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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Syracuse Orange Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Syracuse Orange – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-26
  • Time: 6:00 PM UTC
  • Location: MGM Grand Garden Arena, Las Vegas, Nevada

Game Overview

This is a consolation game in the Players Era Festival, featuring the No. 15 Iowa State Cyclones (6-0) against the Syracuse Orange (4-2). Both teams have played two games in Las Vegas prior to this matchup, with Iowa State winning both and Syracuse losing both. The game is scheduled for Wednesday, November 26, 2025, at 1 PM local time (6 PM UTC) and will be broadcast on TNT.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State enters the game undefeated (6-0), having won their first two games in the tournament against Creighton (78-60) and St. John's (83-82). They have shown strong offensive and defensive balance, averaging 83.7 points per game and allowing only 68.3 points per game. Syracuse, on the other hand, is 4-2 overall and 0-2 in the tournament, losing close games to Houston (78-74) and Kansas (71-60). Their offense has struggled, particularly at the free-throw line, and they have been inconsistent in finishing games.
  • There is no recent head-to-head data available for this matchup. The teams have not played each other in the last several seasons.
  • Syracuse will be without Donnie Freeman (foot), their leading scorer (17.8 PPG), for the remainder of the tournament. This is a significant loss for the Orange, as Freeman is their top offensive threat. No major injuries have been reported for Iowa State.
  • The game is being played in Las Vegas, which is a neutral site. Both teams had a short turnaround, learning their opponent and game time less than 12 hours before tip-off. The quick turnaround may affect preparation and recovery, but Iowa State has shown resilience in back-to-back games. Syracuse has struggled with free-throw shooting, which could be a decisive factor in a close game.
  • Iowa State is motivated to finish the tournament on a high note and maintain their undefeated record. Syracuse is looking to salvage some pride after two tough losses and will be motivated to avoid a winless tournament. The game is not for a championship, but both teams will want to end the week with a victory.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones: -590, Syracuse Orange: 390 Iowa State Cyclones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Iowa State Cyclones: -10.5 -110, Syracuse Orange: 10.5 -115 Iowa State Cyclones -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under Over: 158.5 -110, Under: 158.5 -115 Over 158.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -1%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 158.5 24%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 158.5 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State is favored to win this game due to their undefeated record, strong offensive and defensive performance, and the absence of Syracuse's leading scorer. Syracuse's struggles at the free-throw line and lack of offensive firepower without Freeman make it difficult for them to compete with Iowa State. The game is expected to be close, but Iowa State should pull away in the second half.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 82, Syracuse Orange 76


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Creighton Bluejays Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Creighton Bluejays – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-25
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Las Vegas, NV (Neutral Site)

Game Overview

The Iowa State Cyclones face the Creighton Bluejays in a high-profile neutral-site matchup on November 25, 2025. Both teams are ranked and have shown strong performances this season, making this a pivotal game for their NCAA tournament resumes. The game is expected to be competitive, with both teams boasting balanced offenses and solid defenses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State has been dominant at home and in neutral-site games, winning their last three matchups by double digits. Creighton has shown resilience on the road but struggled in their last away game against Gonzaga, losing by 27 points. Both teams have strong offensive ratings, but Iowa State's defense has been more consistent recently.
  • Recent head-to-head matchups have been closely contested, with both teams splitting the last four meetings. The last meeting saw Creighton win by a narrow margin, but Iowa State has a slight edge in neutral-site games.
  • No major injuries have been reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to field their full starting lineups.
  • The game is being played at a neutral site in Las Vegas, which could slightly favor Iowa State due to their experience in high-pressure environments. Weather and travel are not significant factors for this indoor event.
  • Both teams are motivated to secure a strong non-conference win, which could impact their seeding in the NCAA tournament. Iowa State is looking to build momentum after a series of impressive victories, while Creighton aims to bounce back from their recent road loss.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -200, Creighton Bluejays +170 Iowa State Cyclones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Creighton Bluejays +9.5 -110, Iowa State Cyclones -9.5 -110 Iowa State Cyclones -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 150.5 -110, Under 150.5 -110 Over 150.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 150.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State is favored to win this matchup due to their recent form and defensive consistency. The game is expected to be close, but Iowa State's experience in neutral-site games gives them a slight edge.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 78, Creighton Bluejays 72


