Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Parma – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-13
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina, positioned 8th in Serie A, faces 16th placed Parma in a crucial match for their European aspirations. Fiorentina has shown solid offensive capabilities, while Parma struggles to secure wins.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fiorentina has a strong home record with 15 wins this season and averages 1.98 goals per match. Conversely, Parma has only 5 wins and averages just 1.26 goals per match, struggling significantly in away fixtures.
• In their last 25 encounters, Fiorentina has won 12, drawn 8, and lost 5 when playing at home. Historically, the teams score an average of 2.58 goals per match against each other.
• Fiorentina's key players are healthy, while Parma has several absences, including Yordan Osorio and Matteo Cancellieri, which may impact their performance.
• The match takes place at Fiorentina's home ground, providing them with a home advantage, particularly considering their playoff push.
• Fiorentina is motivated to secure a European qualification spot, while Parma is fighting against relegation. This adds intensity to the match.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market	EV Pick
Moneyline	Fiorentina 3%
Spread	N/A
Over/Under	Over 2.5 5%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.5% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina is expected to secure a win, potentially with multiple goals scored.

Predicted Score: 3-1

Match Analysis: AC Milan vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-04-05
• Time: 6:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Game Overview

AC Milan hosts Fiorentina in a crucial Serie A match. Milan has struggled with inconsistent form, while Fiorentina has shown strong away performances.

Key Factors to Consider

• Milan is in poor form, having won just 7 of their last 15 home matches, while Fiorentina has been performing well, winning five away games in Serie A.
• Milan has historically dominated Fiorentina, winning 19 times in their past 39 meetings, but recent matches have been more competitive.
• No specific injury reports available for this match.
• The match does not have significant external factors influencing it, such as managerial changes or weather conditions.
• Both teams are highly motivated as they chase better positions in the Serie A table; Fiorentina looks to strengthen its top-seven position, and Milan seeks to climb higher.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	AC Milan: -115, Fiorentina: 295, Draw: 275	AC Milan	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	AC Milan: -0.5 -112, Fiorentina: 50 -108	AC Milan	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over 2.75: -105, Under 2.75: -115	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

AC Milan to win due to historical dominance and home advantage.

Predicted Score: AC Milan 2, Fiorentina 1

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-30
• Time: 1:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina hosts Atalanta in a crucial Serie A match. Fiorentina ranks 6th with 48 points, while Atalanta holds 3rd place with 58 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fiorentina has had mixed results recently, with two wins and three losses in the last five matches. Atalanta has been consistent, securing two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five games.
• Historically, Fiorentina has performed well against Atalanta, having won 25 out of 56 encounters, with 18 draws and 13 losses. Notably, Fiorentina won both matches against Atalanta last season.
• Several players from both teams are missing due to injuries, which could impact team dynamics and performance.
• The home advantage for Fiorentina could provide an edge, but Atalanta's higher league standing might give them confidence.
• Both teams are motivated to secure points for different reasons—Fiorentina to climb the table and Atalanta to maintain their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Atalanta BC: 1.95, Fiorentina: 4.10, Draw: 3.64	Atalanta BC	★★★☆☆ 51%
Spread	Atalanta BC -0.5: 1.95, Fiorentina +50: 1.8	Atalanta BC -0.5	★★☆☆☆ 49%
Over_under	Over 2.5: 1.92, Under 2.5: 1.96	Over 2.5	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Atalanta is favored to win due to their recent form and higher standings.

Predicted Score: 2-1 in favor of Atalanta

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Juventus – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-16
• Time: 5:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence, Italy

Game Overview

Fiorentina hosts Juventus in a Serie A match. Juventus is favored to win, with strong recent form and a historical advantage in head-to-head matches.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fiorentina is in poor form, while Juventus is performing well in Serie A. Juventus has won six away games, showcasing their strength on the road.
• Historically, Juventus has dominated Fiorentina, winning 29 out of 53 matches. However, Fiorentina's home advantage could influence the outcome.
• No significant injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could impact the game, but specific details are not available.
• Both teams are motivated, with Juventus seeking to maintain their Champions League contention and Fiorentina aiming to improve their standings.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fiorentina: 3.50, Juventus: 2.23, Draw: 3.30	Juventus	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Spread	Fiorentina: 25 -112, Juventus: -0.25 -108	Juventus	★★☆☆☆ 45%
Over_under	Over 2.25: 100, Under 2.25: -120	Under 2.25	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Juventus is likely to win due to their strong form and historical dominance.

