Match Analysis: Michigan St Spartans vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-25
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers

Game Overview

The Michigan State Spartans, ranked No. 17 with an undefeated 5-0 record, face the East Carolina Pirates, who hold a 2-3 record and are on a two-game losing streak. Michigan State has showcased dominant offense and defensive strength, averaging about 79 points scored while allowing 63.4 per game, and winning recent games by large margins. East Carolina has struggled recently and faces a tough defensive challenge from the Spartans in this matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

• Michigan State is dominant offensively and defensively, having beaten quality opponents like Kentucky and Detroit Mercy by wide margins and has yet to allow more than 70 points in any game. East Carolina has lost its last two games and is 0-5 against the spread this season, struggling to keep up with stronger competition.
• No recent direct head-to-head data available in the provided results; however, Michigan State is heavily favored by bookmakers and college basketball experts due to their vastly superior record and team strength.
• No specific injury reports or notable absences mentioned for either team in the available data.
• Game is played at Suncoast Credit Union Arena, Fort Myers, with Michigan State as the dominant favorite. The Spartans' slower tempo (270th adjusted tempo in NCAA) will likely disrupt East Carolina's transition offense.
• Michigan State is motivated to maintain their undefeated streak and continue dominating quality opposition. East Carolina aims to end their losing streak but faces a daunting challenge against a top-ranked, defensively sound team.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Michigan State Spartans are highly likely to win comfortably, covering the large spread by limiting East Carolina's scoring while maintaining a steady offensive output.

Predicted Score: Michigan State Spartans 80 – East Carolina Pirates 63

Match Analysis: UTSA Roadrunners vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 22, 2025
• Time: 8:30 PM UTC
• Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, Texas

Game Overview

East Carolina Pirates (7-3, 5-1 AAC) travel to face the UTSA Roadrunners (5-5, 3-3 AAC) in American Athletic Conference action. East Carolina enters as a 2.5-point road favorite despite playing away from home, reflecting their strong recent form with four consecutive wins. UTSA, while struggling overall at 1-4 in their last five games, maintains a formidable home record with 24 consecutive conference wins at the Alamodome and an 8-game ATS cover streak at home against conference opponents.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina has momentum with four straight victories, including wins over Charlotte and Memphis. Quarterback Katin Houser has been efficient, completing 66.6% of passes for 2,801 yards with 15 touchdowns and 5 interceptions. The receiving duo of Anthony Smith and Yannick Smith has combined for 1,328 yards and 9 touchdowns. East Carolina's rushing attack averages 4.19 yards per carry with 26 touchdowns. Conversely, UTSA is in a slump, losing four of their last five games and covering the spread in only one of those contests. However, UTSA's home performance cannot be overlooked—they average 5.02 yards per rush attempt at home and have generated significant offensive production with 2,406 passing yards and 1,713 rushing yards on the season.
• Historical data heavily favors UTSA in this matchup. UTSA has won 24 consecutive conference games at the Alamodome, a dominant home fortress. Additionally, UTSA has covered the spread in eight consecutive games against conference opponents at home. Conversely, East Carolina has lost nine of its last 12 games against Texas-based opponents, a concerning trend for a road favorite. However, East Carolina has won eight consecutive November games as a road favorite, suggesting they perform well in late-season road situations.
• No specific injury information is provided in the available data for either team.
• The game is played at the Alamodome in San Antonio, a venue strongly favoring UTSA. UTSA's last eight games at home have gone over the total, suggesting offensive production in this stadium. East Carolina's recent November performance as a road favorite shows they have played well in similar situations, but the specific venue dynamics may present challenges.
• East Carolina seeks to maintain their four-game winning streak and solidify their bowl eligibility with a road victory. UTSA desperately needs a confidence-building home win after their recent struggles, and their historic home success provides psychological advantage. For East Carolina, defeating a ranked-style opponent at an away venue would be a marquee victory; for UTSA, protecting home turf against a winning team is essential for salvaging their season.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

This matchup presents a classic clash between recent form (East Carolina) and home fortress dominance (UTSA). While East Carolina's four-game winning streak and experienced quarterback give them legitimate credentials as favorites, UTSA's overwhelming home statistics create significant uncertainty. The betting market has appropriately reflected this with a modest 2.5-point spread. East Carolina is favored to win outright based on their recent momentum, but the probability differential is narrow given UTSA's home dominance and recent covering streak. The game projects as a close, competitive affair decided by marginal factors.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 34, UTSA 30

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Charleston Southern Buccaneers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-22
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, Greenville, NC, USA

Game Overview

The East Carolina Pirates (2-2) will host the Charleston Southern Buccaneers (3-3) in a NCAA basketball matchup. East Carolina is favored with a -9.5 point spread at home. Charleston Southern has shown stronger recent form with a 3-3 record including a convincing 103-91 win over IU Indianapolis, while East Carolina recently lost 85-60 to UNC Wilmington. The game is expected to be moderately high scoring with an over/under line of 157.5 points.

