Mirassol hosts Vasco da Gama in a Brazilian Serie A matchup where Mirassol enters as slight favorites based on recent form and home advantage. Vasco da Gama has struggled lately with no wins in their last five games, contrasting with Mirassol's unbeaten streak over the same period.
Key Factors to Consider
Mirassol has a strong recent run: 3 wins, 2 draws, 0 losses in last 5 games. Vasco da Gama has 0 wins, 3 draws and 2 losses in last 5 games, showing clear form gap favoring Mirassol.
Historical data indicates a slight advantage to Mirassol, with a tendency for over 2.5 goals and goals scored by both teams in these encounters.
No notable injury reports affecting the starting line-ups for either team, implying both squads should be near full strength.
Mirassol plays at home with strong local support. The match is televised on multiple channels, indicating normal playing conditions without scheduling conflicts or extreme external pressures.
Mirassol is motivated to maintain strong league position and capitalize on current form, while Vasco da Gama is motivated to end their winless run but are under pressure with recent performance concerns.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mirassol 100, Vasco da Gama 320, Draw 225
Mirassol
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Mirassol -0.5 100, Vasco da Gama +50 -120
Mirassol -0.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115
Under 2.25 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mirassol 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol to win the match on the moneyline, covering the -0.5 spread, with a moderately low scoring game under 2.25 goals.
Mirassol hosts Vitoria in a Série A match where Mirassol exhibits strong recent home form and defensive solidity, while Vitoria struggles with away games and inconsistent offense.
Key Factors to Consider
Mirassol has won 4 of their last 5 games, scoring an average of 1.8 goals and conceding only 0.2 per game. Vitoria has managed 1 win in their last 11 away matches with an average of 0.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game.
Recent head-to-head matches are balanced with each team having 1 win and 1 draw in their last 3 meetings. Historically low-scoring games, averaging around 1.67 total goals, with Mirassol tending to outperform Vitoria in home fixtures.
No major injury reports available that would significantly affect the starting lineups of either side as of the current data.
Match played at Mirassol's home ground where they have strong support and excellent defensive record; no notable external disruptions identified.
Mirassol aims to maintain upward momentum and consolidate their position with strong home performances. Vitoria fights to escape their relegation zone but shows low confidence in away fixtures.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mirassol: -115, Vitoria: 350, Draw: 245
Mirassol
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Mirassol -0.5: -115, Vitoria +50: -105
Mirassol -0.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 68%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mirassol 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol to win on the moneyline; Mirassol -0.5 on spread; Under 2 goals for over/under market
This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Mirassol, two clubs with a competitive recent history and an average of 3 goals per H2H match. Both teams have been involved in relatively high-scoring games, with Mirassol slightly stronger on away form and Ceará having home advantage.
Key Factors to Consider
Ceará scores on average 1.41 goals per game with a home tendency towards under 2.5 goals in most matches. Mirassol averages 1.62 goals per game and tends towards higher scoring especially away.
In 4 recent encounters, Mirassol leads with 2 wins, Ceará has 1 win, and 1 draw, with both teams combining for roughly 3 goals per game on average.
No significant injury reports affecting key players for either side currently available.
Standard conditions with no major disruptions noted, and balanced possession statistics in recent matchups.
Both teams are motivated for a strong showing; Mirassol sitting 3rd and Ceará 5th implies they are competing closely for table positioning, increasing competitiveness.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ceará: 1.15, Mirassol: 2.65, Draw: 2.25
Ceará
★★★★☆ 70%
Spread
Ceará -0.25: -120, Mirassol +25: 100
Ceará -0.25
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2: -120, Under 2: 100
Under 2 goals
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Ceará 29%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Ceará at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Moneyline favoring Ceará to win with slight spread advantage; expect a competitive, moderate goal total game under 2.5 goals.
