Flamengo hosts Grêmio in the 22nd round of the Brazilian Serie A at Estadio do Maracana. Flamengo is in strong form at home with a potent offense and a tight defense, while Grêmio shows significantly weaker away stats and less scoring ability.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo has scored 16 goals in their last 5 matches and kept the most clean sheets in the league (12). They average 2.3 goals per home game and concede only 0.47. Grêmio has scored 5 goals in the last 5 matches and averages just 1.0 goals per away match while having a weaker defensive record.
Historically, Flamengo leads with 22 wins vs 16 for Grêmio in 48 meetings. Recent form shows Flamengo winning 4/5, with strong defensive and offensive stats. The teams have had generally tight scoring affairs with Flamengo slightly dominant.
No significant injuries reported for Flamengo or Grêmio that strongly impact starting lineups or key players at this time.
Match played at Flamengo's home stadium, Maracana, known for strong home support and intimidating atmosphere for visitors. Scheduled kick-off favors teams well-prepared in the early evening.
Flamengo, fighting for a top league position, shows high motivation. Grêmio struggles on the road and is likely motivated to reduce the gap but is underdogs here.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Flamengo: -400, Grêmio: 1000, Draw: 460
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Flamengo -1.5: -120, Grêmio +1.5: 100
Flamengo -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.75: 102, Under 2.75: -122
Under 2.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo -13%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win the match outright with a clean sheet and a relatively low scoring game under 2.75 total goals.
Flamengo, top of the table with strong recent form, faces struggling Vitoria, currently near relegation zone. Flamengo are heavy favorites at home with dominant statistics and motivation to maintain their lead.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo holds 12W-4D-2L record with +25 goal difference, showing consistent strength. Vitoria sits 16th with 3W-9D-7L and -6 GD, struggling in defense and attack.
Flamengo has dominated previous meetings, including a recent 2-1 away win. Historical stats favor Flamengo with higher win rates.
No major injury concerns reported for Flamengo. Vitoria likely impacted by squad depth issues but no high-profile absences noted.
Home advantage strongly favors Flamengo at Maracanã. No adverse weather or external disruptions expected.
Flamengo aims to extend lead atop standings; Vitoria motivated to avoid relegation but unlikely to match Flamengo's quality.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -500, away: 1300, draw: 525
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
home: -118, away: -102
Flamengo -1.75
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
over: -105, under: -115
Under 2.75
★★★☆☆ 62%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo -14%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.75 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win moneyline, cover spread -1.75, and Under 2.75 goals
This Brazil Campeonato match features Internacional hosting Flamengo, two evenly matched sides with recent tight encounters. Flamengo enter as slight favorites with better odds and recent Copa Libertadores performance, while Internacional show resilience and decent recent form at home.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo have shown solid recent form including a narrow 1-0 Copa Libertadores win over Internacional, controlling possession and shots. Internacional won their last league game and have avoided heavy defeats, showing balanced attack and defense.
Historically balanced with 39 matches; slight edge to Flamengo at home. Last official match ended 1-1. Both teams have similar scoring and conceding rates, averaging about 2.6 goals per game in H2H meetings.
No major injury reports available affecting starting lineups significantly for either side in this match.
Match played at Internacional's home ground, which provides some advantage. Flamengo may have motivation from prior Libertadores success and stronger squad depth.
Both teams motivated for top league points; Flamengo seek to consolidate early advantage against a tough rival, Internacional motivated to defend home turf and avoid losing streak.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Flamengo 1.28, Internacional 2.30, Draw 2.10
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 71%
Spread
Flamengo -0.25 (-105), Internacional +25 (-115)
Flamengo -0.25
★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under
Over 2 (-120), Under 2 (100)
Under 2
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo 25%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Flamengo at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Location: Estádio do Maracanã, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Game Overview
The match features top-ranked Flamengo hosting 5th placed Mirassol in the Brasileirão. Flamengo are dominant favorites with strong offensive and possession metrics, while Mirassol have shown resilience but weaker overall statistics.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo leads the league with a record of 10W-3D-2L, scoring 29 goals and conceding 6, demonstrating very strong offensive and defensive capabilities. Mirassol stands 5th with 6W-7D-2L, scoring 24 and conceding 14, indicating a competent but less dominant side.
