Match Analysis: Nantes vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 23 November 2025
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This is a crucial Ligue 1 relegation battle between two struggling teams. Nantes hosts Lorient in matchday 13, with both teams fighting for survival near the bottom of the table. Nantes currently sits 16th with 10 points from 12 matches, while Lorient occupies 17th place, also with 10 points but on a worse goal difference. This six-pointer could significantly impact both teams' survival prospects, with a win potentially lifting the victor as high as 13th place depending on other results.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes has struggled significantly, winning only 2 of their last 12 matches with 4 draws and 6 losses. They recently conceded a devastating 95th-minute equalizer against Le Havre and have failed to win in their last three matches. Lorient has been equally poor, going six matches without a win (3 draws, 3 losses). However, Lorient demonstrates superior offensive capability with 37 goals scored compared to Nantes' 21, and has won 8 matches overall versus Nantes' 4 wins. Defensively, Nantes has conceded 27 goals while Lorient has conceded 31.
• Historically, Lorient has significantly underperformed in this fixture. They have lost all three of their last competitive meetings against Nantes, including a 0-1 away defeat on February 24, 2024. Recent history shows Nantes winning 5-3 at home (September 2023) and Nantes claiming a 1-0 victory at home (February 2023). Lorient's last competitive win against Nantes was a 3-2 home victory on September 11, 2022. This psychological advantage heavily favors Nantes.
• Specific injury information is not available in the provided search results, preventing detailed analysis of squad availability for either team.
• Both teams' recent form has been devastating heading into this match. Nantes' recent 95th-minute concession suggests psychological fragility, while Lorient's winless streak (6 matches) indicates confidence issues. The home advantage strongly favors Nantes at Stade de la Beaujoire, where they typically perform better. Weather conditions and crowd support at Nantes' home ground provide additional advantages.
• This is a critical survival moment for both clubs. A win moves either team closer to safety, while a loss deepens their relegation troubles. Lorient's manager Olivier Pantaloni will be desperate to end their six-match winless streak. Nantes, under Luis Castro (appointed July 2025), need to build on Antoine Kombouare's encouraging end to last season. The desperation factor is equally high for both sides, but Nantes' home advantage and superior head-to-head record provide psychological momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Despite both teams' poor form, Nantes' significant historical advantage in this fixture, home-ground benefit, and marginally better defensive record suggest they will secure a narrow victory. However, both teams' defensive vulnerabilities and limited scoring prowess make goals likely to be at a premium. The match is likely to be tight and competitive, reflecting both teams' desperation and precarious league position.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Nantes (Most Likely) | Alternative: 1-1 Draw | Secondary: 2-1 Nantes

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Match Analysis: Le Havre vs Nantes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Océane, Le Havre, France

Game Overview

Le Havre hosts Nantes in a Ligue 1 clash at Stade Océane. Both teams are mid-table, with Le Havre in 12th and Nantes in 15th. Le Havre has shown a solid defensive approach recently, while Nantes has struggled for results and form, especially after a poor defeat last weekend. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides battling for points to avoid relegation concerns.

Key Factors to Consider

• Le Havre has been steady, with three wins and four draws in their opening 11 matches, recently holding Toulouse to a goalless draw. Nantes has been inconsistent, with only two wins and three draws, and suffered a 2-0 loss to newly-promoted Metz last weekend. Nantes’ performances have been poor, and their new manager Luis Castro has yet to turn things around.
• Historically, Nantes has dominated with 6 wins, Le Havre has 2 wins, and there have been 3 draws in their previous encounters. However, recent meetings have been closely contested, with both teams showing similar form.
• Le Havre has no unavailable players. Nantes is missing Fabien Centonze and Mayckel Lahdo due to injury, which could impact their midfield and defensive options.
• The match is at Stade Océane, where Le Havre has a slight home advantage. The weather is expected to be mild, with no major disruptions anticipated. The fixture is not televised in the UK but is available via Ligue 1 Pass and beIN Sports in the US.
• Both teams are motivated to avoid relegation, but Nantes is under more pressure after a string of poor results. Le Havre will look to capitalize on their home form and Nantes’ recent struggles.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Le Havre is favored to win this match due to their solid home form and Nantes’ recent struggles. However, the match is expected to be close, with a low-scoring outcome likely given both teams’ defensive tendencies.