Key Factors to Consider

• Charleston Southern has a 3-3 record and is undefeated 2-0 away, showing solid performance on the road. East Carolina is 2-2 overall and strong at home with a 2-0 record, but on a 1-game losing streak. Charleston Southern won their last game decisively, while East Carolina lost decisively in their last outing.
• No recent exact NCAA Men's Basketball H2H data available between these teams for this season, but both teams have played prior matches in women’s NCAA with little bearing on current men’s competition. This appears to be an early season meeting with little direct H2H history impacting results.
• East Carolina guard Jayshayne Woodard is sidelined due to a leg injury and will not play. Jordan Riley from East Carolina recently scored 19 points but no major injury concerns were reported. Charleston Southern injury reports are not indicative of key player absences.
• The game will be played at East Carolina’s home venue, Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum, which gives them home court advantage. Weather or other external factors are not expected to significantly affect the game.
• Charleston Southern enters the game on a winning streak and will seek to continue momentum on East Carolina's home floor. East Carolina looks to bounce back after a recent loss and maintain their undefeated home record, contributing motivation for a strong performance.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina Pirates win by a margin close to the spread, likely covering the -9.5 points. Their strong home performance and favorable odds suggest they will prevail over Charleston Southern.

Predicted Score: East Carolina Pirates 83 – Charleston Southern Buccaneers 72

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Match Analysis: UNC Wilmington Seahawks vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-19
• Time: 12:00 AM UTC
• Location: Raiford G. Trask Coliseum, Wilmington

Game Overview

The NCAA Basketball matchup features the UNC Wilmington Seahawks hosting the East Carolina Pirates. Both teams enter the game with recent records of 2-1. UNC Wilmington Seahawks have a slight edge based on past performance and home court advantage. The game odds show UNC Wilmington as favorites on the moneyline and spread, while the total points over/under is set near 145.5. Historical matchups and recent form favor the Seahawks, though East Carolina remains competitive.

Key Factors to Consider

• UNC Wilmington has an 8-2 record overall against East Carolina recently and is 11-1 SU in the last 12 games at home against them. The Seahawks show stronger defensive and scoring metrics, with an average points per game around 75.5 versus East Carolina's 70. East Carolina struggles on the road with a 1-4 SU record in the last five away games and 1-5-1 ATS, indicating vulnerability away from home.
• In the last head-to-head matchups, UNC Wilmington holds the advantage with a 67-53 victory in December 2024 and a 70-71 close win as recently as November 13, 2025. UNC Wilmington consistently covers the spread against East Carolina, especially at home, showing strong matchup control.
• East Carolina Pirates have notable injuries including Jordan Riley (illness) and Trevion LaBeaux (lower body), which could impact their rotation and effectiveness. UNC Wilmington has no major reported injuries ahead of this match, giving them a fitness advantage.
• Home venue advantage at Raiford G. Trask Coliseum benefits UNC Wilmington, as travel and crowd support typically favor the home side. The game timing is late night UTC but aligns with routine college basketball schedules, minimizing fatigue or disruption risks. Odds movement shows more confidence from bookmakers towards UNC Wilmington.
• UNC Wilmington appears motivated to maintain their strong home dominance and improve their record. East Carolina, despite recent challenges on the road, will seek to disrupt the Seahawks and gain an away win but face uphill odds given team fitness and historical trends.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

UNC Wilmington Seahawks are predicted to win this game decisively based on superior recent form, head-to-head dominance, home advantage, and injury status of the opposition. The forecast favors UNC Wilmington to cover the spread and the total points scored to lean slightly under the set line.