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St. John's Red Storm vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: St. John's Red Storm vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-24
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Michelob ULTRA Arena, Paradise

Game Overview

The St. John's Red Storm (3-1) face the Iowa State Cyclones (4-0) in a key NCAA basketball matchup. Iowa State is unbeaten so far and hosting the game, holding a slight advantage in home performance and recent form. The game is expected to be competitive, with an over/under total set at 160.5 points, reflecting a moderate scoring pace.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State enters the game undefeated at 4-0, demonstrating strong performance with a 3-1 record against the spread and a recent tendency for games to go over the total points line. St. John's holds a respectable 3-1 record but has been handicapped by the season-ending injury to Bryce Hopkins, an important forward/guard.
  • Recent head-to-head data is limited, but Iowa State holds a home advantage and has been favored by bettors with 100% of public bets backing them on the spread. St. John's has yet to gain significant betting support reflected in odds and public percentages.
  • St. John's will miss Bryce Hopkins for the entire season due to a knee injury, weakening their offensive and defensive capabilities. Iowa State appears to be without major injuries, maintaining full strength.
  • The game is played at Michelob ULTRA Arena in Paradise, giving Iowa State home court benefit. Public betting shows strong support for Iowa State (100% bets on spread), indicating confidence in their form and home edge.
  • Iowa State is motivated to maintain their perfect start at home and continue building early-season momentum. St. John's, coming off a solid start, looks to overcome injury setbacks and challenge a top-tier opponent on the road.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline St. John's Red Storm: 2.12, Iowa State Cyclones: 1.76 Iowa State Cyclones win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Iowa State Cyclones: -1.5 -120, St. John's Red Storm: +1.5 100 Iowa State Cyclones to cover -1.5 spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 160.5 -110, under: 160.5 -110 Over 160.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 160.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 160.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones to win by a narrow margin, leveraging home advantage and current undefeated form. The game is expected to be competitive but with Iowa State slightly favored to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 82 – St. John's Red Storm 78


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Kansas Jayhawks Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Kansas Jayhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: Saturday, November 22, 2025
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, Iowa

Game Overview

The Iowa State Cyclones host the Kansas Jayhawks in a Big 12 Conference matchup during Week 13 of the 2025 college football season. Iowa State enters as the home favorite with a 6-4 overall record and 3-4 Big 12 record, while Kansas comes in at 5-5 overall with a 3-4 Big 12 conference mark. This is a critical late-season game for both teams, with bowl eligibility implications. The Cyclones are favored by 4.5 points, reflecting their home-field advantage and slightly superior regular season record.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State has demonstrated inconsistency this season with a 6-4 record. The team won their most recent game and currently holds a one-game winning streak. Kansas, at 5-5, is still searching for their sixth win to secure bowl eligibility. Both teams sit at 3-4 in Big 12 play, indicating competitive conference matchups. Iowa State's home record shows strength with 3 wins at home versus 2 away wins, while Kansas has struggled on the road with 2 away wins against 2 away losses.
  • Specific head-to-head historical data between these teams for the 2025 season is not available in the search results. However, the betting markets strongly favor Iowa State, suggesting the Cyclones have performed better relative to expectations or have stronger recent form.
  • Injury information for either team is not provided in the available search results. This represents a significant unknown factor that could influence game outcomes, particularly regarding key players on either side.
  • The game is scheduled for 11:00 AM CT kickoff on a Saturday, which typically favors the home team with established routines. Iowa State's home-field advantage at Jack Trice Stadium is a notable factor. Weather conditions for Ames, Iowa in late November could affect passing games and field conditions, though specific forecasts are not available.
  • Both teams are fighting for bowl eligibility and postseason positioning. For Kansas, this represents a critical road game in their final Big 12 road trip of the season, adding urgency to their performance. Iowa State, playing at home, has the advantage of potentially clinching a more favorable bowl destination with a win.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State -180 / Kansas +152 Iowa State Cyclones Win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Iowa State -4.5 (-105) / Kansas +4.5 (-115) Iowa State Cyclones -4.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 55.5 (-105) / Under 55.5 (-115) Under 55.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 55.5 -2%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Iowa State Cyclones at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones are predicted to win this matchup. The combination of home-field advantage, superior regular season record, and bookmaker confidence (reflected in the -180 moneyline) strongly suggests an Iowa State victory. The Cyclones' 3-win home record compared to Kansas's 2-win away record further supports this prediction. Iowa State should be able to control the game at Jack Trice Stadium.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 27, Kansas Jayhawks 20


