Match Analysis: Bahia vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-13
• Time: 7:00 PM UTC
• Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Mirassol in the Brasileirao Serie A on April 13, 2025. Bahia, ranked 13th, and Mirassol, ranked 17th, both seek to improve their standings. Recent performances show both teams have struggled for wins, with Bahia drawing two games and Mirassol losing one and drawing one.

Key Factors to Consider

• Bahia has shown moderate attacking prowess with an average of 1.5 goals per match but has also conceded 1.5 goals. Mirassol has scored fewer goals, averaging one per match but has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals on average.
• Recent head-to-head data is limited, but in general matches, Bahia tends to be more consistent at home.
• No specific injury reports are mentioned as significant factors affecting team lineups.
• Weather conditions in Salvador should not significantly impact the match.
• Both teams are motivated to secure their first win in the season to climb up the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Bahia -175, Mirassol 500, Draw 310	Bahia win	★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread	Bahia -1 100, Mirassol 1 -120	Bahia win by one goal	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.5 105, Under 2.5 -125	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Bahia -14%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is expected to win based on their home advantage and slightly better form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Bahia

Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: April 06, 2025
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Fortaleza in a crucial Campeonato match. Mirassol has a tough recent record, while Fortaleza just secured a significant win against Fluminense.

Key Factors to Consider

• Mirassol has lost several recent matches, while Fortaleza is on the back of a strong win. This could significantly impact their confidence levels.
• This match marks the first encounter between Mirassol and Fortaleza, making historical data irrelevant.
• Mirassol has several players sidelined, which may weaken their lineup. Fortaleza also has injuries, but the impact is less reported.
• Weather and fan support could play a role, but detailed information is not available.
• Both teams are highly motivated to secure early season points, but Fortaleza's recent win might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fortaleza: 180, Mirassol: 165, Draw: 220	Draw or Fortaleza win as most likely outcomes	Not available	Draw or Fortaleza win as most likely outcomes -100%
Spread	Fortaleza: 0 -102, Mirassol: 0 -118	Either team has the potential to outperform, but a draw is plausible.	Not available	Either team has the potential to outperform, but a draw is plausible. -100%
Over_under	Over: 2.25 108, Under: 2.25 -128	Under 2.25 goals seems more likely given the conservative nature of both teams recently.	Not available	Under 2.25 goals seems more likely given the conservative nature of both teams recently. -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fortaleza 11%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Fortaleza's recent form and Mirassol's struggles, Fortaleza is predicted to win or at least draw. However, the lack of head-to-head data complicates predictions.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 0-1 in favor of Fortaleza

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-29
• Time: 9:30 PM UTC
• Location: Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Mirassol in the Brazilian Serie A, marking the start of their season. Cruzeiro is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

• Cruzeiro's recent performances have been mixed, with a few draws and losses in their last matches. Mirassol's data for recent games is not available.
• Recent head-to-head data is not provided, which complicates predicting outcomes based solely on past encounters.
• No specific information on team injuries for this match is available.
• Weather conditions in Belo Horizonte are typically mild, but no specific impacts on the game are noted.
• Cruzeiro, playing at home, might have an advantage in motivation due to fan support.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Cruzeiro: -195, Mirassol: 600, Draw: 310	Cruzeiro	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Cruzeiro: -1 -115, Mirassol: 1 -105	Cruzeiro	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over: 2.25 -115, Under: 2.25 -105	Over	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro is predicted to win based on home advantage and being favored by the odds.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Cruzeiro