Predicted Score: UNC Wilmington Seahawks 75 – East Carolina Pirates 68

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Memphis Tigers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 15, 2025
• Time: 9:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina

Game Overview

The East Carolina Pirates (6-3) host the Memphis Tigers (8-2) in an American Athletic Conference matchup. East Carolina enters as a slight favorite despite Memphis being ranked higher nationally. This contest features a stark contrast in offensive and defensive capabilities, with Memphis ranking 8th in scoring offense (37.1 PPG) while East Carolina boasts the 15th-ranked scoring defense (17.3 PPG). Conversely, East Carolina's offense ranks 30th (33.9 PPG) compared to Memphis's 53rd-ranked defense (21.1 PPG). The Pirates defeated Charlotte 48-22 in their most recent game, while the Tigers suffered a 38-32 loss to Tulane.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina has compiled a 5-4 record against the spread this season with strong home splits (2-3 at home ATS). Memphis has been more consistent, covering the spread 8 times in 10 matchups. The Pirates are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 3-0 ATS in road games. Offensively, Memphis has a significant advantage in scoring efficiency and red zone execution (97.6% compared to East Carolina's 78.7%), while East Carolina's defense excels at forcing turnovers (13 vs Memphis's 17). The key matchup centers on East Carolina's elite defense against Memphis's potent offense.
• Specific historical head-to-head data is not provided in the search results. However, the betting patterns suggest competitive balance, with public money split 54% for East Carolina and 46% for Memphis, indicating sharp action on both sides.
• No current injury reports are available from the provided sources for either team.
• Weather conditions show 67°F with 0% chance of rain and minimal wind in Greenville, providing ideal playing conditions that favor neither team specifically. The game will be broadcast on ESPNU, ensuring wide viewership.
• Memphis enters as a higher-ranked team with an 8-2 record seeking consistency after their loss to Tulane, while East Carolina defends home field with momentum from a dominant win over Charlotte. East Carolina's strong recent ATS performance (4-1 in last 5 games) suggests confidence, while Memphis's overall season cover rate (80%) indicates resilience.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina is favored to win this matchup, leveraging their elite scoring defense and home field advantage. However, Memphis's explosive offensive capability and superior red zone efficiency present significant scoring potential. The game should remain competitive with East Carolina's defensive prowess limiting Memphis's scoring opportunities. The predicted outcome favors a close contest with East Carolina prevailing, though the spread remains tight enough for serious upset consideration.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 28, Memphis 26

Match Analysis: Richmond Spiders vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 11:00 PM UTC
• Location: Robins Center, Richmond, VA

Game Overview

Richmond Spiders host East Carolina Pirates in a non-conference matchup to open the 2025-26 NCAA basketball season. Both teams enter with 1-0 records, Richmond dominating Southern Virginia 84-56 and East Carolina narrowly defeating Georgia Southern 92-89. The game is set for a 6:00 PM EST tip-off at Robins Center, broadcast on ESPN+.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina showed offensive firepower in their opener, scoring 92 points and shooting 47.0% from the field, but allowed Georgia Southern to shoot 47.0% and struggled defensively, giving up 40 points in the paint. Richmond’s defense was dominant, holding Southern Virginia to 56 points and shooting 42.9% from the floor (ranked 240th in D-1). East Carolina’s offense is stronger, averaging 75.8 points per game last season, while Richmond’s defense is more disciplined. East Carolina’s guard play, led by Jordan Riley (22 points, 8 rebounds), is a strength, but their defense remains a concern.
• Richmond leads the all-time series 2-0, including a 67-65 road win in the most recent meeting on November 13, 2007. The historical edge is small, but Richmond has won both previous matchups.
• No injuries reported for either team.
• East Carolina is playing on the road in a hostile environment, which could impact their performance. Richmond’s home court advantage at Robins Center is a factor, and East Carolina may be underestimated as a higher-level AAC team.
• Both teams are motivated to start the season strong. Richmond seeks to continue their home dominance, while East Carolina aims to prove their ability against a tough opponent.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

Richmond is favored to win this game due to their strong defense and home court advantage. East Carolina’s offensive firepower could keep the game close, but Richmond’s defensive discipline and home crowd should give them the edge. The game is expected to be competitive, with Richmond covering the spread and the total likely to go under.

