Match Analysis: Sam Houston State Bearkats vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX
Game Overview
Delaware Blue Hens (5-4, 3-3 CUSA) travel to face Sam Houston State Bearkats (1-8, 0-5 CUSA) in a Conference USA matchup. Delaware enters as heavy favorites, with the Bearkats struggling significantly this season and sitting winless in conference play.
Key Factors to Consider
- Delaware has posted a 5-4 overall record with a 3-3 conference mark, showing competitive performance against CUSA opponents. Sam Houston has collapsed entirely, sitting at 1-8 overall and 0-5 in conference play, with only 1 win all season. The Bearkats are among the weakest teams in the FBS, ranking alongside Middle Tennessee at the bottom of the CUSA standings. Delaware's road performance (1-3 ATS) shows vulnerability away from home, but facing the nation's worst team mitigates this concern significantly.
- No direct head-to-head history is available in the provided data. This is their first matchup as CUSA opponents.
- No injury information is available from the provided sources.
- Sam Houston has lost 4 of their last 5 games (1-4) and are 1-4 ATS in that span. They are 1-5 on the road against the spread. Public betting sentiment heavily favors Delaware at 94% of bets and 94% of money. Weather at Shell Energy Stadium shows 75°F with 0% rain chance—neutral conditions. Sam Houston's offensive output averages 52.9 points per game overall (52.3 away), while their defense has been historically poor throughout the season.
- Delaware seeks to maintain conference momentum in a winnable matchup. