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Montreal Alouettes vs. Winnipeg Blue Bombers Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-21
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, Quebec

Game Overview

A closely matched CFL contest between Montreal Alouettes and Winnipeg Blue Bombers, both with near .500 records and recent mixed form, competing at Montreal’s home field under favorable weather conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal holds a slight edge with a 5-4 record compared to Winnipeg's 4-4. Montreal averages 24.5 points per game with slightly better defense (23.9 PA/G) than Winnipeg (28.1 PA/G). Recent form shows both teams trading wins and losses, but Montreal has narrowly lost or won most recent games indicating competitive resilience.
  • Recent H2H data indicates tight contests, with marginal win probabilities (Montreal 54.1% vs Winnipeg 45.9%) and close projected points (Montreal 24.7, Winnipeg 23.0) showing parity between teams.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters have been identified, implying each team should be near full-strength.
  • Playing at Montreal’s Percival Molson Memorial Stadium with mostly clear skies, mild 71°F temperature, and light 3 mph wind presents neutral external conditions, unlikely to affect gameplay or scoring substantially.
  • Montreal’s slightly better standing and home advantage provide motivation to maintain momentum, while Winnipeg is motivated to overcome the spread and assert dominance away from home, creating an evenly matched motivation dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: +168, Winnipeg Blue Bombers: -205 Winnipeg Blue Bombers ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Montreal Alouettes +4.5: -110, Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5: -110 Winnipeg Blue Bombers -4.5 ★★★☆☆ 64%
Over/under Over 48.5: -105, Under 48.5: -115 Under 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 62%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Winnipeg Blue Bombers -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win straight up, covering the 4.5 point spread, with the game total going under 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 26, Montreal Alouettes 20


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BC Lions vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
  • Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
  • No major injury reports given, but Montreal’s quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
  • Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
  • Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline BC Lions: -300, Montreal Alouettes: 240 BC Lions ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread BC Lions -6.5: -118, Montreal Alouettes +6.5: -104 Montreal Alouettes +6.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 51.5: -105, Under 51.5: -115 Over 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline BC Lions -17%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 51.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 51.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26


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Montreal Alouettes vs. Edmonton Elks Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Edmonton Elks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-08
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Montreal Alouettes Home Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes host the Edmonton Elks in a CFL matchup where Montreal is a clear favorite based on recent performance and statistical trends.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes have shown strong form with a projected points per game around 29.5 and a defensive ranking better than Edmonton’s. Edmonton Elks struggle offensively, averaging only 22.7 points per game while allowing 31.8 points, ranking near the bottom of the league.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups favor Montreal decisively: their projected win percentage is over 75% against Edmonton in recent contests reflecting Edmonton's historically poor results here.
  • No critical injuries reported for Montreal; Edmonton has some key offensive players questionable, further weakening their already anemic scoring ability.
  • Game played at Montreal’s home stadium, favoring the Alouettes. Travel and weather conditions are standard and unlikely to impact play significantly.
  • Montreal is looking to solidify playoff positioning and maintain momentum, while Edmonton is currently rebuilding and has little playoff hope, lowering motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal -200, Edmonton +164 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Montreal -4.5 (-105), Edmonton +4.5 (-115) Montreal Alouettes -4.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 51.5 (-110), Under 51.5 (-110) Under 51.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 51.5 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win outright; Cover the -4.5 point spread; Total score Under 51.5 points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 30 – Edmonton Elks 20


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Montreal Alouettes vs. Saskatchewan Roughriders Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Saskatchewan Roughriders – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-02
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders (6-1), holding the best record in the CFL, face the Montreal Alouettes (5-2) with strong defenses and offenses at play. Saskatchewan is slight favorite on the spread and moneyline, with a total points line near 49.5.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Saskatchewan is 6-1 overall and 5-2 ATS, bringing the league's top offense. Montreal is 5-2 with a top-ranked defense, having recently upset Calgary relying heavily on field goals.
  • Recent meetings show competitiveness but Saskatchewan’s superior record and road success indicate a slight edge. The last seen QB performances favor Saskatchewan's Trevor Harris for efficiency and scoring.
  • Montreal's starting QB Davis Alexander is out; McLeod Bethel-Thompson starts and is effective at managing field goal drives, though less dynamic than Harris. Saskatchewan’s key players appear healthy.
  • The game is at Montreal’s home stadium, known for tough conditions and a strong home-field advantage, but Saskatchewan has been perfect on the road this season, mitigating this factor.
  • Saskatchewan aims to maintain league-best record and road dominance; Montreal seeks to leverage home advantage and defensive strength to halt Roughriders.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal +118 / Saskatchewan -142 Saskatchewan ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Montreal +2.5 -105 / Saskatchewan -2.5 -115 Saskatchewan -2.5 ★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under Over 49.5 -115 / Under 49.5 -105 Over 49.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Saskatchewan Roughriders 2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 49.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 49.5 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win outright on the moneyline, cover the 2.5 point spread, and the game to go over 49.5 points

