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Mirassol vs. Atletico Mineiro Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Atletico Mineiro – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 26 Apr 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, Brazil

Game Overview

Mirassol (11th) hosts Atletico Mineiro (17th) in a Brasileiro Serie A clash where both seek points for league advancement. Mirassol holds a 50% home win rate, while Mineiro has 3 draws in their last 6 matches but carries a 3-game away losing streak[5].

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol demonstrates balanced home form (50% win rate). Atletico Mineiro struggles away with recent defensive frailties, conceding in 3 consecutive away defeats[5].
  • No recent direct H2H stats available, but Mineiro shows higher historical competitiveness with 78% six-month win rate vs Mirassol's 33% (season context unclear as these stats appear contradictory to league positions)[3][5].
  • No injury data available in sources
  • Home advantage for Mirassol at Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, a venue where they've demonstrated mid-table stability[5].
  • Both teams need points to escape lower-table positions, with Mineiro particularly desperate given their 17th-place standing[5].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Mirassol 210 | Draw 230 | Atletico Mineiro 135 Value lean toward Mirassol given odds discrepancy vs performance trends 65% (moderate)
Spread Mineiro -0.25 (100) | Mirassol +25 (-120) Mirassol +0.25 covers (negative odds reflect market caution) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25 (102) | Under 2.25 (-122) Under (67% of Mineiro's recent games saw <2.5 goals)[5] ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Mirassol 24%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Mirassol at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Mirassol edges match through home advantage and Mineiro's away struggles, but low-scoring affair likely

Predicted Score: 1-0 Mirassol (aligning with Forebet's 2-0 prediction but adjusted for under trends)[5]


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Juventude vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Juventude vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-20
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Alfredo Jaconi, Caxias do Sul, Brazil

Game Overview

This match features Juventude hosting Mirassol in the Brazilian Serie A, with Juventude currently holding a better position in the standings compared to Mirassol.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Juventude has a recent win against Vitória, while Mirassol drew with Fortaleza. This indicates Juventude might have better form.
  • The teams have had mixed results in previous encounters, with Juventude losing to Mirassol on May 13, 2023, but beating them on August 22, 2023.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned for either team.
  • The home advantage could favor Juventude, considering their recent form and standings.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their standings, but Juventude might have more pressure to perform well at home.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Juventude: 110, Mirassol: 275, Draw: 220 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread Juventude: -0.25 -122, Mirassol: 25 102 Juventude ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over: 2.25 100, Under: 2.25 -120 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 52%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Juventude 16%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Juventude at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Juventude's recent form and home advantage, they are likely to win this match.

Predicted Score: Juventude 1-0 Mirassol


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Mirassol vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-16
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: José Maria de Campos Maia Municipal Stadium, Mirassol, BRA

Game Overview

This match between Mirassol and Grêmio in the Brazil Campeonato presents a challenging scenario. Mirassol has struggled recently with losses and draws, while Grêmio, though inconsistent, has shown glimpses of strong performances.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has shown more consistency in achieving wins lately, but Mirassol is playing at home which can be an advantage. Mirassol's recent form has been unimpressive, whereas Grêmio has had positive results in some of their last matches.
  • Historically, Grêmio has the upper hand in head-to-head encounters, but Mirassol's home advantage could level the field.
  • Mirassol has listed several players as injured, including Luiz Otávio and Zé Vitor. Grêmio also has players sidelined, such as Gabriel Mec and Mayk.
  • The match being played on a weekday evening could affect team performances, but both teams should be well-rested. Weather conditions might be a minimal factor unless extreme.
  • Grêmio's drive to climb the league table could motivate them more compared to Mirassol, who are focused on improving their current standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 200, Mirassol: 150, Draw: 220 Grêmio Win ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Grêmio: 0 +111, Mirassol: 0 -132 Grêmio Cover ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under Over 2.25: 105, Under 2.25: -125 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 65%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 65% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

I predict Grêmio might edge this one due to their recent form and historical dominance. However, Mirassol's home advantage could lead to a tight contest.

Predicted Score: Mirassol 0 – 1 Grêmio


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Bahia vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Bahia vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-13
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Arena Fonte Nova, Salvador, Brazil

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Mirassol in the Brasileirao Serie A on April 13, 2025. Bahia, ranked 13th, and Mirassol, ranked 17th, both seek to improve their standings. Recent performances show both teams have struggled for wins, with Bahia drawing two games and Mirassol losing one and drawing one.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia has shown moderate attacking prowess with an average of 1.5 goals per match but has also conceded 1.5 goals. Mirassol has scored fewer goals, averaging one per match but has struggled defensively, conceding 1.5 goals on average.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but in general matches, Bahia tends to be more consistent at home.
  • No specific injury reports are mentioned as significant factors affecting team lineups.
  • Weather conditions in Salvador should not significantly impact the match.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure their first win in the season to climb up the standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia -175, Mirassol 500, Draw 310 Bahia win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bahia -1 100, Mirassol 1 -120 Bahia win by one goal ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over 2.5 105, Under 2.5 -125 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia -14%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 8%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 10% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia is expected to win based on their home advantage and slightly better form.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Bahia


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Mirassol vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Mirassol vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: April 06, 2025
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio José Maria de Campos Maia, Mirassol, São Paulo

Game Overview

Mirassol hosts Fortaleza in a crucial Campeonato match. Mirassol has a tough recent record, while Fortaleza just secured a significant win against Fluminense.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Mirassol has lost several recent matches, while Fortaleza is on the back of a strong win. This could significantly impact their confidence levels.
  • This match marks the first encounter between Mirassol and Fortaleza, making historical data irrelevant.
  • Mirassol has several players sidelined, which may weaken their lineup. Fortaleza also has injuries, but the impact is less reported.
  • Weather and fan support could play a role, but detailed information is not available.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure early season points, but Fortaleza's recent win might give them an edge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza: 180, Mirassol: 165, Draw: 220 Draw or Fortaleza win as most likely outcomes Not available Draw or Fortaleza win as most likely outcomes -100%
Spread Fortaleza: 0 -102, Mirassol: 0 -118 Either team has the potential to outperform, but a draw is plausible. Not available Either team has the potential to outperform, but a draw is plausible. -100%
Over_under Over: 2.25 108, Under: 2.25 -128 Under 2.25 goals seems more likely given the conservative nature of both teams recently. Not available Under 2.25 goals seems more likely given the conservative nature of both teams recently. -100%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fortaleza 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fortaleza at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Fortaleza's recent form and Mirassol's struggles, Fortaleza is predicted to win or at least draw. However, the lack of head-to-head data complicates predictions.

Predicted Score: 1-1 or 0-1 in favor of Fortaleza


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Cruzeiro vs. Mirassol Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

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Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Mirassol – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-03-29
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Governador Magalhaes Pinto, Belo Horizonte

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Mirassol in the Brazilian Serie A, marking the start of their season. Cruzeiro is favored to win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro's recent performances have been mixed, with a few draws and losses in their last matches. Mirassol's data for recent games is not available.
  • Recent head-to-head data is not provided, which complicates predicting outcomes based solely on past encounters.
  • No specific information on team injuries for this match is available.
  • Weather conditions in Belo Horizonte are typically mild, but no specific impacts on the game are noted.
  • Cruzeiro, playing at home, might have an advantage in motivation due to fan support.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro: -195, Mirassol: 600, Draw: 310 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Cruzeiro: -1 -115, Mirassol: 1 -105 Cruzeiro ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under Over: 2.25 -115, Under: 2.25 -105 Over ★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro is predicted to win based on home advantage and being favored by the odds.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Cruzeiro


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