Match Analysis: Milwaukee Admirals vs Texas Stars – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-16
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Milwaukee Admirals home arena
Game Overview
The match between Milwaukee Admirals and Texas Stars is expected to be highly competitive, with a very balanced historical record and recent form slightly favoring Milwaukee at home. The average scoring trend suggests a moderately high total but with recent games indicating a lean towards under 5.5 goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Milwaukee Admirals have momentum from recent wins, including a close 4-3 victory over the Chicago Wolves, while Texas Stars have struggled recently with a narrow 3-4 loss. Milwaukeeβs home form shows a higher average goal-scoring rate (3.5) compared to Texas's average away goals (2.25).
- In 92 encounters, both teams have near-equal wins (Milwaukee 42, Texas 43). Texas Stars have consistently covered the +1.5 handicap in 7 of the last 8 away games against Milwaukee, indicating strong performance against the spread despite fewer outright wins.
- No reported critical injuries significantly impacting either team ahead of the match.
- No notable external factors such as travel fatigue or weather are expected to impact the game significantly.
- Milwaukee Admirals appear motivated to capitalize on home advantage and recent positive form; Texas Stars are motivated to end a small losing streak and have shown resilience covering the spread on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Admirals -141 / Texas Stars -104 | Milwaukee Admirals | β β β ββ 66% |
| Spread | Milwaukee Admirals -1.5 195 / Texas Stars +1.5 -278 | Texas Stars +1.5 | β β β β β 72% |
| Over/under | Over 5.5 102 / Under 5.5 -139 | Under 5.5 | β β β ββ 69% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Milwaukee Admirals 3% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 5.5 12% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 5.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Milwaukee Admirals to win outright (moneyline), Texas Stars to cover the +1.5 spread, and the game to finish under 5.5 goals.
Predicted Score: Milwaukee Admirals 3 – 2 Texas Stars