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Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Genoa vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-29
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Luigi Ferraris, Genova, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio enters as slight favorites over Genoa in this Serie A matchup, reflecting Lazio's marginally better form and higher squad quality. However, Genoa's home advantage and current defensive resilience suggest a tightly contested game likely to have limited scoring.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio currently hold a 1-0-3 record, sitting 13th with 3 points and a goal difference of 0; Genoa is 16th with 2 points from 0-2-2, scoring 2 and conceding 4, but showing defensive effort with a 69.2% save rate.
  • Historically, Lazio have 10 wins to Genoa's 4 in 15 meetings, indicating Lazio's upper hand. Recent encounters suggest a competitive balance but with Lazio favored.
  • Genoa lack key attackers like Maxwel Cornet and Fabio Miretti; Lazio are missing Mattia Zaccagni and Nuno Tavares, both impacting offensive creativity and width respectively.
  • The game is at Genoa's home ground, which offers some psychological and tactical edge; no adverse weather or significant external disruptions reported.
  • Both teams are motivated to improve their early-season standings; Lazio’s slight points edge and better form provide a psychological advantage, but Genoa's home fans could bolster motivation to avoid a home losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Genoa: +200, Lazio: +155, Draw: +200 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 62%
Spread Genoa: +110, Lazio: -130 Genoa +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%
Over/under Over: -128, Under: +108 Under 2 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 22%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio moneyline win, Genoa +0 spread, Under 2 goals total

Predicted Score: 0-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Genoa vs. Lazio Prediction Lazio 155 22%
Sao Paulo vs. CearΓ‘ Prediction Under 2 102 17%
Arouca vs. FC Porto Prediction Over 2.75 -105 17%

Combined Odds: +906 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $201.13

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Lazio vs. AS Roma Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lazio vs AS Roma – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 10:30 AM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio hosts AS Roma in the Derby della Capitale with both teams showing solid early season form. Lazio comes in with a 1-0-1 record, strong defensive metrics, and good expected goal stats, while AS Roma is unbeaten at 2-0-0 with a perfect clean sheet record so far. This tightly contested match is expected to be balanced with marginal advantages at different levels.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio ranks 2nd in xG with 5.1 and xGA of 3.3, averaging 1.5 points per game, showing solid offense and defense. Roma remains unbeaten with 2 clean sheets and a disciplined defensive unit, despite having scored just 2 goals with an xG of 3.5 so far this season.
  • Recent meetings show a balanced H2H with Roma slightly edging Lazio with 2 wins vs. 1 for Lazio in the last five matches, plus 2 draws, indicating a closely matched rivalry.
  • No major injuries reported affecting starting lineups; both teams have their key players available including goalkeepers Ivan Provedel (Lazio) and Mile Svilar (Roma).
  • Match takes place at Stadio Olimpico, home of both teams, slightly favoring Lazio as the nominal home side. Weather and travel factors minimal.
  • Both teams are highly motivated to secure a win in this derby for local bragging rights and early season points momentum in Serie A.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 180, Roma: 166, Draw: 212 Draw β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Roma 0: -115, Lazio 0: -105 Roma +0 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 2.25: -108, Under 2.25: -112 Under 2.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Draw at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw (0-0)

Predicted Score: 0-0


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Sassuolo vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sassuolo vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MAPEI Stadium – CittΓ  del Tricolore, Sassuolo

Game Overview

This Serie A fixture between Sassuolo and Lazio features a Lazio squad slightly favored by odds and recent performance but facing an improving Sassuolo side at home. Lazio holds an edge in recent encounters and league form, while Sassuolo seeks to rebound after two opening draws.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio comes in with a 1-0-1 record and 3 points, showing a slightly stronger start than Sassuolo who is 0-0-2 with 2 draws, scoring fewer goals. Lazio's form suggests better recent effectiveness in offense and defense.
  • Lazio has dominated recent meetings with Sassuolo, boasting a 4-0-1 record in their last 5 clashes and the total goals going under 2.5 in all these matches, indicating low-scoring, tight contests.
  • No major injury news reported for either side, suggesting both squads will be close to full strength for the match.
  • The match is at Sassuolo's home ground, which could be a slight advantage, but Lazio's historical dominance and stronger squad depth mitigate home advantage.
  • Lazio's slight points lead and recent victories provide extra motivation to maintain momentum, while Sassuolo must overcome early season struggles and capitalize on home support to get points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 107, Sassuolo: 260, Draw: 240 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Lazio -0.5: 108, Sassuolo +50: -128 Lazio -0.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Under 2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 34%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 34% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 37% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio to win on the moneyline, covering the spread -0.5, with the match to finish under 2.5 goals.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Lazio vs. Hellas Verona Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lazio vs Hellas Verona – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-31
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome

Game Overview

Lazio hosts Hellas Verona in a Serie A match where Lazio is favored at home, but Verona has shown resilience and is motivated to avoid defeat.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio has strong recent form with good attacking output, while Hellas Verona has been competitive away and looks to secure at least a draw.
  • Historically, Lazio holds the advantage at home, but recent encounters suggest tight scorelines with Verona capable of scoring.
  • No critical absences reported for either side; squads are near full strength.
  • Match played at Lazio's home stadium, offering a home advantage; no notable weather or scheduling issues.
  • Lazio seeks early season points to establish standing; Verona is motivated to prove themselves and avoid early losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -212, draw: +340, away: +575 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Lazio -1: -128, Hellas Verona +1: +108 Lazio -1 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 2.5: -110, Under 2.5: -110 Over 2.5 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 11%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio moneyline win, Lazio -1 spread, Over 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 3-1


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Como vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Como vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 4:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como