Predicted Score: Fiorentina 0 – 1 Juventus

Match Analysis: Napoli vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-03-09
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Diego Armando Maradona

Game Overview

Napoli, currently second in Serie A, hosts Fiorentina, who are seventh. Napoli has a strong head-to-head record against Fiorentina, winning 22 out of 43 matches. Both teams have shown mixed form recently.

Key Factors to Consider

• Napoli has been consistent at home, while Fiorentina has struggled with away performances. Napoli averages 1.74 goals per match, and Fiorentina averages 1.98 goals per match.
• Napoli has a significant advantage in head-to-head matches, winning 22 out of 43 encounters. The average goals per match in these encounters is 2.67.
• No specific injury reports are available for this match.
• Weather conditions and crowd support could influence the game, but no significant external factors are noted.
• Napoli is highly motivated to maintain their position in Serie A, while Fiorentina seeks to improve their standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Napoli: -175, Fiorentina: 500, Draw: 310	Napoli	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Napoli: -1 100, Fiorentina: 1 -120	Napoli -1	★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under	Over 2.25: -120, Under 2.25: 100	Over 2.25	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Napoli is likely to win due to their strong home form and head-to-head advantage.

Predicted Score: Napoli 2, Fiorentina 1

Match Analysis: Fiorentina vs Lecce – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-28
• Time: 7:45 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Artemio Franchi

Game Overview

Fiorentina, currently 6th in Serie A, hosts Lecce, who are 18th. Fiorentina has shown stronger home performance, while Lecce struggles away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

• Fiorentina has been inconsistent but generally performs better at home, scoring more goals than Lecce. Lecce has struggled to score away from home.
• In their last 13 meetings, Fiorentina won 4 times, Lecce won 5, and there were 4 draws. Fiorentina scored 19 goals to Lecce's 14.
• No significant injury reports available for this match.
• Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the game.
• Fiorentina is motivated to secure a win to maintain their position in the league, while Lecce seeks points to avoid relegation.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fiorentina: -135, Lecce: 390, Draw: 265	Fiorentina	★★★★☆ 70%
Spread	Fiorentina: -0.75 -102, Lecce: 0.75 -118	Fiorentina	★★★☆☆ 65%
Over_under	Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102	Over 2.25	★★★☆☆ 60%

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina is likely to win due to their home advantage and stronger scoring record.

Predicted Score: Fiorentina 2, Lecce 1

Match Analysis: Hellas Verona vs Fiorentina – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-02-23
• Time: 2:00 PM UTC
• Location: Stadio Marcantonio Bentegodi

Game Overview

Hellas Verona, currently 15th in Serie A, hosts Fiorentina, who are 6th. Verona has struggled with consistency, managing only one win in seven matches in 2025. Fiorentina, despite being inconsistent themselves, have shown strong performances, including a recent win against Inter Milan.

Key Factors to Consider

• Hellas Verona has been inconsistent, with recent losses, while Fiorentina has shown flashes of brilliance but also inconsistency. Fiorentina's attacking prowess, led by Moise Kean, could be a significant factor.
• In their previous matchup on November 10, 2024, Fiorentina won 3-1 against Hellas Verona.
• Hellas Verona is missing key players like Casper Tengstedt and Suat Serdar due to injuries. Fiorentina will be without Robin Gosens due to suspension and Albert Gudmundsson due to injury.
• The match is not televised in the UK, but available on Paramount+ in the US. The absence of key players for both teams could impact team dynamics.
• Hellas Verona is motivated to avoid falling into the relegation zone, while Fiorentina aims to maintain their position in the top six.

Odds and Predictions

Category	Odds	Prediction	Confidence
Moneyline	Fiorentina: -120, Hellas Verona: 320, Draw: 250	Fiorentina	★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread	Fiorentina: -0.5 -110, Hellas Verona: 0.5 -110	Fiorentina	★★★☆☆ 60%
Over_under	Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120	Under	★★★☆☆ 55%

Predicted Outcome

Fiorentina is favored to win due to their stronger recent performances and the absence of key players for Verona.

Predicted Score: 1-0 in favor of Fiorentina