Match Analysis: Matthew Elliott vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-09-13
• Time: 3:00 PM UTC
• Location: Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle

Game Overview

This lightweight bout at Cage Warriors 193 features Matthew Elliott, who holds a 5-2 record, facing Alexis Tsarmantidis, with a 4-2 record. Elliott has a slight advantage in submissions and decisions, while Tsarmantidis has demonstrated some KO power. Elliott is favored to win despite Tsarmantidis competing in a higher weight category (welterweight).

Key Factors to Consider

• Matthew Elliott leads with a 5-2 record, showing strengths in submissions and decisions, while Alexis Tsarmantidis stands at 4-2, with a balanced distribution of KO/TKO and submission wins. Elliott has a short winning streak and better recent form.
• No previous direct matches recorded between Elliott and Tsarmantidis. Analytical predictions give Elliott a 69% chance of winning and Tsarmantidis 31%.
• No reported injuries for either fighter affecting this match.
• The match is held at Vertu Motors Arena, Newcastle, on September 13, 2025, with no environmental or situational factors currently influencing odds or fighter performance.
• Matthew Elliott’s short winning streak suggests strong momentum and motivation. Alexis Tsarmantidis may be motivated to upset the favored Elliott.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Matthew Elliott: -950, Alexis Tsarmantidis: 650	Matthew Elliott to win	★★★☆☆ 69%
Spread	Matthew Elliott: -4.5, Alexis Tsarmantidis: +4.5	Matthew Elliott by more than 4.5 points	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	over_2.5_rounds: 1.80, under_2.5_rounds: 2.00	Under 2.5 rounds	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Matthew Elliott 0%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

🔥 Best Value Pick: Matthew Elliott at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Winner: Matthew Elliott by Submission

Predicted Score: Match predicted to end in rounds 2 or 3 by submission favoring Matthew Elliott

Match Analysis: Max Lally vs Alexis Tsarmantidis – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-26
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Not specified

Game Overview

The upcoming MMA match between Max Lally and Alexis Tsarmantidis will take place at Cage Warriors 188. Both fighters are skilled in their respective categories, with Max Lally being undefeated and Alexis Tsarmantidis boasting a strong record with one loss.

Key Factors to Consider

• Max Lally is undefeated at 3-0, while Alexis Tsarmantidis has a record of 4-1. This indicates both fighters are highly competitive, but Lally's undefeated status might give him a slight edge.
• There is no reported head-to-head history between these two fighters.
• No reported injuries for either fighter.
• The home advantage could slightly favor Lally if the fight takes place in a venue where he has more local support.
• Both fighters are likely highly motivated to win, given their current performance levels and the stakes of advancing in the MMA world.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	-300 (Lally), 200 (Tsarmantidis)	Max Lally	★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Max Lally -99%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	N/A

⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.

Predicted Outcome

Max Lally is likely to win due to his undefeated record and strong current form.

Predicted Score: Decision in favor of Max Lally