Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Lazio – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-09
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Game Overview
The Serie A match between Inter Milan and Lazio is set at the Stadio Giuseppe Meazza with Inter Milan having a strong domestic season and currently sitting 2nd in the league with 15 points, while Lazio is mid-table with 8 points. Inter has shown offensive strength with key contributors like L. MartΓnez and A. Bonny both scoring 3 goals each, and F. Dimarco providing assists. Lazio has some notable scorers including M. Thuram and M. Cancellieri but have a less consistent record recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Milan is in good form, currently 2nd in Serie A with 5 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, gathering 15 points. Lazio is weaker with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, totaling 8 points. Interβs offensive and defensive statistics are more impressive, including contributions from forwards MartΓnez and Bonny. Lazio's form is less stable, impacting their chances.
- Historically, Inter Milan has dominated recent head-to-heads against Lazio, often winning at home at the Giuseppe Meazza. Lazio generally struggles to get results away at Inter, which adds to the home sideβs advantage in this fixture.
- Christian Pulisic, who is an AC Milan player but relevant for Serie A injury trends, is currently out with a hamstring injury, which does not impact Inter directly. No major injuries for Inter Milanβs key players reported that would affect team strength. Lazio injury reports remain limited, suggesting a relatively healthy squad.
- Match played on Sunday evening at Interβs home ground, giving them a home advantage. No significant external disruptions or weather concerns currently noted. The motivation for Inter is high, being in contention for the top Serie A positions, while Lazio needs points to climb out of the mid-table zone.
- Inter Milan is highly motivated to maintain or improve their position near the top of Serie A standings and capitalize on home advantage. Lazio is motivated to upset the stronger team and improve their position, but their inconsistent form might hamper this effort.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan: -255, Lazio: 575, Draw: 420 | Inter Milan win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | Inter Milan: -1.25 -112, Lazio: 1.25 -108 | Inter Milan -1.25 | β β β β β 78% |
| Over/under | Over 2.75: -118, Under 2.75: -102 | Over 2.75 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Inter Milan 0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.75 11% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 11% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan is strongly favored to win this match given their form, home advantage, and head-to-head dominance. A victory for Inter is the most probable outcome, while a draw is less likely and a Lazio win is an upset scenario.
Predicted Score: Inter Milan 3 – 1 Lazio