle United -0.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 3.5: 133, Under 3.5: -178
Under 3.5 goals
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 3.5 2%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United is favored to win this match narrowly due to home advantage, superior recent form, and motivation levels. A closely contested game with moderate scoring is expected.
Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England
Game Overview
Newcastle United hosts Ipswich Town in a Premier League match. Newcastle is currently ranked higher and has shown stronger form, while Ipswich struggles in the relegation zone.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle has been performing well, although they recently lost 4-1 to Aston Villa. Ipswich is struggling with just 21 points from 33 games.
Newcastle won the last Premier League meeting between the two sides with a 4-0 victory at Portman Road.
Ipswich is hampered by injuries which may affect their team dynamics.
Newcastle's strong home form could be a significant advantage.
Newcastle is motivated to secure a higher league position, while Ipswich fights to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -481, away: 1025, draw: 550
Newcastle United
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
home: -1.5 -166, away: 1.5 124
Newcastle United
★★★★☆ 80%
Over/under
over: 3.5 102, under: 3.5 -136
Over 3.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United -9%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 3.5 11%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 3.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle is likely to win based on their home form and Ipswich's struggles.
Predicted Score: Newcastle United 3, Ipswich Town 0
Location: St James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne, England
Game Overview
The Premier League match between Newcastle United and Crystal Palace promises to be exciting, with Newcastle aiming to consolidate their top-four position and Crystal Palace seeking to move up from mid-table.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle United has had a solid season, holding a perfect home record with 6 wins. Crystal Palace, meanwhile, has shown strong away performances, winning 6 of 10 matches.
Newcastle United leads the head-to-head record with 16 wins out of 31 matches, while Crystal Palace has won only 6.
No specific injury details are mentioned, but team performance and strength could be impacted by potential injuries.
The home advantage significantly benefits Newcastle United, known for their strong home performances.
Newcastle's motivation to secure a top-four spot and Crystal Palace's desire to climb the table will drive both teams to perform well.
Newcastle United, currently fifth in the Premier League, faces Manchester United, who are struggling in 13th place. The match promises to be intense, with Newcastle aiming to strengthen their push for European competition spots and Manchester United looking to improve their disappointing season.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle United has been impressive this season, having recently won the League Cup and maintaining a strong run of form. Manchester United, despite showing signs of recovery, has had a tough season with inconsistent performances.
Manchester United historically holds a strong record against Newcastle, but recent matches have favored Newcastle, with them winning four of their last five encounters.
Newcastle faces uncertainty over Anthony Gordon's availability due to a groin injury and Joe Willock's concussion. Manchester United sees returns from injuries for some players but still has significant absences.
The match's outcome is influenced by the teams' differing motivations, with Newcastle eager to secure a European spot and Manchester United striving to improve their league standing.
Newcastle is highly motivated, seeking to capitalize on their strong form to move up the Premier League table. Manchester United aims to build momentum to escape the lower end of the table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Newcastle United: -159, Manchester United: 370, Draw: 310
Newcastle United
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Newcastle United: -0.5 -161, Manchester United: 50 121
Newcastle United
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under
Over 2.5: -163, Under 2.5: 122
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 -16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Newcastle United at -10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United to win 2-1
Predicted Score: Newcastle United 2-1 Manchester United
Leicester City, struggling to avoid relegation, hosts Newcastle United, aiming for a top-four finish. Leicester's recent performances have been dismal, with multiple consecutive losses, while Newcastle has shown resilience and consistency in securing important wins.
Key Factors to Consider
Leicester is in poor form with a goal drought, while Newcastle has been performing well with significant victories.
Newcastle has a strong recent record against Leicester, including a five-game unbeaten run.
Leicester misses Patson Daka and Jannik Vestergaard. Newcastle lacks Alexander Isak, Jamaal Lascelles, Bruno Guimarães, and Joelinton due to injuries or suspension.
Newcastle's motivation to secure a Champions League spot could enhance their performance.
Newcastle is highly motivated for a top-four finish, which contrasts with Leicester's desperation to avoid relegation.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
EV Pick
Moneyline
Leicester: 490, Newcastle: -208, Draw: 350
Newcastle United
★★★★☆ 80%
Newcastle United -100%
Spread
Leicester: 1.5 -168, Newcastle: -1.5 125
Newcastle United -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Newcastle United -1.5 -100%
Over_under
Over 2.5: -162, Under 2.5: 122
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Under 2.5 -100%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Newcastle United -11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 33%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United is expected to dominate and win the match 0-2 against Leicester City.
Newcastle United, fresh from their League Cup victory, hosts Brentford in the Premier League. Newcastle seeks to refocus and climb the league standings, while Brentford aims to capitalize on any potential distractions.
Key Factors to Consider
Newcastle United is currently positioned to challenge for a Champions League spot, while Brentford has shown inconsistency but remains capable of challenging for European positions.
No recent head-to-head statistics are provided, but both teams are likely to have a close match given their current form.
Newcastle is without Lewis Hall and Sven Botman, with Anthony Gordon questionable. Brentford has several absentees, including Kayode, Fabio, Hickey, Thiago Dasilva, and Gust Nunes, with Rico Henry uncertain.
The match may be influenced by Newcastle's recent celebrations and their need to refocus quickly.
Newcastle is highly motivated to secure Champions League qualification, while Brentford seeks a strong finish to potentially qualify for European competitions.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Newcastle: -142, Brentford: 310, Draw: 320
Newcastle United
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Newcastle: -0.5 (-145), Brentford: 50 (109)
Newcastle United -0.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 3.5: 113, Under 3.5: -150
Under 3.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Predicted Outcome
Newcastle United is favored to win due to their current form and home advantage.