Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Ottawa Redblacks – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-13
• Time: 5:05 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

Montreal Alouettes (8-7) face Ottawa Redblacks (4-11) in Week 19 of the 2025 CFL season. Montreal has secured a playoff spot and looks to build momentum, while Ottawa is eliminated and likely not fielding their strongest lineup. Montreal is a heavy favorite at home, with the spread set at -13.5 and total points line at 51.5.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal is on a strong trajectory with QB Davis Alexander (9-0 as CFL starter) returning from injury and delivering high yardage and efficiency. Ottawa struggles with inconsistency and a poor record, recently losing 20-13 to Saskatchewan with turnovers hurting their offense.
• Recent performances show Montreal dominating Ottawa, with Montreal winning the last meetings comfortably. Ottawa has not contested Montreal well, especially with Montreal's solid home advantage.
• Montreal’s QB Davis Alexander returned from hamstring injury effectively. Ottawa’s key offensive players have underperformed or been turnover-prone. No major injury news strongly impacts Montreal, while Ottawa’s depth is questionable given their season status.
• Game played on Thanksgiving Monday, potentially impacting short week dynamics, but Montreal’s motivation to prepare for playoffs is higher. Weather and stadium conditions favor home team consistency.
• Montreal aims to solidify playoff momentum; Ottawa appears to be in 'rebuilding mode' with no postseason stakes, possibly leading to a less motivated or younger roster.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win outright and cover the -13.5 spread with total points expected to finish over 51.5

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 34 – Ottawa Redblacks 17

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Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Calgary Stampeders – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-26
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (7-7) host the Calgary Stampeders (8-5) in a crucial late-season CFL matchup. Montreal is slight favorite at home, with both teams having strong defensive records, suggesting a competitive and potentially lower-scoring game.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal is balanced with a 7-7 record but boasts a strong defense, leading the league in sacks and low yards allowed per play. Calgary comes off a recent heavy loss (52-23 vs Lions), indicating possible offensive struggles and vulnerabilities.
• Recent results favor tight defensive matchups; Montreal holds a defensive edge, especially at home. Historically, games at Percival Molson have been close, with Montreal slightly favored.
• Montreal welcomes back key corner Lorenzo Burns, enhancing their defensive secondary. Calgary had no significant reported injuries but offensive inefficiencies and turnovers remain a concern.
• The game is played at Montreal's home stadium, providing a home crowd advantage. Weather and field conditions at this time of the year in Montreal typically favor defensive play due to cooler temperatures.
• Montreal is fighting to improve its position in the East division playoffs, while Calgary seeks to rebound urgently after a demoralizing loss and maintain momentum for postseason seeding.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes moneyline, Montreal -4.5 spread, Under 50.5 total points

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 27 – Calgary Stampeders 20

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Match Analysis: Toronto Argonauts vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-19
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: BMO Field, Toronto

Game Overview

The Montreal Alouettes (5-7) visit the Toronto Argonauts (4-8) with Montreal a clear favorite given their better recent form and home/away records. Toronto's defense has struggled significantly this season, especially against big plays, putting them at a disadvantage against Montreal's offense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal has been more consistent with a 7-3 SU record in their last 10 home games, while Toronto has given up 38+ points in 2 of their last 3 games and ranks near the bottom defensively in giving up big plays.
• Recent matchups have favored Montreal, and they enter with a better win percentage and recent momentum compared to the struggling Argonauts.
• No major injury reports indicate significant absences impacting either team; both teams are expected to be near full strength.
• The game is at Toronto's BMO Field with typical early fall weather; no adverse conditions expected that would skew play significantly.
• Montreal remains in playoff contention with slightly better odds, increasing motivation, while Toronto is trailing and fighting for relevance, possibly lowering their edge.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Montreal Alouettes to win straight up, cover the -6.5 spread, and the game to go over 50.5 points.

Predicted Score: Montreal Alouettes 31 – Toronto Argonauts 20

Match Analysis: Saskatchewan Roughriders vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Mosaic Stadium, Regina, SK

Game Overview

The Saskatchewan Roughriders, leading the CFL standings at 10-2 and favored to ultimately win the Grey Cup, host the 5-7 Montreal Alouettes. Saskatchewan has strong home advantage and a superior recent form, while Montreal struggles with consistency and key offensive production.

