Match Analysis: Matthew Elliott vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle

Game Overview

This lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 193 features Matthew Elliott, who holds a 5-2 record, facing Alexis Tsarmantidis, with a 4-2 record. Elliott has a slight advantage in submissions and decisions, while Tsarmantidis has demonstrated some KO power. Elliott is favored to win despite Tsarmantidis competing in a higher weight category (welterweight).

Key Factors to Consider

• Matthew Elliott leads with a 5-2 record, showing strengths in submissions and decisions, while Alexis Tsarmantidis stands at 4-2, with a balanced distribution of KO/TKO and submission wins. Elliott has a short winning streak and better recent form.
• No previous direct matches recorded between Elliott and Tsarmantidis. Analytical predictions give Elliott a 69% chance of winning and Tsarmantidis 31%.
• No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this match.
• The match is held at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, on September 13, 2025, with no environmental or situational factors currently influencing odds or fighter performance.
• Matthew Elliott’s short winning streak suggests strong momentum and motivation. Alexis Tsarmantidis may be motivated to upset the favored Elliott.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Matthew Elliott: -950, Alexis Tsarmantidis: 650	Matthew Elliott to win	★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread	Matthew Elliott: -4.5, Alexis Tsarmantidis: +4.5	Matthew Elliott by more than 4.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: 1.80, under_2.5_rounds: 2.00	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Matthew Elliott 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Matthew Elliott at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winner: Matthew Elliott by Submission

Predicted Score: Match predicted to end in rounds 2 or 3 by submission favoring Matthew Elliott

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Match Analysis: Matthew Elliott vs Kenny Mokhonoana – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 3:30 PM UTC
• Location: The RDS, Dublin

Game Overview

Matthew Elliott and Kenny Mokhonoana are set to face off in a Featherweight bout as part of Cage Warriors CW 188 in Dublin. Both fighters will look to showcase their skills in the early prelims.

Key Factors to Consider

• The performance of both fighters will largely depend on their recent form and past performances in the Featherweight division. Elliott's aggression and Mokhonoana's defensive skills could play crucial roles.
• There is no reported previous match between Matthew Elliott and Kenny Mokhonoana, making this a new encounter with no clear edge due to past results.
• No reported injuries have been noted for either fighter, which could mean both are approaching the bout at full strength.
• The crowd in Dublin may favor local fighters, but this match involves international participants, potentially reducing home-team advantages.
• Both fighters will be highly motivated to secure a win, as a victory can significantly boost their career momentum in Cage Warriors.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Home 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Home at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 100% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the lack of head-to-head data, predictions lean towards the fighter with a stronger recent performance record or who is perceived to have a slight physical advantage. Without specific statistics or odds listed, it's challenging to make a precise prediction.

Predicted Score: Decision victory for either fighter, with a slight lean towards Kenny Mokhonoana based on youth and reach advantage.