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River Plate vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: River Plate vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-22
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mâs Monumental, Buenos Aires, Argentina

Game Overview

This CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores tie features River Plate hosting Libertad Asuncion. It is a decisive knockout phase match, with River Plate as strong favorites playing at home. The previous encounter in this season ended in a goalless draw away for River Plate, making home advantage and recent form critical.

Key Factors to Consider

  • River Plate currently leads the Argentine Liga Profesional de Fútbol and demonstrated superior ball possession (68% in last meeting), passing accuracy (79%), and overall attacks compared to Libertad Asuncion who had less possession and fewer shots on target in their last match-up. River's strong home form and squad depth bolster their performance chances. Libertad tends to play more defensively but has shown resilience.
  • The teams have met twice in the previous season with evenly matched results, including a recent 0-0 draw away to Libertad. River Plate's home advantage this time is significant. Historical clashes suggest tight games with low to moderate scoring.
  • No specific injury reports are available from current sources, implying both teams likely have near full strength squads.
  • Playing at Estadio Mâs Monumental offers River Plate a formidable home crowd atmosphere. Travel for Libertad and the high stakes of knockout phase add pressure on the away side. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral.
  • River Plate aims to assert dominance hosting the second leg of the tie with strong home support and league momentum. Libertad seek to hold defensive discipline and capitalize on counterattacks to overturn the tie, driven by Copa Libertadores ambitions.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline River Plate: -325, Libertad Asuncion: 1000, Draw: 400 River Plate win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread River Plate -1.5: -115, Libertad +1.5: -115 River Plate to cover -1.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -125, Under 2.5: -105 Over 2.5 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate -11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 4%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate are predicted to win by a slim margin given their home advantage, better form, and historical tight matches. A cautious 2-1 home victory is likely as Libertad will defend stoutly but struggle to contain River's attacking depth.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs River Plate – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This 2025 CONMEBOL Libertadores Round of 16 matchup features Libertad Asuncion hosting River Plate. Libertad has shown a mixed recent form with 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 loss, averaging 1.00 goals for and 0.8 against, possessing about 31.3% of the ball, while River Plate enters with stronger recent statistics—3 wins, 3 draws, no losses, scoring on average 1.47 goals and conceding 0.7, with 41.8% possession. Both teams are unbeaten in their last several matches in this phase, indicating a tight contest expected in Paraguay's home stadium.

Key Factors to Consider

  • River Plate display superior offensive and defensive stats, more shots and shots on target, and better possession than Libertad. Libertad's lower possession and fewer shots suggest a more defensive or counter-attacking style. Both teams are currently unbeaten in recent knockout matches, but River Plate's record is slightly stronger.
  • In recent head-to-head confrontations, Libertad and River Plate have played two games last season with mixed results. Historical data points to a competitive rivalry, with no clear dominance.
  • No explicit injury information is available from the sources, suggesting both teams may field their strongest lineups.
  • Match played in Asuncion gives Libertad home advantage, potentially boosting their performance. Climate or travel impact appears typical for CONMEBOL Libertadores fixtures with no unusual external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are motivated to advance from the Round of 16; River Plate with a strong historic continental reputation and Libertad driven by home advantage and regional pride.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 330, River Plate: -110, Draw: 235 River Plate win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Libertad Asuncion +50: -115, River Plate -0.5: -115 River Plate -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -140, Under 2: 108 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline River Plate 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 14%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 13.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

River Plate is favored to win given their better recent form, higher possession, and superior offensive stats, though Libertad's home ground and defensive resilience may limit the margin.

Predicted Score: River Plate 1 – 0 Libertad Asuncion


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Palmeiras-SP Prediction Palmeiras-SP 100 164%
Libertad Asuncion vs. River Plate Prediction Under 2 108 14%
Botafogo vs. LDU Quito Prediction Over 2.5 -110 11%

Combined Odds: +694 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $158.84

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Libertad Asuncion vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Alianza Lima – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-27
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Tigo La Huerta, Asuncion, Paraguay

Game Overview

This is a critical Copa Libertadores group stage match. Libertad Asuncion currently ranks 2nd in Group D, while Alianza Lima is at the bottom (4th). Libertad is generally considered stronger at home and is in better form compared to Alianza Lima, who have struggled away in continental competition. The result affects both teams' chances of advancing, with Libertad in a favorable position to secure a knockout stage spot if they win.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad Asuncion is in good form, especially at home, with recent strong domestic and continental results. Alianza Lima has been inconsistent, especially away from home, and has struggled in Copa Libertadores group matches. Libertad's defensive and midfield organization is likely to dominate against Alianza Lima's occasional defensive lapses.
  • Limited recent head-to-head history, but Libertad has a slight edge in continental experience and squad depth. In this season's direct matches and recent performances, Libertad appears stronger.
  • No major injuries or suspensions have been widely reported for either team as of now, but check live team news for last-minute updates.
  • Libertad has home advantage, with passionate local support and familiarity with the venue. Weather is not expected to be a significant factor.
  • Libertad is motivated to secure or consolidate a top-two group position. Alianza Lima is desperate for points to keep advancement hopes alive, but morale may be lower due to recent form.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: -130, Alianza Lima: 360, Draw: 245 Libertad Asuncion win ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Alianza Lima: 50 -102, Libertad Asuncion: -0.5 -128 Libertad Asuncion -0.5 covers ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -130, Under: 2.25 100 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 15%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 10%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Libertad Asuncion at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Libertad Asuncion is favored to win at home, given their stronger form, deeper squad, and home advantage. Alianza Lima is likely to struggle to break down Libertad's defense, but may stay compact and hope for a draw.