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Stonehill Skyhawks Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Stonehill Skyhawks – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-18
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: James H. Hilton Coliseum, Ames, Iowa

Game Overview

The Iowa State Cyclones, ranked #16 nationally and currently undefeated at 3-0, will host the Stonehill Skyhawks, who hold a 1-2 record and are struggling on the road with no wins away, in this NCAA Men's basketball matchup. Iowa State has demonstrated dominant performances with recent decisive victories including a 102-62 rout and a 96-80 win, while Stonehill has lost its last four away games with relatively close margins, facing tougher competition. The Cyclones are heavy favorites and expected to dominate offensively and defensively in this home game.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State is on a winning streak (3-0) with strong offensive outputs exceeding 90 points per game and solid defense, holding opponents to under 80 points. Stonehill has a poor away record and is coming off multiple losses, including a 74-63 defeat to Loyola Maryland and a 73-71 loss at Fairfield, signaling struggles to keep pace against stronger programs.
  • No recent head-to-head games between the teams found; Stonehill is a newer entrant with less experience and success against high-caliber Big 12 teams like Iowa State.
  • No reported injuries affecting key starters or rotation players for either team according to available data.
  • The game is played at Iowa State's home court, Hilton Coliseum, which provides a significant home-court advantage due to crowd support and travel fatigue impacting Stonehill. The Cyclones are also ranked 16th nationally, adding to their confidence and intensity.
  • Iowa State aims to maintain its undefeated record and showcase dominance early in the season to boost ranking and momentum. Stonehill looks to gain experience and try to pull off an upset on the road, although motivation might be tempered by recent poor travel results.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones: -1500, Stonehill Skyhawks: +1100, Draw: N/A Iowa State Cyclones win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Spread Iowa State Cyclones: -36.5 -108, Stonehill Skyhawks: +36.5 -112 Iowa State Cyclones cover the spread β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 90%
Over/under Over 147.5: -106, Under 147.5: -114 Over 147.5 total points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 147.5 36%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 147.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 38.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones will win decisively by a large margin, comfortably covering the spread of -36.5 points. The game pace suggests a high-scoring affair, likely to go over the 147.5 total points line given Iowa State's potent offense and Stonehill's defensive weaknesses.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones ninety-eight – Stonehill Skyhawks sixty


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Mississippi St Bulldogs Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Mississippi St Bulldogs – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-11
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Sanford Pentagon, Sioux Falls, SD