Predicted Score: Richmond Spiders 76, East Carolina Pirates 70

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Charlotte 49ers – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-11-08
• Time: 8:00 PM UTC
• Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, North Carolina

Game Overview

East Carolina Pirates (5-3) host Charlotte 49ers (1-7) in a pivotal AAC matchup. East Carolina is heavily favored, with Charlotte entering as a 28.5-point underdog. The game is set for a prime-time ESPN+ broadcast, with the over/under set at 56.5 points. East Carolina boasts a strong defense and balanced offense, while Charlotte struggles with consistency and depth.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina averages 32.1 points per game (ranked 59th) and allows just 16.8 points (ranked 13th). Their defense is particularly stout against the run (30th, 114.3 yards allowed). Charlotte has struggled offensively, ranking near the bottom nationally, and their defense has been porous, allowing 33.6 points per game. East Carolina is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and 3-0 ATS in road games, while Charlotte is 1-7 straight up and ATS.
• Recent history shows East Carolina dominating Charlotte, with a 28.5-point spread indicating a significant gap in talent and performance. No direct head-to-head stats are available for this season, but East Carolina's recent form and home-field advantage are clear advantages.
• No significant injuries reported for either team as of the latest updates. Both squads are expected to be at full strength.
• The game will be played in Greenville, NC, with favorable weather (74°F, 0% rain, light wind). East Carolina's home-field advantage is notable, with a strong fan base and a history of success at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium. The Pirates are 3-0 ATS in home games this season.
• East Carolina is fighting for a strong AAC finish and potential bowl eligibility, while Charlotte is looking to avoid a winless conference season. The Pirates have more to play for, adding extra motivation.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina is expected to dominate Charlotte, leveraging their superior defense and home-field advantage. The Pirates should cover the 28.5-point spread and push the total over 56.5 points. Charlotte's lack of offensive firepower and defensive struggles make an upset highly unlikely.

Predicted Score: East Carolina 42, Charlotte 14

Match Analysis: Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: November 1, 2025
• Time: 6:00 PM UTC
• Location: Lincoln Financial Field, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania

Game Overview

The East Carolina Pirates (4-3) face off against the Temple Owls (5-3) in an American Athletic Conference (AAC) matchup. The Pirates are favored, with a strong defensive record, while the Owls have shown offensive prowess but defensive inconsistencies.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina has a solid defense, allowing 17.1 points per game, while Temple's offense has been sharpened but their defense fluctuates.
• Recent head-to-head data is not detailed, but both teams have had mixed results against common opponents like Tulsa.
• No significant injury reports are available for this matchup.
• Home-field advantage could benefit Temple, but East Carolina's resilience on the road is a factor.
• Both teams are motivated to improve their AAC standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina is likely to win due to their defensive strength and recent performance.

Predicted Score: East Carolina Pirates 31, Temple Owls 27

Match Analysis: East Carolina Pirates vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane – Prediction

Match Details

• Date: 2025-10-16
• Time: 11:30 PM UTC
• Location: Bagwell Field at Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville

Game Overview

East Carolina Pirates host Tulsa Golden Hurricane in a matchup with East Carolina favored heavily. East Carolina is 3-3 SU and 4-2 ATS this season, showing solid improvement and profitability on the field. Tulsa stands at 2-4 SU and 2-4 ATS, struggling with offensive and defensive rankings and is considered to be in a potentially lost season.

Key Factors to Consider

• East Carolina has been strong ATS recently (5-1-1 ATS last 7 games) and 8-4 SU last 12 games, indicating consistent performance. Tulsa’s offense ranks in the lower-middle tier nationally (83rd total offense) and defensively ranks poorly against the rush (114th), contributing to their 2-4 record. East Carolina, despite a recent loss, maintains better overall metrics and outcomes.
• No direct detailed recent head-to-head records provided, but East Carolina has stronger recent ATS and SU form compared to Tulsa, suggesting a competitive edge.
• No specific injury reports available from the provided data, indicating no major impactful injuries publicly highlighted before the match.
• Game at East Carolina’s home stadium with mild weather (56°F, 0% rain, 6 mph wind), which favors normal game conditions without weather disruptions. Psychological advantage of home crowd support likely benefits East Carolina.
• East Carolina appears motivated to capitalize on their home advantage to improve their even record this season, while Tulsa faces challenges and may be demoralized by recent heavy loss and poor standings.

Odds and Predictions

Predicted Outcome

East Carolina Pirates are predicted to win decisively, benefiting from home advantage, better statistical profiles, and stronger recent form. The high spread line suggests a likely dominant performance against Tulsa’s struggling defense. The total points prediction indicates a moderately high-scoring game with probable over total points.

Predicted Score: East Carolina Pirates 38 – Tulsa Golden Hurricane 17