Match Analysis: Real Betis vs Lyon – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-06
- Time: 8:00 PM UTC
- Location: Estadio de La Cartuja
Game Overview
Real Betis hosts Lyon in a UEFA Europa League league phase fixture at Estadio de La Cartuja. Both teams are coming off contrasting domestic results, with Betis securing a convincing 3-0 win over Mallorca and Lyon drawing 0-0 at Brest, playing most of the match with ten men. Lyon currently leads their group with maximum points, while Betis sits 16th with five points from three games. The match is expected to be competitive, with both sides looking to strengthen their position in the group standings.
Key Factors to Consider
- Real Betis showed strong attacking form in their last match, scoring three goals in the first half against Mallorca, with Antony and Ezzalzouli on target. Lyon, on the other hand, struggled to create chances in their last outing, managing only one shot on goal against Brest and playing over 82 minutes with a numerical disadvantage. Lyon's European form has been solid, including a 2-0 win over Basel, while Betis was held to a goalless draw by Genk in their last continental outing.
- The two sides last met in the 2013-14 Europa League group stage, with Lyon winning 1-0 at home and drawing 0-0 in Spain. Lyon has a slight edge in historical encounters, but Betis has shown improvement in recent seasons.
- No major injuries have been reported for either side ahead of this match. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match will be played at Estadio de La Cartuja, which is a neutral venue for Betis but still provides a home advantage. The weather is expected to be mild with no significant impact on play. Lyon's recent fixture congestion and the physical toll of playing with ten men may affect their performance.
- Lyon is motivated to maintain their perfect record in the group and secure a top spot. Betis needs a win to improve their standing and keep their qualification hopes alive, making them highly motivated to perform at home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Lyon: 275, Real Betis: -119, Draw: 290 | Real Betis | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Lyon: 50 -108, Real Betis: -0.5 -122 | Real Betis -0.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.75 -115, Under: 2.75 -115 | Under 2.75 | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Real Betis -17% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.75 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Real Betis is favored to win this match due to their strong recent form and home advantage. Lyon's struggles in their last game and the physical toll of playing with ten men may hinder their performance. However, Lyon's European experience and strong group position make them a dangerous opponent. The match is expected to be closely contested, but Betis should edge it with a narrow victory.
Predicted Score: 2-1