Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Lorient – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-08-17
• Time: 3:15 PM UTC
• Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre

Game Overview

Auxerre hosts Lorient in the opening match of the 2025-26 Ligue 1 season, both aiming to rebound from recent disappointing results and to establish early momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

• Auxerre has shown solid home form historically and are favored coming into this match, despite a recent home defeat in a non-league match. Lorient has struggled away recently but has quality to challenge.
• Historically, Auxerre has the upper hand against Lorient, particularly at home, which strengthens their edge in this matchup.
• No significant injuries reported for either side that would severely impact the starting lineup or tactical setup.
• Season opener atmosphere likely motivates both, but Auxerre benefits from home crowd support and familiar conditions.
• Both sides keen to start positively; Auxerre may have a slight motivational edge to dispel the shadow of their recent loss and please home fans.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	140	Auxerre	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Auxerre -0.25 @ 1.04, Lorient +25 @ -1.24	Auxerre -0.25	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under	Over 2.5 -107, Under 2.5 -113	Under 2.5	★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Auxerre 37%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Under 2.5 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Auxerre at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Auxerre to win the match

Predicted Score: 1-0