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New Orleans Pelicans vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: New Orleans Pelicans vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-17
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Smoothie King Center

Game Overview

Golden State Warriors (8-6) face the New Orleans Pelicans (2-10) in New Orleans on Sunday, November 16, 2025. The Warriors are heavy favorites on the road, with the Pelicans struggling defensively and reeling from a coaching change and multiple injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors rank 10th in defensive efficiency and have won 4 of their last 5 games, including a dramatic win in San Antonio. Pelicans rank 28th in defensive efficiency, allowing 121.3 points per game, and have lost 4 straight, including 3 by 30+ points.
  • Warriors have dominated recent matchups, winning 7 of the last 8 meetings. Golden State has covered the spread in 6 of the last 7 head-to-head games.
  • Zion Williamson is questionable (hamstring), Jordan Poole (quadriceps) is out another week. Warriors are relatively healthy, with no major injuries reported.
  • Pelicans fired head coach Willie Green on Saturday, creating major instability. Smoothie King Center atmosphere may be subdued due to team turmoil and poor record.
  • Warriors are motivated to solidify playoff positioning. Pelicans are demoralized and in rebuilding mode after firing their coach and enduring a losing streak.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -500 Golden State Warriors β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 82%
Spread -10.5 -108 Golden State Warriors -10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under 227.5 -110 Over β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Golden State Warriors -2%
Spread Golden State Warriors -10.5 43%
Over/Under Over 227.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Golden State Warriors -10.5 at 43% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Golden State Warriors to win and cover the spread, with a high-scoring game.

Predicted Score: 122-104


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San Antonio Spurs vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: San Antonio Spurs vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-15
  • Time: 2:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Frost Bank Center, San Antonio

Game Overview

The San Antonio Spurs (8-3) host the Golden State Warriors (7-6) in a highly anticipated NBA matchup featuring two top scorers: Victor Wembanyama (26.2 PPG) and Stephen Curry (27.1 PPG). The Spurs are slight favorites on the moneyline and spread, with both teams showing strong offensive capabilities and contrasting recent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Spurs hold an 8-3 record with 3-5-3 ATS this season, showing stronger home performance. Warriors are 7-6 overall, 6-7 ATS, with a strong home ATS record (4-0-1) but poor road ATS (2-6). Spurs score an average home points of ~122, Warriors average road points of ~112, reflecting home offensive advantage.
  • Historically, Warriors lead the series 36-30. Recent encounters have been competitive with the last game ending Warriors 114 – Spurs 111. Warriors cover the +10.5 spread in 11 consecutive road meetings. Both teams tend to score over 110.5 points in most head-to-head games, signaling high scoring potential.
  • No major injuries reported impacting key players on either side, both Victor Wembanyama and Stephen Curry expected to play.
  • Game played at Spurs' home venue, which favors Spurs by a slight margin. Public betting leans towards Spurs (69% bets), showing confidence in home favorites.
  • Spurs are looking to build on their strong start at home; Warriors eager to recover from recent away losses and reinforce their standing. Both teams motivated with star players in form, expecting high intensity.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline San Antonio Spurs -135, Golden State Warriors +114 San Antonio Spurs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread San Antonio Spurs -2.5 (-105), Golden State Warriors +2.5 (-115) San Antonio Spurs -2.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 235.5 (-110), Under 235.5 (-110) Over 235.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline San Antonio Spurs 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 235.5 15%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 235.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

San Antonio Spurs to win straight up, cover the -2.5 spread, and the game to go over 235.5 points.

Predicted Score: San Antonio Spurs 121 – Golden State Warriors 114


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Oklahoma City Thunder vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Oklahoma City Thunder vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-12
  • Time: 1:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City

Game Overview

The Oklahoma City Thunder, with a strong 10-1 record and home court advantage at Paycom Center, face the Golden State Warriors, who hold a 6-5 record and are struggling on the road. Both teams are led by high-scoring stars: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for the Thunder and Stephen Curry for the Warriors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Thunder have been dominant (10-1), especially in home games (4 straight home wins). Warriors have a middling 6-5 record and a 5-game road losing streak recently, indicating weakness away from home.
  • Recent H2H meetings favor the Warriors with a 116-109 win recently, but the Thunder have covered spreads and won most games as favorites. The last three matchups were competitive with slight edge to Thunder in outcomes.
  • No major injuries reported for key players. Lineups likely to feature Shai Gilgeous-Alexander, Chet Holmgren, Isaiah Hartenstein for Thunder and Stephen Curry, Jimmy Butler III, Jonathan Kuminga for Warriors.
  • Game aired on NBCS with good fan support for Thunder at home. Warriors face travel and fatigue challenges with current road struggles. No external disruptions expected.
  • Thunder motivated to maintain strong season start and home dominance. Warriors motivated to end road losing streak but face uphill battle against in-form Thunder.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -290 Oklahoma City Thunder β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread -110 Oklahoma City Thunder -7.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%
Over/under -108 Under 228.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Oklahoma City Thunder -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 228.5 25%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 228.5 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 27.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Oklahoma City Thunder to win outright (moneyline), cover the -7.5 spread, and the game total to go under 228.5 points.