No recent recorded head-to-head matches between Flamengo and Mirassol, suggesting no direct historical advantage for either side.
No significant injury reports affecting key Flamengo players; Mirassol's injury status is stable with no major absences impacting starting XI.
Match played at Flamengo's home ground, Estádio do Maracanã, providing significant home advantage with expected strong local support.
Flamengo motivated to maintain top league position and extend unbeaten streak; Mirassol motivated to close gap to top and upset a superior opponent.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Flamengo -305, Mirassol 850, Draw 420
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Flamengo -1.5 100, Mirassol +1.5 -120
Flamengo -1.5
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.5 -110, Under 2.5 -110
Over 2.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo -7%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.5 15%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win outright, cover the spread (-1.5), and match to go over 2.5 goals
This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Flamengo, two teams with a relatively balanced head-to-head history but with Flamengo showing consistently stronger recent form and marginally better goal production.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo has better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goals per game, whereas Ceará has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with just 0.5 goals per match recently. Flamengo also shows higher goal scoring and better away record.
In 17 matches at Ceará's venue, Flamengo leads with 6 wins vs Ceará's 4 wins, and 7 draws, indicating a slight advantage for Flamengo historically with 41-24 goal aggregate. Matches tend to be competitive and moderately scoring with average goals around 2.4 per game.
No explicit recent injuries reported for either team; therefore, squads likely near full strength.
Match timing favors neither team; no notable external disruptions or fatigue issues noted. Flamengo’s better squad depth may provide advantage in endurance.
Flamengo is positioned higher in the table, thus has strong motivation to secure points away, while Ceará will be motivated to defend home ground but faces tougher challenge.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Ceara: 3.2, Flamengo: 1.95, Draw: 2.3
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
Ceara +50: 1.85, Flamengo -0.5: 1.98
Flamengo -0.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over 2: 1.89, Under 2: 1.93
Under 2 Goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo 11%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -0.5 handicap, under 2.5 goals
This Brazil Campeonato match features Flamengo hosting Atletico Mineiro, two historically strong teams with a close head-to-head record and recent differing forms. Flamengo stands higher in the league table and has favorable recent results, while Atletico Mineiro shows strong defensive form and unbeaten run in Copa do Brasil.
Key Factors to Consider
Flamengo ranks 4th in the league and has won 3 of their last 5 games, scoring and conceding more goals. Atletico Mineiro ranks 10th with mixed form in Serie A but is unbeaten recently in Copa do Brasil and defensively strong.
In their last 50 meetings, Flamengo leads with 21 wins to Atletico's 18, and 11 draws. Recent matches show Flamengo's slightly better offensive output (1.3 PPG vs. 1.4 for Atletico) and better handicap win rate (60%). Historically close rivalry with some big wins on both sides.
Currently no major reported injuries impacting key starters for either squad.
Flamengo plays at home in Maracanã, benefiting from home support. Both teams have similar travel conditions and no significant weather or external disruptions expected.
Flamengo aims to consolidate a higher league position with strong home performance. Atletico Mineiro targets to bounce back after inconsistent league form and maintain unbeaten Copa do Brasil momentum.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Flamengo: -215, Draw: 330, Atletico Mineiro: 625
Flamengo
★★★★☆ 72%
Spread
Flamengo -1: -125, Atletico Mineiro +1: 105
Flamengo -1
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over 2.25: -110, Under 2.25: -110
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 60%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Flamengo -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.25 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.25 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Flamengo to win the match with a narrow margin, with expectation of moderate goal scoring but a solid defensive challenge from Atletico Mineiro.