Match Analysis: FC Dallas vs Portland Timbers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-10
- Time: 12:30 AM UTC
- Location: Toyota Stadium, Frisco, USA
Game Overview
The MLS match features FC Dallas hosting Portland Timbers at Toyota Stadium. FC Dallas occupies a mid-table rank (around 12th), while Portland Timbers are positioned higher near 5th place. The teams have a closely matched historical record, with balanced wins and draws, setting up a competitive encounter.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Dallas has been somewhat effective offensively with an average of 1.8 goals conceded and approximately 2.4 goals scored in recent matches. Their recent form shows 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss in the last 5 games. Portland Timbers have a slightly lower goal average (1.2 scored, 1.4 conceded) but also share a similar recent record of 3 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss. Portland Timbers have 0% Asian Handicap win rate recently, while FC Dallas boasts 66.7%. Portlandβs matches have shown a 100% occurrence of matches going over the total goals line.
- Historically, 37 matches have been played since 2011 with FC Dallas winning 13 and Portland Timbers 12, alongside 12 draws. The average goals per match in this rivalry is 3.4. Their head-to-head encounters are highly balanced, with both teams having near equal victories and draws.
- There is no specific injury data provided for either side from the current search results, implying the teams may be near full strength or no major injury updates are publicly available at this time.
- The match is held at Toyota Stadium, FC Dallas's home ground, which may provide them a home advantage. Momentum and fan support might favor FC Dallas. No adverse weather or scheduling issues were reported affecting either team.
- Portland Timbers, ranked higher, are likely motivated to maintain or improve position in the league standings, while FC Dallas aims to leverage home advantage to close gap and improve their mid-table position. Recent form is similar, suggesting motivation levels are strong from both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas: 1.12, Portland Timbers: 2.18, Draw: 2.65 | FC Dallas win | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | FC Dallas -0.5: 1.07, Portland Timbers +50: 1.43 | FC Dallas -0.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.61, Under 2.5: 1.22 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 55% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Dallas 19% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 -14% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: FC Dallas at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.7% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Based on balanced head-to-head, stronger home form, and superior Asian Handicap performance, FC Dallas is predicted to narrowly win the match.
Predicted Score: 2-1