Match Analysis: Leeds United vs Tottenham Hotspur – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 11:30 AM UTC
- Location: Elland Road
Game Overview
Leeds United host Tottenham Hotspur in a Premier League clash with contrasting recent form, Tottenham sitting 4th with 11 points while Leeds are 11th with 8 points after six rounds. Both teams show attacking potential but Leeds have been inconsistent at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Tottenham has a strong away record this season with two wins and one draw, while Leeds have struggled to dominate at Elland Road but have scored in all home games this term. Tottenham are undefeated in their last five matches across competitions.
- Recent matchups indicate Tottenham holds an edge, especially away; however, Leeds have shown resilience at home. Past results suggest closely contested games with goals from both sides common.
- Leeds are missing winger Wilfried Gnonto due to a calf injury. Tottenham's key players Dominic Solanke, Randal Kolo Muani, Yves Bissouma, Dejan Kulusevski, and James Maddison remain out, weakening their attacking midfield and forward depth.
- No significant external disruptions noted; normal conditions expected at Elland Road. Match is scheduled mid-October with early season fitness and match rhythm influencing play.
- Leeds seek to improve their mid-table standing and capitalize on home advantage, while Tottenham aims to remain in a top-four contention maintaining their strong start.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Leeds United: +172, Tottenham Hotspur: +143, Draw: +244 | Tottenham Hotspur | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Leeds United +50: -185, Tottenham Hotspur -0.5: +138 | Tottenham Hotspur -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.5: -115, Under 2.5: -115 | Under 2.5 | β β β ββ 62% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Tottenham Hotspur 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Tottenham Hotspur at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Tottenham Hotspur win on the moneyline, with a close and competitive game expected. Spread prediction favors Tottenham -0.5, anticipating a narrow victory. Goal total projected under 2.5, reflecting tight defenses and cautious approach.
Predicted Score: 1-2