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 23


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Calgary Stampeders vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Calgary Stampeders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-25
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: McMahon Stadium

Game Overview

The Calgary Stampeders host the Montreal Alouettes in a pivotal CFL Week 8 matchup. Calgary enters with a strong 5-1 record, excelling defensively by allowing only 18.5 points per game. Montreal, with a 4-2 record, faces offensive challenges due to key injuries. Calgary’s recent form and defensive pressure are expected to control the game tempo.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Calgary leads with 5-1 straight up and against the spread; Montreal stands at 4-2 SU and 3-3 ATS. Calgary's defense is top-tier, limiting opponents effectively, while Montreal’s offense is impacted by injuries.
  • Recent head-to-head favors Calgary who have shown they can cover spreads and produce consistent wins over Montreal.
  • Montreal’s offensive capabilities are impaired notably by the injury to Alexander, reducing their effectiveness in scoring and quarterback protection.
  • Game played at Calgary’s home venue, McMahon Stadium, giving the Stampeders a home-field advantage with supportive crowd and familiar conditions.
  • Calgary aims to extend their dominance and improve to 6-1, maintaining momentum for playoffs. Montreal looks to overcome setbacks and remain competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Calgary -250, Montreal +202 Calgary Stampeders ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread Calgary -5.5 (-115), Montreal +5.5 (-105) Calgary Stampeders -5.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5 (-110), Under 50.5 (-110) Under 50.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Calgary Stampeders -13%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 50.5 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 50.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Calgary Stampeders to win outright and cover the spread; expect a solid defensive game with the total staying under the line.

Predicted Score: Calgary Stampeders 28 – Montreal Alouettes 20


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Montreal Alouettes vs. Toronto Argonauts Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Toronto Argonauts – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-17
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, currently 3-2, host the struggling Toronto Argonauts, who are 1-4. The Alouettes are favored due to their strong defensive performance and balanced offense, while the Argonauts have struggled with a porous defense and inconsistent offense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal has shown strong defensive metrics, allowing the fewest points per game in the East. Toronto, on the other hand, has a struggling offense and defense, ranking 9th in total offense and 8th in total defense.
  • The Alouettes have had success against the Argonauts historically and have started the season with strong wins.
  • Davis Alexander for the Alouettes was dealing with a hamstring injury but is not expected to miss this game.
  • The Alouettes are playing at home, where they typically perform well, while the Argonauts are on the road.
  • The Alouettes are motivated to maintain their strong start, while the Argonauts are looking to turn their season around.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: -420, Toronto Argonauts: 320 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Montreal Alouettes: -8.5 -110 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over: 50.5 -115, Under: 50.5 -105 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal is expected to win given their strong form and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31, Toronto Argonauts 20


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Montreal Alouettes vs. BC Lions Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs BC Lions – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-05
  • Time: 11:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-1) are hosting the BC Lions (1-3) in a key CFL matchup. Montreal holds home-field advantage and positive momentum with a strong 3-1 record, while BC has struggled both on the road and overall, going 1-3. The game is expected to feature disciplined play by Montreal against an inconsistent BC Lions team that boasts an impressive passing attack but is hampered by turnovers and defensive issues.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes are 3-1 both straight up and against the spread, winning their only home game so far. BC Lions have a 1-3 record both straight up and ATS, and are 0-2 on the road. Montreal averages 29.2 points per game and 21.4 allowed recently, while BC averages around 20.4 points with a higher opponent scoring rate.
  • Historically, BC Lions have dominated the matchup with 18 wins to Montreal's 9 since 2010. However, recent form favors Montreal who have covered the spread 80% of the last five meetings and averaged higher points scored. BC has only covered 20% ATS in last five meetings.
  • No significant injury information is currently available impacting the starters for either team.
  • The match is at Montreal’s home stadium which gives them a strategic advantage. Recent games have shown BC’s defense allowing significant yardage and struggling against efficient Montreal offense. Montreal’s momentum and home crowd support could influence gameplay.
  • Montreal aims to consolidate their lead in the East Division with another home win and extend their strong start. BC is motivated to improve their road record and bounce back from recent defeats, particularly addressing turnovers and defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes: -196, BC Lions: 162 Montreal Alouettes ★★★☆☆ 67%
Spread Montreal Alouettes: -3.5 -115, BC Lions: +3.5 -105 Montreal Alouettes -3.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes 1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win at home, expected to dominate the game by protecting the football and maintaining scoring pressure. BC Lions may struggle to overcome turnovers and defensive inconsistencies, resulting in a Montreal win covering the spread.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 29 – BC Lions 20


