Match Analysis: Venezia vs Fiorentina – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: May 12, 2025
- Time: 4:30 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice, Italy
Game Overview
Venezia and Fiorentina face off in a Serie A match where Fiorentina is favored to win. Venezia has struggled this season, currently 18th in the standings, while Fiorentina is 9th. The match could see significant action given Fiorentina's goal-scoring capabilities, especially with M. Kean leading the team with 17 goals.
Key Factors to Consider
- Venezia has struggled defensively, allowing 46 goals, while Fiorentina has been more consistent with 28 goals scored. Venezia's key players like H. Caviglia will be crucial in this match.
- Historical head-to-head data is not detailed here, but generally, Fiorentina has tended to perform better against lower-ranked teams.
- Injury reports are not detailed here, but any significant injuries could impact team performance.
- Weather conditions in Venice should be favorable on the day of the match.
- Fiorentina has more to gain from this match as they aim to climb the Serie A table, while Venezia is fighting against relegation.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina: 140, Venezia: 205, Draw: 225 | Fiorentina to win | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Fiorentina: -0.25 105, Venezia: 25 -125 | Fiorentina to cover the spread | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 -105, Under: 2.25 -115 | Over 2.25 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Fiorentina 39% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.25 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Fiorentina at 39% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Fiorentina is likely to win this match due to their stronger team performance and goal-scoring capabilities.
Predicted Score: Fiorentina 2, Venezia 1