Predicted Score: Le Havre 1-0 Nantes

Match Analysis: Nantes vs Metz – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-02
• Time: 4:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 match between Nantes and Metz is set for November 2, 2025, at 16:15 UTC. Nantes has home advantage playing at Stade de la Beaujoire. Both teams have had mixed recent performances in the 2025/26 season, with Nantes generally stronger but vulnerable, and Metz struggling near the bottom of the table but having scored an impressive upset win recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes shows relatively solid home form and better overall squad quality but recently had a high-scoring loss. Metz is bottom-placed and winless for their first nine games but stunned second-place Lens with a 2-0 victory, showing potential for resilience and counterattack. Nantes tends to have low-scoring encounters vs Metz historically.
• In the last 11 meetings across all competitions, 10 have seen under 2.5 goals, indicating tight and low-scoring clashes between Nantes and Metz.
• No specific injury reports were available for either team in the data sources, suggesting key players are likely available.
• Playing at home gives Nantes some advantage. Metz’s recent surprise win could boost team morale despite being bottom of the league. Both teams' playing style leads to many corners, highlighted as a betting value.
• Nantes will aim to secure points to push higher in the standings and avoid relegation worry; Metz seeks to continue their breakout moment and escape the bottom of the table. Motivation is balanced but Nantes holds the psychological edge playing at home.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

A cautious match likely to end in a draw with under 2.5 goals but with a notable number of corners due to the teams' aggressive width and crosses.

Predicted Score: 1-1

Match Analysis: Nantes vs AS Monaco – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-29
• Time: 8:05 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes, France

Game Overview

This Ligue 1 match features Nantes, currently ranked 13th, hosting AS Monaco, who hold 6th place. Nantes have struggled to find consistent form with a below-midtable position and 9 points, while Monaco with 17 points show a stronger campaign so far. The game at Nantes’ home ground Stade de la Beaujoire will test Nantes against a higher-ranked Monaco team, which have won more comfortably in recent head-to-heads.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes record 2 wins, 3 losses, and 4 draws in the league this season with 9 points, struggling in attack and defense, reflected by their mid-lower table standing. Monaco are in better form with 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, amassing 17 points. Monaco’s offense is led by key players like A. Fati (5 goals), and midfielders T. Minamino and M. Akliouche contribute to scoring and assists, showing more attacking depth than Nantes.
• Recent head-to-head matches show Monaco dominance, including a 7-1 away victory and 4-0 home win against Nantes in previous seasons, with Nantes only managing a 2-2 draw in one fixture. This historical data favors Monaco as favorites.
• No explicit injury information was found in the current data sources; assume both teams have their main squads available, but midfield and forward form and availability could critically impact the match outcome.
• Match played at Nantes’ home stadium, which can provide some home advantage; however, Nantes’ inconsistent league form and Monaco’s stronger run offset this somewhat. No weather or other disruptive external factor noted. Motivationally, Monaco aim to consolidate a top-six position, while Nantes seek to climb from mid-lower league ranks.
• Monaco is motivated to push solidly for European qualification spots, while Nantes need points to avoid slipping further into relegation battles. This difference likely pushes Monaco to play more confidently, and Nantes might adopt a cautious or counter-attacking approach.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

AS Monaco is favored to win, given their stronger recent form, historical dominance against Nantes, and better offensive output. A cautious Nantes side may struggle to contain Monaco’s attack, but a close game with a moderate goal margin is expected.

Predicted Score: 1-3

Match Analysis: Paris FC vs Nantes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-24
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stade Jean Bouin, Issy-les-Moulineaux, France

Game Overview

Paris FC faces Nantes in Ligue 1, with Paris FC returning to Ligue 1 after a 46-year absence. Currently, Paris FC ranks 11th, while Nantes is in 15th place.

Key Factors to Consider

• Paris FC is showing promise in their first season back in Ligue 1, while Nantes has been struggling with consistency, drawing their last three matches.
• Historical head-to-head data between Paris FC and Nantes is limited due to Paris FC's recent promotion, but Nantes has generally been more stable in Ligue 1.
• No specific reports of injuries for key players in this match are available.
• Paris FC's home ground advantage and recent promotion momentum might play a role, while Nantes' recent draw streak could affect their confidence.
• Paris FC is motivated to secure a strong position in Ligue 1, while Nantes seeks to improve their standing and avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Paris FC is expected to win, given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Paris FC 2, Nantes 1

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Match Analysis: Nantes vs Lille – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-19
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire, Nantes

Game Overview

Nantes, struggling at 15th, hosts a more in-form Lille (7th) in Round 8 of Ligue 1. Nantes are winless in their last four, drawing three, while Lille comes off a creditable draw with PSG. Both teams need a result: Nantes to climb away from relegation, Lille to push into European places[1][2]. The match is expected to be tight, but Lille's superior squad quality and current form give them a slight edge[2].