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Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Hamilton Tiger-Cats vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-27
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Tim Hortons Field, Hamilton, Ontario

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (3-0) visit the Hamilton Tiger-Cats (0-2) at Tim Hortons Field. Montreal enters the game undefeated and favored, having shown strong offensive performances in their wins, while Hamilton has struggled out of the gate seeking their first victory. The Alouettes are expected to remain dominant with a solid defense and efficient offense, whereas Hamilton will need to overcome early season challenges to compete effectively.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal Alouettes boast a perfect start to the season (3-0), with effective offensive output averaging over 30 points per game and a defense that has limited opponents decisively. Hamilton Tiger-Cats, conversely, have started 0-2, struggling to find offensive rhythm and defensive consistency.
  • Recent matchups favor Montreal, who have been more consistent in victories against Hamilton in the past season. Montreal’s confidence and momentum add to their advantage in the head-to-head context.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key starters for either team have been noted leading into this game, providing both teams near full-strength lineups.
  • The game is played at Hamilton's home stadium, which can give the Tiger-Cats some home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be neutral with no extreme conditions forecasted, minimizing external impact on gameplay.
  • Montreal is motivated to maintain their undefeated record and assert dominance early in the CFL season, while Hamilton is driven to salvage their season start and gain momentum with their first win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Hamilton Tiger-Cats: +118, Montreal Alouettes: -142 Montreal Alouettes win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Hamilton Tiger-Cats +2.5: -105, Montreal Alouettes -2.5: -115 Montreal Alouettes -2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 50.5: -115, Under 50.5: -105 Over 50.5 points ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 50.5 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 50.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are predicted to win the match, covering the -2.5 spread with a moderately high confidence, as their strong form and consistent play suggest continued success against a struggling Hamilton team.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28 – Hamilton Tiger-Cats 21


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Edmonton Elks vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Edmonton Elks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: June 19, 2025
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Commonwealth Stadium, Edmonton

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, undefeated so far, face the Edmonton Elks, who are looking to bounce back from their season-opening loss. The Alouettes are favored by 5.5 points, reflecting their strong start to the season.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal has shown strong performance early in the season, while Edmonton is seeking to improve after a Week 1 loss. Montreal's undefeated status gives them a psychological edge.
  • Historically, Montreal has had mixed results against Edmonton, but their current form suggests a slight advantage.
  • No significant injury reports are available that could impact the game's outcome.
  • Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game's tempo, but Montreal's away record is untested this season.
  • Edmonton is highly motivated to secure a win at home, while Montreal aims to maintain their undefeated streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Edmonton Elks: 188, Montreal Alouettes: -230 Montreal Alouettes ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Edmonton Elks: 5.5 -115, Montreal Alouettes: -5.5 -105 Montreal Alouettes cover the spread ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over: 48.5 -115, Under: 48.5 -105 Over 48.5 points ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 48.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 48.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win, given their strong start and performance this season.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 28, Edmonton Elks 21


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Ottawa Redblacks vs. Montreal Alouettes Prediction CFL in American Football

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Match Analysis: Ottawa Redblacks vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-06-13
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: TD Place Stadium

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes, coming off a strong 28-10 win over the Toronto Argonauts, look to continue their winning streak against the Ottawa Redblacks. Ottawa, following a 31-26 loss to the Saskatchewan Roughriders, aims to bounce back with a home victory.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Montreal dominated Toronto with 354 yards of offense and held them to 276 yards. Ottawa had 398 yards of offense but struggled with turnovers against Saskatchewan.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not available, but Montreal's opening win suggests a strong performance.
  • No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
  • Home advantage could be crucial for Ottawa, but Montreal's initial win momentum might offset this.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Montreal seeking a second win and Ottawa looking to redeem themselves after a tough loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -255 / 205 Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 80%
Spread -5.5 (-122) / 5.5 (100) Montreal Alouettes ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under 46.5 (-106 / -114) Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Montreal Alouettes -10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 46.5 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 46.5 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes are favored to win based on their strong opening performance and consistent play.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 24, Ottawa Redblacks 17


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