Game Overview

Iowa State Cyclones face the Mississippi St Bulldogs in a non-conference NCAA basketball game at the Sanford Pentagon. Iowa State enters with a strong start, recently winning 102-62 over Grambling State, while Mississippi State opened their season with an 86-62 home win against North Alabama. This match marks a renewed rivalry, meeting for the first time since 2021, when Mississippi State dominated 95-56 at home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State ranked 34th nationally in offense last season, averaging 80.3 points per game, and were solid defensively (61st). They excelled as favorites, winning 78.3% of games as moneyline favorites of -235 or shorter. Mississippi State had inconsistencies with a 15-19 ATS record last year and performed better on the road than at home.
  • Mississippi State leads the all-time series 3-0, including a last meeting blowout victory 95-56 in 2021. The teams have not met since, with Iowa State having a 0-3 record historically versus Mississippi State.
  • No significant injury reports were found for either team ahead of the matchup, suggesting both sides will field strong lineups.
  • The game is at the neutral Sanford Pentagon, a venue familiar to Iowa State’s coach Otzelberger, who has coached there previously. This familiarity could be advantageous for Iowa State. No extreme weather or logistical issues expected.
  • Both teams aim to establish early season dominance. Iowa State seeks redemption from prior losses and to maintain momentum after a strong opening win. Mississippi State, with recent victories, looks to assert their historical dominance and prove competitiveness in neutral settings.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones: -255, Mississippi St Bulldogs: 205 Iowa State Cyclones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Spread Iowa State Cyclones: -5.5 -106, Mississippi St Bulldogs: +5.5 -114 Iowa State Cyclones to cover -5.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over: 150.5 -110, Under: 150.5 -110 Over 150.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 150.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 150.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State is favored to win given recent form, stronger season start, and coach familiarity with the venue. Mississippi State could keep it competitive but is less likely to cover the spread.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 78 – Mississippi St Bulldogs 70


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TCU Horned Frogs vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: TCU Horned Frogs vs Iowa State Cyclones – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 8:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, Texas

Game Overview

The matchup between TCU Horned Frogs (6-2, 3-2 Big 12) and Iowa State Cyclones (5-4, 2-4 Big 12) is a Big 12 showdown with TCU holding a better overall record and a stronger conference standing. The game takes place at TCU's home stadium, where the Horned Frogs are significant favorites both on the moneyline and against the spread[1][3].

Key Factors to Consider

  • TCU ranks 38th in scoring offense (34.6 PPG) and 74th in scoring defense (25.1 PPG). Their passing offense is elite (11th nationally), but their run game is weak (108th). The defense allows a lot of passing yards (118th) but is solid against the run (34th). Iowa State, while unranked, have a balanced record with a below-average Big 12 performance, indicating inconsistency[1][3].
  • No direct recent head-to-head data provided, but TCU’s general trend as a favorite is strong: 11-1 SU in last 12 as a favorite and 12-2 SU in last 14 home games[5].
  • No live injury updates available in the data.
  • Game will be broadcast nationally on FOX with live streaming available, suggesting good weather and field conditions (not specified in data).
  • TCU is fighting for a top-tier bowl and possible conference championship positioning, while Iowa State is likely playing for bowl eligibility and pride[3].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline TCU -258, Iowa State +210 TCU to win High
Spread TCU -7 (-108), Iowa State +7 (-112) TCU to cover -7 Moderate-High (TCU at home, better team, but ISU could keep it within one score)
Over/under Over/Under 57.5 (-110/-110) Under 57.5 Low-Moderate (TCU’s poor pass defense could fuel scoring, but recent trends suggest volatility)

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline TCU Horned Frogs 117%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 57.5 -1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: TCU Horned Frogs at 117% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 55.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

TCU is favored heavily at home, with strong metrics in passing and a solid track record as a favorite. Iowa State’s inconsistent form suggests a TCU win and cover is likely, though their porous pass defense could keep Iowa State in the game. Expect an average-scoring Big 12 game.

Predicted Score: TCU 31, Iowa State 24


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Top EV Parlay for American Football – November 8, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for American Football – November 8, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Iowa State Cyclones Prediction TCU Horned Frogs -258 117%
Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. Navy Midshipmen Prediction Over 56.5 -105 37%
Miami Hurricanes vs. Syracuse Orange Prediction Under 45.5 -110 34%

Combined Odds: +417 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $103.44

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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Grambling St Tigers Prediction NCAAB in Basketball

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Grambling St Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-07
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Hilton Coliseum, Ames, IA

