The Detroit Tigers (84-65) visit the Miami Marlins (70-79) in a late-season MLB matchup with playoff implications for Detroit. Tigers are slight favorites due to stronger recent form and pitching matchup advantages.
Key Factors to Consider
Detroit Tigers hold an 84-65 record, showing consistent offense and pitching depth. Miami Marlins have a losing record at 70-79 and have struggled offensively and on the mound recently.
Detroit has had success against Miami's current pitcher Adam Mazur who has an ERA of 6.30 and struggled in prior appearances. Tigers' offense performs well both vs. right and left-handed pitching.
No significant injuries reported affecting starting pitchers or key hitters for either team going into this game.
Game is at LoanDepot Park, a neutral to mildly hitter-friendly ballpark. Weather and other factors are expected to be stable with no impact on play.
Detroit is pushing for playoff position with strong motivation. Miami, with a losing record and out of playoff contention, may lack intensity.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -142, Miami Marlins +120
Detroit Tigers
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Detroit Tigers -1.5 +110, Miami Marlins +1.5 -132
Detroit Tigers -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 9.5 +100, Under 9.5 -122
Under 9.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Detroit Tigers -6%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 0%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Detroit Tigers moneyline
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 5 – Miami Marlins 3
The Miami Marlins host the Washington Nationals with Miami as a slight favorite on the moneyline and run line, starting with Ryan Weathers and MacKenzie Gore as pitchers. The matchup favors the Marlins given home advantage, better pitching, and recent form discrepancies.
Key Factors to Consider
The Marlins hold a 67-79 season record and have shown stronger recent results against the Nationals, who are 60-85. Miami's pitching and hitting have been more consistent, while Washington has struggled with a 5.30 ERA and 1.43 WHIP over this season.
In their recent series, Miami won decisively including an 11-9 and 11-4 victory. Washington has had difficulty containing Miami's offense and has been outperformed in pitching matchups against them.
No significant injuries reported that would drastically impact either starting pitcher or major offensive contributors for this game.
Playing at loanDepot park provides Miami with clear home field advantage. Weather conditions are typical for Miami in September and unlikely to greatly affect gameplay.
Both teams are out of playoff contention; however, Miami aims to salvage pride at home with a better overall record, providing motivation to close the season strong. Washington has been fighting late-season momentum but lacks the consistency.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-124 for Miami, +106 for Washington
Miami Marlins to win
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Miami -1.5 at -200, Washington +1.5 at +164
Miami Marlins -1.5
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 8 at -106, Under 8 at -114
Under 8 runs
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Miami Marlins 12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 8 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Miami Marlins at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14.9% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on Miami Marlins moneyline for a confident outright win, with a close game expected under the total runs line.
Predicted Score: Miami Marlins 5, Washington Nationals 3
The Philadelphia Phillies (83-59) visit the Miami Marlins (65-77) at loanDepot Park in a late-season MLB matchup. Phillies are a strong team seeking to maintain pace with a record above .500, while the Marlins have struggled recently with multiple losing streaks.
Key Factors to Consider
Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games, averaging 5.3 runs per game in away matches, while Marlins have lost their last 5 overall and last 4 at home. Phillies maintain higher offensive production with a solid pitching staff led by Taijuan Walker (4-7, 3.92 ERA). Marlins have not announced a starter, adding uncertainty.
Phillies are 7-2 against the Marlins this season and generally outperform them, particularly in away games. Marlins have led after early innings in recent Sunday home games but have struggled to sustain leads.
No major injury reports available; starting pitcher for Marlins is TBD which may negatively impact their consistency.
Game played at Marlins’ home stadium; weather and other external factors appear neutral with no reported issues. The Phillies have been historically less effective as road favorites following wins, but recent form suggests stabilization.
Phillies motivated to maintain strong playoff positioning; Marlins play spoiler role with less incentive given current record but have covered recent run lines as underdogs which may influence aggressive early play.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-126
Philadelphia Phillies
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
+130
Philadelphia Phillies -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
-105 (Over), -115 (Under)
Under 9 runs
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Philadelphia Phillies 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 3%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Philadelphia Phillies moneyline
Predicted Score: Philadelphia Phillies 5 – Miami Marlins 3