Location: Estadio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil
Game Overview
The match features Mirassol hosting Santos in the Brazilian Serie A. Mirassol sit mid-table and have had moderate success at home, while Santos recently claimed a notable win against league leaders Flamengo but have been inconsistent overall.
Key Factors to Consider
Mirassol currently ranks 11th with a balanced home record and 4 wins in 12 matches, showing decent form especially at home. Santos’ form is patchy but boosted by a recent win over Flamengo, although their inconsistency may limit dominance.
Mirassol holds a slight edge in previous encounters with Santos, reflected in the slight probability advantage given to Mirassol in winning the match in recent betting analysis.
No significant injuries reported that would drastically affect starting lineups for either team, allowing both sides to field competitive squads.
Match is played at Mirassol's stadium giving them home advantage; favorable weather conditions expected and VAR is in use.
Mirassol motivated to consolidate their mid-table standing with home advantage. Santos motivated to build on their recent high-profile win to improve league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mirassol: 150, Santos: 205, Draw: 215
Mirassol
★★★☆☆ 57%
Spread
Mirassol -0.25 @ 1.12, Santos +25 @ 1.34
Mirassol -0.25
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under
Over 2.25 @ 98, Under 2.25 @ 1.18
Under 2.25
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mirassol 0%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.25 7%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol to win on the moneyline, covering the spread narrowly with a low-scoring match under the total goals line.
The match features Palmeiras, a top-rated team with a strong historical record against Mirassol, hosting Mirassol in the Campeonato Brasileiro 2025. Palmeiras has been the dominant side in head-to-head matchups and holds a higher overall team rating.
Key Factors to Consider
Palmeiras holds a higher win rate overall (56% vs. 45%) and has a better recent form with fewer losses (1 loss in last 9 matches) compared to Mirassol's mixed results. Both teams average about 1.6 goals per match, but Palmeiras' defense is slightly more solid.
Palmeiras leads the H2H record with 9 wins, Mirassol 3, and 2 draws in 14 matches. In recent direct meetings, Palmeiras won 2-0 and 3-1. Average goals per match in these encounters are around 3.14, with a high BTTS (both teams score) rate of 70.83%.
No significant injury reports available that would undermine Palmeiras' starting lineup; Mirassol has no notable absences announced.
The match being played at Palmeiras' home ground provides a strong home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions are assumed standard for the region and time.
Palmeiras is motivated to maintain strong championship positioning, while Mirassol may aim for an upset but has less incentive given the form differential.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Palmeiras: -235, Mirassol: 675, Draw: 350
Palmeiras
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Palmeiras: 102, Mirassol: -122
Palmeiras -1.25
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -115, Under 2.25: -105
Over 2.25
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Palmeiras -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Palmeiras to win on the moneyline, cover the -1.25 spread, and the match to go over 2.25 goals.
Mirassol hosts Sport Recife in a crucial Campeonato match. Recent head-to-head statistics show a closely contested series with both teams having won once and drawing twice in their last four meetings. Mirassol's home performance will be key, as they typically fare better at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Mirassol has shown stronger overall performance in recent matches, with a higher win rate and goal scoring average compared to Sport Recife. However, Sport Recife has been competitive in head-to-head matches.
Head-to-head statistics reveal a balanced series with both teams having one win each and two draws in their last four meetings.
No significant injury updates are available for either team that could impact the match outcome.
Given the current odds, there is a slight bias towards Mirassol due to their home advantage and recent performance.
Both teams are motivated to secure points in the Campeonato, but Mirassol's home advantage could provide an edge in motivation and performance.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Mirassol: 105, Sport Recife: 285, Draw: 235
Mirassol Win
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Mirassol: -0.5 105, Sport Recife: 50 -125
Mirassol to Cover
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over: 2 -125, Under: 2 105
Under
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Mirassol -99%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 -99%
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
Mirassol is likely to win due to their home advantage and recent form. However, Sport Recife's ability to draw and their competitive head-to-head record makes a draw a plausible outcome as well.