Game Overview

The Iowa State Cyclones host the Grambling State Tigers in a non-conference NCAA basketball game. Both teams start the season 1-0 following dominant opening wins. Iowa State won 88-50 at home against Fairleigh Dickinson, showcasing efficient shooting and strong rebounding. Grambling State opened with a 91-47 blowout against Huston-Tillotson, with key contributions inside the paint. Iowa State is heavily favored, reflected in a large -32.5 spread, while the over/under is set near 140.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State exhibits superior shooting efficiency (over 52% FG, 44% 3PT in opener) and strong rebounding (41 rebounds) led by Milan Momcilovic who scored 29 points. Grambling State showed scoring balance and dominance inside with a decisive 91-47 win but has a weaker recent history with a decline in last season's performance (12-22 overall).
  • Iowa State dominates head-to-head history including a recent 92-37 win over Grambling. Both teams enter at 1-0 this season, but Iowa State has the historical edge and experience advantage playing at home.
  • No significant injury reports or absences have been noted for either team ahead of this game.
  • The game is played at Iowa State’s Hilton Coliseum, giving them home court advantage. The public betting is balanced at 50% split, indicating no heavy public bias despite the spread.
  • Both teams want to maintain undefeated starts; Iowa State aims to confirm its superiority after last season's strong showing, while Grambling looks to rebound from a disappointing prior year and gain confidence against a higher-tier opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Iowa State: -1500, Grambling State: +1200 Iowa State Cyclones win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 99%
Spread Grambling State: -104, Iowa State: -118 Iowa State Cyclones cover -32.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜… 95%
Over/under Over: -110, Under: -110 Over 140.5 points β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Home 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 140.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 140.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State Cyclones win decisively, covering the large spread due to superior season start, home advantage, and historical dominance. Expect a high scoring game, likely exceeding the total of 140.5 points.

Predicted Score: Iowa State 92 – Grambling State 58


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Iowa State Cyclones vs. Arizona State Sun Devils Prediction NCAAF in American Football

Match Analysis: Iowa State Cyclones vs Arizona State Sun Devils – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 5:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA

Game Overview

The Iowa State Cyclones and Arizona State Sun Devils face off in a critical Big 12 matchup with playoff implications at Jack Trice Stadium. Iowa State enters as a solid favorite with a strong home advantage and better recent form despite some recent losses, while Arizona State is coping with key injuries and a backup quarterback. Both teams have similar 5-3 records, but Iowa State's efficiency and home conditions tip the scales.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Iowa State averages 29.0 points per game and allows 21.8 points, showing balanced offensive and defensive capability. Arizona State has a potent ground game averaging 175.6 rushing yards per game but allows 24.3 points per game defensively. Iowa State has lost three consecutive games, while Arizona State has won 4 of 6 as an underdog, indicating resilience but Arizona State faces troubles with quarterback injury and less favorable recent form.
  • This matchup is a Big 12 rivalry with Iowa State holding the advantage at home. Both teams hold 5-3 records this season, but recent line movements and expert analysis favor Iowa State, especially given the sharp money moving the spread from -4 to -7.5 for Iowa State.
  • Arizona State's starting quarterback Sam Leavitt is out with injury, forcing a backup QB start, which is a significant disadvantage. Iowa State appears healthier with no major injury concerns reported.
  • The game is played in Ames, Iowa, giving Iowa State strong home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be colder, which historically favors the home Big 12 team more acclimated to such conditions. Public money is leaning towards Arizona State against the line move, signifying sharp money favoring Iowa State.
  • Iowa State is highly motivated to end a three-game losing streak and keep playoff hopes alive. With a tough road game at TCU looming next week, an emphatic win at home is a priority. Arizona State, despite injury setbacks, aims to sustain its status as a competitive underdog and to prove resilience by covering the spread.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Arizona State Sun Devils: 270, Iowa State Cyclones: -335 Iowa State Cyclones β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Arizona State Sun Devils: 7.5 -105, Iowa State Cyclones: -7.5 -115 Iowa State Cyclones -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under over: 48.5 -110, under: 48.5 -110 Under 48.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Iowa State Cyclones -9%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 48.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 48.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Iowa State wins by a moderate margin, capitalizing on home advantage, better quarterback situation, and stronger defensive positioning against a backup quarterback-led Arizona State.

Predicted Score: Iowa State Cyclones 28 – Arizona State Sun Devils 17


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