Match Analysis: Sporting Cristal vs Club Bolívar – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-08
- Time: 2:00 AM UTC
- Location: Estadio Alberto Gallardo, Lima, Peru
Game Overview
Sporting Cristal hosts Club Bolívar in a critical CONMEBOL Libertadores Group G match. Bolívar holds a recent win advantage, defeating Sporting Cristal 3-0 on April 10. Sporting Cristal, however, typically performs well at home.
Key Factors to Consider
- Sporting Cristal has shown mixed results lately, while Bolívar seeks to continue their winning momentum.
- Bolívar recently beat Sporting Cristal 3-0, but Sporting Cristal has a strong home record.
- No significant injury reports are available for either team.
- The home crowd could give Sporting Cristal an edge.
- Both teams are highly motivated as they compete for group stage advancement.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Cristal: 110, Bolívar: 225, Draw: 250 | Sporting Cristal for the win, given home field advantage. | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Spread | Sporting Cristal: -0.25 (-125), Bolívar: 25 (-105) | Bolívar might keep it close, so lean towards Bolívar on the spread. | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Over/under | Over 3 (-105), Under 3 (-125) | Under 3 goals, considering Sporting Cristal's recent defensive efforts. | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Sporting Cristal -6% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 3 4% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 3 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Sporting Cristal's home advantage and recent performance, they are likely to push for a win, but Bolívar's momentum could cause them to struggle.
Predicted Score: 2-1 Sporting Cristal