Predicted Score: Thunder 119 – Warriors 107


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Golden State Warriors vs. Indiana Pacers Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Golden State Warriors vs Indiana Pacers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-10
  • Time: 1:40 AM UTC
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, California

Game Overview

The Golden State Warriors (5-5) host the struggling Indiana Pacers (1-8) at Chase Center, with Golden State favored by a large spread and holding a strong home winning streak. Indiana struggles offensively and on the road, while the Warriors have recent inconsistency but remain the dominant team in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Golden State is on a four-game home winning streak but has an overall 5-5 record, showing some inconsistency. Indiana is 1-8 overall and has lost four straight road games, indicating severe struggles both offensively and defensively.
  • Warriors have historical dominance over the Pacers and hold a significant edge in recent matchups. Golden State tends to control pace and scoring margins against Indiana.
  • No significant injuries reported for either team. Both lineups expected to feature starting key players, including Stephen Curry for Golden State.
  • Home court advantage strongly favors the Warriors, playing at the Chase Center. The Pacers face fatigue and travel disadvantages.
  • Warriors motivated to extend home winning streak and recover from recent losses; Pacers likely motivated to avoid further slide but lack consistent firepower.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -650, away: +480 Golden State Warriors β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread home: -110, away: -110 Golden State Warriors -12.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Over/under over: -110, under: -110 Under 227.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Golden State Warriors -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 227.5 5%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 227.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Golden State Warriors to win by more than 12.5 points, with a game total under 227.5 points

Predicted Score: Golden State Warriors 118 – Indiana Pacers 103


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Denver Nuggets vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Denver Nuggets vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-08
  • Time: 3:10 AM UTC
  • Location: Ball Arena

Game Overview

Denver Nuggets host Golden State Warriors in an NBA Cup Group Play matchup. Nuggets are strong at home, especially with a healthy roster, while Warriors are missing Steph Curry and possibly Jimmy Butler, coming off a back-to-back-to-back stretch.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Nuggets are 5-2, averaging 2nd in scoring and offensive efficiency. Warriors are 5-4, 14th in scoring, 18th in tempo, and struggling defensively. Nuggets have won two straight after a loss, Warriors lost their last game without Curry.
  • Warriors won the first meeting in overtime, but that was with Curry. Nuggets are favored at home and have a strong record against Warriors in recent years.
  • Steph Curry is out for Warriors due to illness. Jimmy Butler's status is uncertain. Nuggets have a clean injury report.
  • Warriors are playing their third game in four nights, while Nuggets are well-rested. Ball Arena's altitude gives Denver a home-court edge.
  • Both teams are competing for NBA Cup advancement, but Nuggets have a stronger incentive to protect home court and improve their record.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -440, away: 340 Denver Nuggets β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78%
Spread home: -9.5 -115, away: 9.5 -105 Denver Nuggets -9.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Over/under over: 228.5 -108, under: 228.5 -112 Over 228.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Denver Nuggets -6%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 228.5 37%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 228.5 at 37% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 39.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Denver Nuggets will win by double digits, covering the spread and pushing the game over the total.

Predicted Score: 123-108


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Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Indiana Pacers vs Golden State Warriors – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Gainbridge Fieldhouse, Indianapolis, IN

Game Overview

The winless Pacers (0-5) host the Warriors (4-2), who are coming off a loss to the Bucks and are adjusting to their aging core. Indiana is on a five-game losing streak, struggling both offensively and defensively, while Golden State remains a high-scoring, analytically strong team despite recent road losses.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors average 119 PPG (47.4% FG) and allow 116 PPG (48.8% FG), with strong three-point shooting and discipline at the line. Pacers recently lost 128–108 at home to the Hawks; despite quality individual performances, their team defense and execution remain poor[2][3].
  • Pacers have surprisingly won 7 of the last 10 meetings, but current form and rosters make this data less predictive for tonight’s game[3].
  • No major inactives reported for either team; Alex Toohey (Warriors) is the only injury of note and is not a rotation player[4].
  • Pacers on a back-to-back with tired legs and a limited roster, increasing the Warriors' advantage[2].
  • Warriors are keen to bounce back from a road loss; Pacers desperate to avoid an 0-6 start.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Warriors -460, Pacers +360 Warriors win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 85%
Spread Warriors -10.5 -110, Pacers +10.5 -110 Pacers +10.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 231.5 -110, Under 231.5 -110 Over 231.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Golden State Warriors 282%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 231.5 30%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Golden State Warriors at 282% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 78.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Warriors dominate, but Pacers may keep the final margin below the spread.