Key Factors to Consider

• Saskatchewan Roughriders are 10-2 this season showing dominant offensive and defensive performances. Montreal Alouettes have gone 5-7, recently losing 26-9 to Hamilton with limited QB and offensive output.
• Historically, Saskatchewan has been the stronger team in this matchup, especially at home. The Riders have won most recent encounters convincingly.
• No major injuries reported for Saskatchewan. Montreal's offense shows signs of stagnation possibly linked to form issues and minor player performance dips but no critical injuries listed.
• Playing at Mosaic Stadium gives Saskatchewan a solid home field advantage with strong fan support. Weather expected to be typical for early fall in Regina, unlikely to negatively impact gameplay materially.
• Saskatchewan is highly motivated to maintain league lead and continue as Grey Cup favorites. Montreal strives to improve playoff hopes but are underdogs and coming off a demoralizing defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Saskatchewan Roughriders to win straight up, cover the -7.5 spread, and the total score to go over 51.5 points.

Predicted Score: Saskatchewan Roughriders 31 – Montreal Alouettes 20

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Hamilton Tiger-Cats – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-06
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, QC

Game Overview

The Hamilton Tiger-Cats (6-5) visit the Montreal Alouettes (5-6) in a crucial CFL matchup. Hamilton is favored by 3 points, with an over/under line around 52.5 points. Both teams have potent offenses but recent form and injuries tilt the balance slightly toward Hamilton.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hamilton has a solid 6-5 record, showing strong passing performance led by Bo Levi Mitchell, who recently threw for 405 yards and 3 TDs despite a loss. Montreal is slightly below .500 and has struggled to consistently contain opposing offenses.
• Recent matchups have leaned slightly in favor of Hamilton, especially given their ability to maintain offensive yardage against Montreal’s defense. Close contests tend to favor the team with the better quarterback play, which currently is Hamilton.
• Available data indicates no key injuries for Hamilton’s starting QB Bo Levi Mitchell or major offensive weapons. Montreal’s status appears stable but with less depth, potentially impacting late-game stamina.
• The game is at Montreal’s home stadium but Hamilton is experienced playing on the road. Weather has no reported adverse conditions affecting play.
• Hamilton, coming off a close loss, is motivated to rebound strongly and solidify playoff positioning. Montreal needs this win to improve their standings and avoid falling further behind.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Hamilton Tiger-Cats moneyline win

Predicted Score: Hamilton Tiger-Cats 29 – Montreal Alouettes 23

Match Analysis: Montreal Alouettes vs Winnipeg Blue Bombers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-21
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Percival Molson Memorial Stadium, Montreal, Quebec

Game Overview

A closely matched CFL contest between Montreal Alouettes and Winnipeg Blue Bombers, both with near .500 records and recent mixed form, competing at Montreal’s home field under favorable weather conditions.

Key Factors to Consider

• Montreal holds a slight edge with a 5-4 record compared to Winnipeg's 4-4. Montreal averages 24.5 points per game with slightly better defense (23.9 PA/G) than Winnipeg (28.1 PA/G). Recent form shows both teams trading wins and losses, but Montreal has narrowly lost or won most recent games indicating competitive resilience.
• Recent H2H data indicates tight contests, with marginal win probabilities (Montreal 54.1% vs Winnipeg 45.9%) and close projected points (Montreal 24.7, Winnipeg 23.0) showing parity between teams.
• No significant injury reports affecting key starters have been identified, implying each team should be near full-strength.
• Playing at Montreal’s Percival Molson Memorial Stadium with mostly clear skies, mild 71°F temperature, and light 3 mph wind presents neutral external conditions, unlikely to affect gameplay or scoring substantially.
• Montreal’s slightly better standing and home advantage provide motivation to maintain momentum, while Winnipeg is motivated to overcome the spread and assert dominance away from home, creating an evenly matched motivation dynamic.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Winnipeg Blue Bombers to win straight up, covering the 4.5 point spread, with the game total going under 48.5 points.

Predicted Score: Winnipeg Blue Bombers 26, Montreal Alouettes 20

Match Analysis: BC Lions vs Montreal Alouettes – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-16
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: BC Place, Vancouver, BC

Game Overview

The BC Lions (4-5) host the Montreal Alouettes (5-4) in a close CFL matchup. BC Lions are slight favorites with a moneyline of -300 and a spread of -6.5 points. The Over/Under is set at 51.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• BC Lions have a 4-5 record with mixed performance offensively and defensively, showing inconsistency and leaving doubts about defense. Montreal Alouettes are 5-4 and recently lost a close game 23-22. Both teams have similar ATS records (4-5).
• Recent H2H shows BC Lions have a slight edge but matches tend to be close, with both teams capable of covering spreads.
• No major injury reports given, but Montreal’s quarterback situation is described as less than ideal, contributing to their offensive uncertainty.
• Game played at BC Place in Vancouver gives BC Lions home-field advantage. Broadcast on TSN increases visibility and motivation.
• Montreal seeks to rebound from a narrow loss, while BC aims to solidify their standing with a home win.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: BC Lions win; Spread: Montreal Alouettes +6.5 covers; Over/Under: Over 51.5 points

Predicted Score: BC Lions 30 – Montreal Alouettes 26