Match Analysis: Brest vs Nantes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stade Francis-Le BlΓ©, Brest
Game Overview
A tightly contested Ligue 1 match between Brest and Nantes, two mid-table teams showing defensive solidity and moderate offensive output. Brest holds home advantage, while Nantes boasts the best defense in Ligue 1 this season. Both teams are similarly motivated, with recent form reflecting cautious but competitive play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Brest shows steady form at home but limited scoring capability. Nantes has the league's best defense, conceding only 7 in 6 matches, with an emphasis on tight, low-scoring matches.
- Previous encounters have been close affairs, often ending in draws or narrow wins, highlighting a balanced competitive history.
- No significant injury concerns reported for either side, allowing both teams to field near full-strength lineups.
- Match held at Brest's home stadium advantage with no notable external disruptions expected.
- Both clubs compete closely in the league mid-table, motivating them to gain points, likely resulting in cautious gameplay.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Brest: -113, Nantes: 290, Draw: 260 | Draw | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Brest -0.5: -112, Nantes +50: -108 | Brest -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108 | Under 2.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Draw 62% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 25% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Draw on the moneyline, Brest -0.5 on the spread, and Under 2.5 goals.
Predicted Score: 1-1