Predicted Score: Warriors 124, Pacers 114


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Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 1, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Basketball – November 1, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Indiana Pacers vs. Golden State Warriors Prediction Golden State Warriors -460 282%
Charlotte Hornets vs. Minnesota Timberwolves Prediction Charlotte Hornets 176 71%
Boston Celtics vs. Houston Rockets Prediction Over 225.5 -108 31%

Combined Odds: +547 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $129.42

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Golden State Warriors vs. Los Angeles Clippers Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Golden State Warriors vs Los Angeles Clippers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 3:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco, California

Game Overview

The Golden State Warriors (3-1) host the Los Angeles Clippers (2-1) in a Pacific Division matchup. The Clippers are slight favorites with a 1.5-point spread advantage at home despite playing on the road, with a moderately high total set around 223.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Warriors show strong recent form with a 3-1 record and top league performance in third quarter win percentage. Clippers have won 8 of their last 10 games against the Warriors and currently 2-1, averaging 117 points per game.
  • Recent history favors Clippers who have dominated the Warriors in 8 of the last 10 matchups, indicating strong tactical matchups and psychological edge, but Warriors maintain home court advantage.
  • No reported major injuries affecting starting lineups or rotations for either team in the available data, suggesting both squads are near full strength.
  • Warriors are playing on a back-to-back which may reduce their performance level slightly, while Clippers have more rest advantage and travel to San Francisco.
  • Both teams are motivated early in the season to assert Pacific Division dominance. The Clippers have momentum from recent wins, putting additional psychological edge in this rivalry game.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Golden State Warriors: +102, Los Angeles Clippers: -122 Los Angeles Clippers β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 72%
Spread Golden State Warriors +1.5: -105, Los Angeles Clippers -1.5: -115 Los Angeles Clippers -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under Over 223.5: -112, Under 223.5: -108 Over 223.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Clippers 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 223.5 8%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 223.5 at 8% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Los Angeles Clippers win straight up (moneyline), cover the -1.5 spread, and the total points scored will go Over 223.5

Predicted Score: Los Angeles Clippers 116 – Golden State Warriors 111


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Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction NBA in Basketball

Match Analysis: Golden State Warriors vs Memphis Grizzlies – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-28
  • Time: 2:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Chase Center, Golden State Warriors home

Game Overview

The Golden State Warriors host the Memphis Grizzlies in a Western Conference matchup with both teams holding 2-1 records this season. The Warriors are favored at home with an -8.5 spread and a moneyline of -325. Memphis is a solid underdog with moneyline +260 but has been competitive recently, including past success against the Warriors.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Golden State has been strong at home with a 2-1 record and good offensive production, though defense has shown vulnerabilities early in the season. Memphis is averaging 123.3 points per game on 45.2% shooting but allows 124 points per game. Both teams have similar win percentages (.667), indicating closely matched form.
  • Warriors have won most recent meetings including three in 2025 by margins ranging 3-7 points. However, underdogs have covered 5 of last 10 matchups and the Grizzlies had a dominant 144-93 win on 12/19/2024, showing they can upset the Warriors at times.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that would drastically affect expected lineups or rotations for this game.
  • The game is at the Chase Center, giving Warriors home court advantage. Travel fatigue is minimal for Memphis with good rest. No unusual external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are early in the season and motivated to establish playoff positioning in the competitive West. Warriors have added incentive to defend home court after recent defensive lapses; Grizzlies seek to prove resilience and continue success against Golden State.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline home: -325, away: +260 Golden State Warriors β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74%
Spread home: -105, away: -115 Golden State Warriors -8.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 68%
Over/under over: -115, under: -105 Over 238.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 63%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Golden State Warriors -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 238.5 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Over 238.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Golden State Warriors to cover the -8.5 spread

Predicted Score: Warriors 125 – Grizzlies 111


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3 Pick Parlay for Basketball – October 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Dallas Mavericks vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Prediction Oklahoma City Thunder Win -295 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 78% (78%)
Golden State Warriors vs. Memphis Grizzlies Prediction Golden State Warriors Win -325 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74% (74%)
San Antonio Spurs vs. Toronto Raptors Prediction San Antonio Spurs Win -218 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 74% (74%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +155

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $51.08

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