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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – August 31, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Santos vs. Fluminense Prediction Fluminense 212 47%
1. FC Köln vs. SC Freiburg Prediction 1. FC Köln 161 44%
Aston Villa vs. Crystal Palace Prediction Aston Villa -114 40%

Combined Odds: +1429 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $305.73

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Bragantino-SP vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-23
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Cicero de Souza Marques, Bragança Paulista, Brazil

Game Overview

Bragantino-SP hosts Fluminense in a closely matched Brasileirão contest. Both teams sit mid-table, with Fluminense slightly ahead (8th vs 9th). Their recent encounter was competitive, reflecting similar form and capabilities.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bragantino has shown steady home form but lacks consistent goal scoring. Fluminense's recent away results have been solid with an organized defense and opportunistic attack, slightly edging Bragantino in overall form.
  • In the last season, the teams met twice with balanced results, each securing a win, indicating a tight matchup without dominance.
  • No critical injuries reported for either side affecting key starting players, implying both teams will field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Bragantino's home ground, which normally offers a slight advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be standard with no disruptions.
  • Both teams aim to improve their league standing, with Fluminense possibly more motivated to climb higher given their marginally better position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bragantino-SP: +139, Fluminense: +215, Draw: +200 Draw ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Bragantino-SP -0.25: +105, Fluminense +25: -125 Bragantino-SP -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -105, Under 2: -115 Under 2 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Draw 35%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Draw at 35% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw on moneyline, Bragantino -0.25 on spread, Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Fluminense vs. Fortaleza Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Fortaleza – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense, currently ranked 7th, hosts Fortaleza, ranked 18th, in a key Brasileirão Série A match. Fluminense has shown stronger recent form and better home results, while Fortaleza struggles with consistency and lower league placement.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense boasts a solid recent run with 4 wins and 1 draw in last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals per match and conceding 1.2. Fortaleza’s recent form is weaker, with 3 wins, 2 draws, and no losses, but lower confidence in away matches and a lower average of 0.6 points per match against Fluminense historically.
  • In the past 19 encounters, Fluminense leads with 9 wins versus Fortaleza’s 6, and 4 draws. Since 2024, Fortaleza has won more recent direct clashes, but Fluminense still holds a historical edge especially at home. Recent H2H show mixed results but Fluminense is favored in home strategy.
  • No significant injury reports affecting starting lineups for either side immediately preceding this match, implying both teams can field near-full strength squads.
  • Home advantage for Fluminense at the iconic Maracanã with strong fan support and no notable weather or travel disruptions expected. Fortaleza faces a long away trip and less supportive atmosphere.
  • Fluminense sits comfortably mid-table seeking points to strengthen top-table positioning, enhancing motivation. Fortaleza fights to avoid relegation, which motivates urgency but may risk defensive lapses under pressure.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense -135, Fortaleza 395, Draw 250 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Fluminense -0.75 -102, Fortaleza +75 -118 Fluminense -0.75 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 24%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 24% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 26.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline, cover -0.75 spread, and match to go under 2.25 goals

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Bahia vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Bahia vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Casa de Apostas Arena Fonte Nova

Game Overview

Bahia hosts Fluminense in a critical Brasileirão Serie A fixture with Bahia currently 4th and Fluminense 9th in the standings. Bahia are in better recent form and stronger at home, while Fluminense struggles on the road and has some key injuries.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia's recent form is solid with 8 wins, 5 draws, 3 losses overall and a strong 6-2-0 record at home. Fluminense has a weaker 7-2-7 record overall, with only 2-1-5 away, indicating struggles on the road.
  • Historical data and recent H2H slightly favor Bahia, who have a better goal difference and higher league position. Wincomparator places Bahia win probability at about 54%, with Fluminense at 27% and Draw at 19%.
  • Fluminense is reportedly missing some key players affecting both defense and attack, undermining their away performance. Bahia's injury situation is comparatively stable.
  • The match is at Bahia's home stadium, where they have a strong home record. Fluminense's recent travel and fatigue from international fixtures may affect performance.
  • Bahia, being higher in the table and solidifying a top-4 position, are highly motivated. Fluminense, mid-table with inconsistent form, have less immediate pressure but need points to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia -105, Fluminense 310, Draw 230 Bahia ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Bahia -0.5 100, Fluminense +50 -120 Bahia -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -122, Under 2 102 Under 2 ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 21%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 21% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia to win outright on the moneyline, cover the -0.5 spread, and the match will end with under 2 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Grêmio – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Fluminense hosts Grêmio in a Brasileirão Betano clash with both teams showing mixed form but Fluminense holding home advantage and a higher league standing (6th vs 11th). Historically, Grêmio has more wins in direct encounters but recent results show close competitive matches with a trend of draws lately.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Fluminense averages 1.60 goals per match at home, with 76.19% of home games having over 1.5 goals; Grêmio averages 1.44 goals per match away, with 82.35% of away games over 1.5 goals. Overall scoring suggests a moderately attacking game.
  • Across 52 matches, Grêmio leads with 25 wins to Fluminense's 13, while 14 ended in draws. Recent streak shows two consecutive draws, indicating closely matched contests.
  • No specific injury data provided, but assume typical squad availability for both sides given current information.
  • Playing at Maracanã gives Fluminense a strong home support advantage; weather and pitch conditions are standard for Rio in August.
  • Fluminense, being higher in the table, has motivation to secure points at home to maintain or improve league standing, whereas Grêmio may be motivated to upset higher-ranked opponents and climb from 11th

