Match Analysis: Detroit Tigers vs Texas Rangers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-11
- Time: 5:40 PM UTC
- Location: Comerica Park
Game Overview
The Detroit Tigers and Texas Rangers are set to play the final game of their three-game series with the series tied. The Tigers will start Reese Olson (4-2, 3.03 ERA), while the Rangers will send veteran Nathan Eovaldi (3-2, 2.03 ERA) to the mound. The game is expected to be closely contested given the pitching matchup and the series' current state.
Key Factors to Consider
- Detroit Tigers have a strong season so far with 26 wins and 13 losses, averaging 5.38 runs scored and 3.23 runs conceded per game. The Rangers rebounded with a 10-3 win to tie the series, showing resilience.
- The Tigers won the first game 2-1, while the Rangers took the second game 10-3. Recent head-to-heads suggest competitive games.
- There is no detailed information on injuries for this specific match, but both teams seem to be at full strength.
- Weather conditions are clear skies with a temperature of 57°F and a wind blowing left to right at 10 mph, which should not significantly impact gameplay.
- Both teams are motivated to win the series, with the Tigers looking to capitalize on their home advantage and the Rangers seeking to secure a road series victory.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers: -108, Texas Rangers: -102 | Detroit Tigers | ★★★☆☆ 55% |
Spread | Detroit Tigers: -1.5 189, Texas Rangers: 1.5 -225 | Detroit Tigers -1.5 | ★★★☆☆ 52% |
Over/under | Over: 7.5 100, Under: 7.5 -120 | Under | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Detroit Tigers 2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 7.5 10% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 7.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the pitching matchup and recent form, the game is expected to be a close contest. The Tigers' home advantage and recent wins suggest they might have an edge, but the Rangers' strong second game performance could lead to a competitive game.
Predicted Score: Detroit Tigers 4, Texas Rangers 3