Game Overview

Como hosts Lazio in the Serie A season opener. Como is a building team with strong offensive investments under Cesc Fabregas and showed high-scoring potential in pre-season. Lazio maintains a top-tier offense and strong BTTS record from last season. Expect an open, high-paced match with goals from both sides.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Como scored 15 goals in 6 pre-season games, displaying potent offense under Fabregas's style. Lazio finished last season with the third-best attack in Serie A, averaging 1.6 goals per game, and had BTTS in 63% of games.
  • In the last four meetings, both teams scored three times, indicating a historically open matchup favoring goals on both ends.
  • No significant injury reports affecting key offensive or defensive players for either Como or Lazio.
  • Como enjoys home advantage at Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, with a passionate local crowd motivating a strong start to the season; both teams have similar ambitions fighting for European spots.
  • Both teams are motivated for a positive season start, with Como aiming to establish themselves as a rising force and Lazio targeting consistent European qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Como: +147, Lazio: +195, Draw: +228 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Como -0.25: +110, Lazio +25: -130 Lazio +0.25 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.5: -101, Under 2.5: -119 Over 2.5 Goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.5 23%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lazio at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio moneyline win

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Lazio vs. Lecce Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lazio vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: May 25, 2025
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Roma

Game Overview

Lazio hosts Lecce in the final match of Serie A, with Lazio looking to secure a strong finish in the league standings. Lazio has been performing well, while Lecce has struggled to find consistency.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Lazio has been in better form recently, winning several matches, while Lecce has had mixed results.
  • Lazio won the last meeting between the two teams, 2-1. They generally have a strong record against Lecce.
  • No major injury updates are available for either team.
  • Weather conditions are expected to be favorable for a match, with no significant external factors impacting the game.
  • Lazio is highly motivated to secure a top finish in the league, while Lecce is looking to end the season positively.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: -175, Lecce: 575, Draw: 270 Lazio to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 80%
Spread Lazio: -1 -108, Lecce: 1 -112 Lazio to cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over: 2.75 100, Under: 2.75 -120 Under 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 -5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at -5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lazio is likely to win this match, given their recent performance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: Lazio 2, Lecce 0


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Inter Milan vs. Lazio Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Lazio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 6:45 PM UTC
  • Location: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milan, Italy

Game Overview

This Serie A match between Inter Milan and Lazio is crucial for the Scudetto race, with Inter currently 2nd and Lazio 5th in the league. Inter is aiming to close the gap to leaders Napoli with just two rounds left, while Lazio fights to secure European qualification. Inter will field a strong lineup with several key players returning, though Lautaro Martinez remains sidelined due to fitness concerns. Lazio will challenge on the road, but Inter’s home advantage and urgent motivation create a tense and competitive atmosphere.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Inter Milan has shown resilience recently, narrowing the top-of-the-table gap to just one point behind Napoli after a draw against Genoa. Lazio holds 5th place, maintaining a solid position but needing points to strengthen their European hold. Inter has been rotating players due to Champions League commitments but plans fewer rotations for this match to maximize strength. Lazio has been consistent but may struggle against Inter’s returning key players at home.
  • In the current season, Inter and Lazio have met once, with Inter holding a higher league position and home advantage. Historically, matches at San Siro tend to favor Inter, but Lazio has challenged strongly in past encounters, making the duel tactically tight and competitive.
  • Inter will be missing Lautaro Martinez due to ongoing fitness recovery after a muscle issue, thus he is not expected to start. However, key players such as Marcus Thuram, NicolΓ² Barella, Federico Dimarco, and Hakan Calhanoglu are returning to the starting lineup. Lazio has no significant injury updates disclosed in the available data, suggesting a near-full squad.
  • Inter is balancing the pressure of a tight Serie A title race with upcoming Champions League final preparations, likely influencing rotation decisions and player conditioning. The match is held at San Siro, giving Inter a strong home-field edge. Weather and other external conditions were not specified but are assumed normal.
  • Inter is highly motivated to reduce the gap to Napoli and keep title hopes alive. Lazio aims to secure its standing for European competition and upset a top contender. The stakes heighten the competitive spirit for both teams, with Inter slightly more driven given the Scudetto implications.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Inter Milan: -160, Lazio: 400, Draw: 320 Inter Milan win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Inter Milan -0.75: -125, Lazio +75: 105 Inter Milan -0.75 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115 Over 2.75 goals β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Inter Milan -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2.75 7%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Inter Milan to win narrowly, leveraging home advantage and returning key players despite Lautaro Martinez's absence. Expect a high-intensity match with Inter controlling possession and Lazio aiming to counterattack.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Lazio vs. Juventus Prediction Serie A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Lazio vs Juventus – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 10 May 2025
  • Time: 4:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stadio Olimpico, Rome, Italy

Game Overview

Lazio and Juventus are set to meet in a crucial Serie A matchup on May 10, 2025. Lazio, currently ranking 6th, will face Juventus, who hold a 4th position in the league. The match could have significant implications for European qualification and league standings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Both teams have been consistent in their recent performances, but Juventus' stronger league position suggests they might have an edge in terms of motivation and pressure to maintain their standing.
  • Historically, head-to-head matches between Lazio and Juventus have been competitive, with Juventus often having the upper hand.
  • No recent injury reports are available that significantly impact the outcome of this match.
  • The match being held at Stadio Olimpico will likely favor Lazio due to home ground advantage, but Juventus' experience in big games could mitigate this factor.
  • Both teams are highly motivated, with Lazio seeking to secure European spots and Juventus aiming to solidify their top-four position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Lazio: 145, Juventus: 195, Draw: 230 Lazio β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%
Spread Juventus: 0 +111, Lazio: 0 -132 Lazio to cover β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over: 2.25 -110, Under: 2.25 -110 Under β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lazio 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 3%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Lazio at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given Juventus' current league form and experience, they have a slight advantage in this match.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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