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense: -125, Draw: 250, Grêmio: 370 Fluminense ★★★★☆ 70%
Spread Fluminense -0.5: -120, Grêmio +50: 100 Fluminense -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Over 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Fluminense 3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 2%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Fluminense at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 3.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fluminense to win on the moneyline and cover the -0.5 spread; expect a moderately high scoring game over 2 goals.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 2, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Mirassol vs. Vasco da Gama Prediction Mirassol Win 100 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)
Fluminense vs. Grêmio Prediction Fluminense Win -125 ★★★★☆ 70% (70%)
Sport Recife vs. Bahia Prediction Bahia Win 145 ★★★☆☆ 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +782

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $176.4

0 7

Sao Paulo vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Sao Paulo vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Morumbí Stadium

Game Overview

A competitive Campeonato Brasileiro match with Sao Paulo hosting Fluminense, both teams evenly matched historically but with Sao Paulo slight home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Recent form shows Sao Paulo with slightly better performance at home and higher average goals scored (2.4) compared to Fluminense (1.5). Sao Paulo has won 4 of last 10 encounters, Fluminense 4, with 2 draws. Both teams have strong defensive records.
  • In 37 total meetings, Sao Paulo leads with 46% wins, Fluminense 27%, and draws 27%. Their matches average 2.62 goals, with 68% both teams scoring.
  • No critical injury updates found in the search results for either side affecting starting XI.
  • Match played at Sao Paulo's Morumbí, large capacity that can favor home crowd impact. No weather or travel issues reported.
  • Both teams are motivated; Sao Paulo to maintain home form and Fluminense to challenge strongly away. Past recent matches were competitive.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Sao Paulo: 1.3, Fluminense: 2.3, Draw: 2.3 Sao Paulo ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Sao Paulo -1: 2.1, Fluminense +1: 1.75 Sao Paulo -1 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2.5: 1.55, Under 2.5: 1.9 Under 2.5 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Sao Paulo 33%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 7%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Sao Paulo at 33% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 25.7% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Sao Paulo to win on the moneyline, Sao Paulo -1.0 on the spread, and under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – July 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Sao Paulo vs. Fluminense Prediction Sao Paulo 130 33%
Bahia vs. Juventude Prediction Under 2.5 102 21%
Cruzeiro vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2.25 -118 15%

Combined Odds: +758 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $171.67

0 15

Fluminense vs. Palmeiras Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Fluminense vs Palmeiras – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-23
  • Time: 10:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil

Game Overview

Top-tier Brazilian Serie A showdown between Fluminense and Palmeiras, two of the league's historic clubs. Both teams are competitive this season, with Palmeiras showing slightly better recent form and higher expected win probability according to available data. The match is expected to be tightly contested, with a modest scoring record in recent head-to-heads.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras has a higher win rate over their last 10 matches (40.4% probability to win this match, with 2.6 goals scored on average per game, 0.9 conceded), while Fluminense is less consistent (40% win probability, 2.2 goals scored per game, 1.5 conceded). Palmeiras also boasts a stronger away record[2]. Fluminense’s home advantage is partially offset by their defensive lapses.
  • In the last 10 meetings, Palmeiras edges Fluminense with 6 wins to Fluminense's 4, and 2 draws. Both teams have scored in 30% of these games, pointing to a tendency for lower-scoring, closely fought encounters[2].
  • No major injury updates found in available data. Assume both teams are at full strength unless late news breaks.
  • No major external disruptions reported. Maracanã typically offers a neutral pitch. Weather conditions are expected to be mild.
  • Both teams are competing for top positions in Serie A. Expect high motivation, but Palmeiras, as title contenders, may have a slight edge in urgency based on league aspirations.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Fluminense 175, Palmeiras 170, Draw 220 PALMEIRAS TO WIN ★★☆☆☆ 47%
Spread Fluminense 0 -108, Palmeiras 0 -112 PALMEIRAS 0 ★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over/under Over 2 -118, Under 2 -102 UNDER 2 GOALS ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras 8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Based on form, head-to-head, and league standings, Palmeiras is the more balanced side and holds marginal statistical and motivational advantages, despite Fluminense's home field. Expect a low-scoring, tight affair with Palmeiras more likely to edge the contest.

Predicted Score: Fluminense 0–1 Palmeiras


0 13

Flamengo vs. Fluminense Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Flamengo vs Fluminense – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-20
  • Time: 10:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Maracanã Stadium

Game Overview

The match between Flamengo and Fluminense is a significant Brazilian Campeonato encounter, with both teams having a rich history of rivalry. Flamengo has generally performed better in recent head-to-head matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has shown strong form in recent matches, while Fluminense's performance has been inconsistent.
  • In their last 91 games, Flamengo won 39, Fluminense won 25, and 27 ended in a draw. Flamengo has a slight edge historically.
  • There are no reported significant injuries affecting either team.
  • The match is played at the Maracanã Stadium, which can favor Flamengo due to their stronger home support.
  • Both teams are motivated, but Flamengo's recent successes might give them an edge in confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline -135, 420, 250 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 74%
Spread -0.75 100, 75 -120 Flamengo -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2 -115, Under 2 -105 Over 2 ★★★☆☆ 58%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 4%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 2 3%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win

Predicted Score: 2-1


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