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes have just 6 points from 7 games, scoring only 7 goals and conceding 13; Lille have 11 points, scoring 11, conceding 8[5]. Nantes are defensive but lack offensive punch, while Lille show greater attacking threat but have been inconsistent, especially away[4][8].
• Lille dominate the head-to-head with 17 wins to Nantes' 2 and 8 draws; Lille have rarely struggled against Nantes in recent years[6].
• No major injuries or suspensions reported for either side in available sources.
• Nantes are at home, which could aid their defensive setup, but Lille's better squad depth should tell over 90 minutes.
• Nantes are desperate for points; Lille want to build on their respectable start and aim for Europe[3]. Both sides are coming off draws but Lille have more to gain.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Lille are the better team on paper and in form, with a strong historical advantage. Nantes' defensive approach may keep the game tight early, but Lille's quality should eventually break through. Most predictors favor Lille by a narrow margin (0-2 or 1-2)[2][4].

Predicted Score: Nantes 0-2 Lille

Match Analysis: Toulouse vs Nantes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-27
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadium de Toulouse, Toulouse, France

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 match between Toulouse and Nantes will take place at Stadium de Toulouse. Toulouse is currently 7th in the league standings, showcasing solid mid-table form, whereas Nantes are battling relegation, positioned 13th. Toulouse is favored to win, based on recent performances and home advantage, but Nantes seeks to improve their situation.

Key Factors to Consider

• Toulouse has been generally consistent, recently suffering a narrow 1-0 defeat at Auxerre but maintaining a strong home record. Nantes drew 2-2 with Rennes, showing moments of resilience but have been hit by injury and suspensions impacting squad depth.
• Historically, Nantes holds a slight edge with 8 wins to Toulouse's 6, and 9 draws between them. Previous season's meetings were balanced with two matches played. This rivalry is competitive but leans marginally towards Nantes historically.
• Toulouse is missing Niklas Schmidt (cruciate ligament), Rafik Messali (ankle), and Alexis Vossah (suspension). Nantes has key absences including Francis Coquelin (hamstring), Fabien Centonze (knock), and Bahereba Guirassy (leg injury). These absences notably affect midfield and forward options.
• The match venue in Toulouse provides home advantage with familiar conditions and fan support. There are no reported weather or extraordinary external disruptions. Confidence and recent injury concerns may influence tactical approaches.
• Nantes is motivated to climb out of the relegation zone, heightening their urgency. Toulouse aims to maintain or improve their mid-table position and solidify playoff chances, which aligns with sustaining form and home advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse is predicted to win narrowly by leveraging home advantage and deeper squad despite key injuries, with Nantes showing fighting spirit but limited by squad constraints.

Predicted Score: 2-1

Match Analysis: Nantes vs Rennes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-20
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de la Beaujoire – Louis Fonteneau, Nantes, France

Game Overview

Nantes will host Rennes in the French Ligue 1 Round 5 match. Nantes currently rank 14th in the league, having won only one of their first four matches, with some commendable performances despite early defeats. Rennes stand at 6th position with a stronger overall record. The match promises a competitive encounter at Nantes' home ground.

Key Factors to Consider

• Nantes have struggled early this season with three losses and one win but showed solid defensive performances against top sides such as PSG. Rennes have a better record with two wins, one draw, and one loss, including a recent 3-1 victory over Lyon. Nantes have had steady defensive showings while Rennes rely on moments of attacking brilliance but have been somewhat inconsistent.
• Historically, Rennes have dominated this fixture with 16 wins compared to Nantes’ 4 wins and 7 draws across their meetings. The recent seasons have seen Rennes more often victorious, reflecting their higher league standing and form.
• Nantes will miss Fabien Centonze and Bahereba Guirassy due to injury. Rennes are mostly fit, with only Ait Boudlal and Frankowski questionable after recent minor injuries.
• The match is at Nantes' Stade de la Beaujoire, giving Nantes home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not currently noted to be a factor. The match is early in the Ligue 1 season, influencing motivation for points.
• Nantes seek to halt their poor start by leveraging home support, aiming for at least a draw. Rennes look to strengthen their top-half position and build on recent success, appearing motivated to continue their momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

A tight match is expected with Rennes slightly favored due to better form and depth, yet Nantes' solid defense at home makes a Nantes win or draw likely. A conservative prediction favors Rennes to edge a close encounter but a cautious double chance on Nantes is also viable.

Predicted Score: 1-2