Predicted Score: Libertad Asuncion 1-0 Alianza Lima


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Libertad Asuncion vs. Alianza Lima Prediction Libertad Asuncion -130 15%
Independiente del Valle vs. Barcelona SC Prediction Under 2.5 -102 11%
Estudiantes La Plata vs. Carabobo FC Prediction Over 3.25 100 10%

Combined Odds: +601 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $140.15

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Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-15
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Morumbí, Sao Paulo, BRA

Game Overview

The CONMEBOL Copa Libertadores Group D clash features São Paulo hosting Libertad Asuncion at the Morumbí stadium. São Paulo is positioned as the home favorite, aiming to capitalize on their solid group stage form and home advantage. Libertad Asuncion seeks to improve on their previous away performances, looking to upset the hosts and gain vital group points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • São Paulo has shown strong attacking capabilities with 5 goals scored and 3 conceded in the group stage, maintaining 2 clean sheets and 14 shots on goal, indicating offensive pressure. Libertad has struggled defensively but shown resilience, losing 1-2 at home to São Paulo in the previous meeting on April 23, 2025.
  • The recent encounter on April 23, 2025, ended 2-0 in favor of São Paulo at Libertad's home, with key players Andre Silva and Lucas dos Santos Ferreira contributing goals and assists. This gives São Paulo a psychological edge and a recent head-to-head advantage.
  • No specific injury data is available from the search results; thus, it is assumed both teams will field their standard lineups without major absenteeism.
  • Playing at Morumbí provides São Paulo with a strong home atmosphere and familiar conditions. Travel and away environment may challenge Libertad. Weather or pitch conditions for the match day have not been reported but typically favor the home team.
  • São Paulo looks motivated to maintain group leadership and capitalize on home advantage. Libertad is motivated to recover from the prior home defeat and secure points on foreign soil to stay competitive in the group.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 510, São Paulo: -163, Draw: 250 São Paulo win ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Libertad Asuncion: 75 at +101, São Paulo: -0.75 at -121 São Paulo -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: -114, Under 2: -106 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 266%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 266% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 52.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

São Paulo is favored to win based on superior recent form, home advantage, and psychological edge from the previous win against Libertad. A narrow victory with offensive control is expected.

Predicted Score: São Paulo 2 – 1 Libertad Asuncion


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sao Paulo vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Sao Paulo -163 266%
FC Twente Enschede vs. AZ Alkmaar Prediction FC Twente Enschede 135 101%
Real Salt Lake vs. Portland Timbers Prediction Real Salt Lake -105 47%

Combined Odds: +640 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $148.06

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Club Atletico Talleres vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Club Atletico Talleres vs Libertad Asuncion – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-08
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Mario Alberto Kempes (assumed home venue for Talleres)

Game Overview

Conmebol Copa Libertadores match between Talleres (recent form: 2W-1D-2L in last 5) and Libertad (0W-3D-2L in last 5). Libertad won the only direct H2H meeting in April 2025 2-0, though historical context shows Libertad with 3 wins in past 12 meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Talleres averages 1.0 goals scored/1.8 conceded per match. Libertad averages 0.4 goals scored/1.2 conceded in last 5.
  • Libertad holds 1-0 H2H advantage in 2025 meetings. Historical record shows 3 Libertad wins in past 12 encounters (data conflict in sources).
  • No injury data available in provided sources
  • Libertad's stronger defensive record (1.2 GA/match vs Talleres' 1.8) contrasts with Talleres' home advantage
  • Libertad seeks back-to-back continental wins, while Talleres aims to avenge recent loss

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Talleres -135 | Libertad 400 | Draw 230 Talleres win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Talleres -0.75 (-105) | Libertad +75 (-125) Talleres cover (-0.75) ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2 (-120) | Under 2 (-110) Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Club Atletico Talleres 175%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Club Atletico Talleres at 175% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 43.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Close match with Libertad defending narrowly, but Talleres favored due to home advantage and offensive edge. Likely under 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0 Talleres


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – May 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Club Atletico Talleres vs. Libertad Asuncion Prediction Club Atletico Talleres -135 175%
Velez Sarsfield vs. Olimpia Asunción Prediction Velez Sarsfield -135 175%
Club Universitario de Deportes vs. Independiente del Valle Prediction Club Universitario de Deportes 120 62%

Combined Odds: +567 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $133.33

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Libertad Asuncion vs. Sao Paulo Prediction Copa Libertadores in Soccer

Match Analysis: Libertad Asuncion vs Sao Paulo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-04-24
  • Time: 12:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Estadio Dr. Nicolás Léoz, Asunción

Game Overview

Libertad Asuncion is set to face São Paulo in a pivotal Copa Libertadores Group D match. Libertad, playing at home, will look to capitalize on their familiarity with the venue to secure a crucial victory. São Paulo, known for their resilient performances, will aim to upset the hosts away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Libertad has shown strong home performances historically, while São Paulo has had mixed results on the road. Recent form suggests both teams are capable of creating scoring chances, though Libertad may have an edge in defense.
  • Historically, Libertad and São Paulo have a relatively even head-to-head record, though recent encounters have favored Libertad slightly.
  • No major injury concerns have been reported for either team leading up to this match.
  • Weather conditions and the home crowd could favor Libertad, while São Paulo might feel additional pressure playing away from home.
  • Both teams are highly motivated as they seek points to advance in the Copa Libertadores.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion: 205, São Paulo: 159, Draw: 182 Libertad Asuncion or Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Libertad Asuncion: 0 110, São Paulo: 0 -130 Libertad Asuncion +0 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 1.75: -130, Under 1.75: 110 Under 1.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Libertad Asuncion 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 1.75 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 1.75 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Libertad's home advantage and defensive solidity, they are slightly favored to win or draw.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Libertad Asuncion or a 1-1 draw


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