Match Analysis: Cleveland St Vikings vs Valparaiso Beacons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-19
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Wolstein Center, Cleveland, OH
Game Overview
The Cleveland State Vikings (2-3) host the Valparaiso Beacons (3-1) in a non-conference matchup at the Wolstein Center. Both teams are coming off recent wins, with Cleveland State showing offensive strength and Valparaiso struggling on the road. The Vikings are favored at home, with a strong recent record in their building, while Valparaiso has a poor history in Wednesday road games.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cleveland State is averaging 80.8 points per game (43.9% FG) and 37.8 rebounds, with 16.8 assists per game. They are committing 21.6 fouls per game and shooting 70.3% from the free-throw line. Valparaiso is averaging 68 points per game (39.3% FG), 37.5 rebounds, and 41 assists (336th in D-1). They turn the ball over 10 times per game and commit 16 fouls per game. Cleveland State has a clear edge in offensive production and efficiency.
- No recent head-to-head data is available for this matchup, but Cleveland State has won 12 of its last 14 home games, while Valparaiso has lost 19 of its last 20 Wednesday road games and lost the first half in each of its last eight Wednesday road games against non-conference opponents.
- No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates.
- Cleveland State enjoys a strong home-court advantage at the Wolstein Center, where they have won 12 of their last 14 games. Valparaiso has struggled on the road, especially on Wednesdays, and is facing a tough environment.
- Cleveland State is looking to build momentum after a slow start and capitalize on their home advantage. Valparaiso is aiming to bounce back from a poor road record and prove they can compete away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland St Vikings: -148, Valparaiso Beacons: 124 | Cleveland St Vikings | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Cleveland St Vikings: -2.5 -110, Valparaiso Beacons: 2.5 -110 | Cleveland St Vikings -2.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 156.5 -105, Under: 156.5 -115 | Over 156.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cleveland St Vikings 1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 156.5 27% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 156.5 at 27% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cleveland State is favored to win this game, given their superior offensive production, home-court advantage, and Valparaiso's struggles on the road. The Vikings are expected to control the pace and outscore the Beacons, especially in the first half. The total is likely to go over, as both teams have shown a tendency to score and allow points in recent games.
Predicted Score: Cleveland State 82, Valparaiso 75