Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
The Milwaukee Brewers (86-54) host the Philadelphia Phillies (80-59) in an important late-season matchup. Both teams have strong playoff aspirations with the Brewers leading the NL Central and the Phillies atop the NL East. Starting pitching features Brewers' Freddy Peralta against Phillies' Ranger Suarez. Recent series shows split results, with the Phillies having won some key recent games but the Brewers holding a home advantage and better overall record.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee boasts an 86-54 record with strong home performance (46-25), a high win percentage as favorites (65.8%), and good recent form. Philadelphia is 80-59, with a solid offense led by Kyle Schwarber and a pitching staff with 3.85 ERA. Phillies are slightly disadvantaged on the road and have been inconsistent against top teams recently.
The season series is competitive; Phillies won 3 of 4 prior to this game, but Brewers won the last two matchups. Ranger Suarez (Phillies) has a 0-1 record with a 3.04 ERA vs. Brewers, while Freddy Peralta’s stats indicate a reliable home presence.
No major injuries reported that would impact starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
Game played at Brewers’ home field favors them due to strong home record and fan support. Weather conditions expected to be stable, no rain delays forecasted.
Milwaukee seeks to solidify their playoff positioning with an NL Central lead, while Philadelphia fights to maintain NL East supremacy. Both teams are highly motivated, but Brewers’ recent better form and home advantage tilt motivation slightly in their favor.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
milwaukee: -122, philadelphia: +104
Milwaukee Brewers
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
milwaukee_-1.5: +158, philadelphia_+1.5: -194
Philadelphia Phillies +1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
over_7.5: -118, under_7.5: -104
Under 7.5 runs
★★★☆☆ 63%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers 4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 7.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers to win outright on the moneyline
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Brewers 4 – 3 Philadelphia Phillies
The Toronto Blue Jays host the Milwaukee Brewers in a pivotal late-season MLB matchup. Both teams have strong playoff positioning and feature ace starters: Max Scherzer for Toronto and Brandon Woodruff for Milwaukee.
Key Factors to Consider
Milwaukee holds an 85-52 record with solid pitching (3.59 ERA) and hitting (.259 AVG). Toronto is 78-58 with Scherzer starting, their team is 5-2 when he pitches. Brewers have recently won 4 of 6 games showing good form.
This series has been competitive with Brewers winning the last two games at Toronto. No direct prior matchups this season between starting pitchers Woodruff and Scherzer.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting lineups or pitching staffs for either team.
Game is at Rogers Centre, a park friendly to hitters. Weather expected neutral. Both teams motivated for postseason seeding.
Both teams are pushing for playoff positioning late in the season; Brewers currently lead division but Blue Jays are eager to close gap.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-116 for Toronto, -102 for Milwaukee
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Milwaukee -1.5 +160, Toronto +1.5 -194
Toronto Blue Jays +1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -105, Under 8.5 -115
Under 8.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays 1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8.5 8%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 9.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays moneyline
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 4 – Milwaukee Brewers 3
Location: American Family Field, Milwaukee, Wisconsin
Game Overview
Milwaukee Brewers host the Arizona Diamondbacks in the final game of a four-game MLB series. Brewers are favored at home with starting pitcher Jose Quintana (10-4, 3.32 ERA) against Nabil Crismatt (1-0, 1.00 ERA) in his first career start versus Milwaukee.
Key Factors to Consider
The Brewers hold a strong 83-51 season record and a 68.1% win rate when favorites, including 14-4 when favored at or above -168. The Diamondbacks are 65-69, struggling as underdogs with just three wins at +142 or longer odds this year.
Milwaukee has a positive recent head-to-head edge. Quintana is 1-0 with a 3.70 ERA in five recent starts against Arizona. The Brewers won the majority of similar matchups.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting rotations or key hitters for this game.
Game played at Brewers' home stadium, American Family Field, with no weather or travel disruption expected. Brewers have motivation to maintain position before an upcoming marquee series; Diamondbacks are improving but possibly focusing on upcoming division play.
Brewers seek to avoid consecutive losses and maintain home dominance; Diamondbacks attempt to build momentum after recent wins but face a challenging road environment.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Milwaukee -166, Arizona +140
Milwaukee
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Milwaukee -1.5 122, Arizona +1.5 -146
Milwaukee -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 8.5 -115, Under 8.5 -105
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Milwaukee Brewers -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Brewers will win the game outright, cover the -1.5 run line, and the total will go over 8.5 runs.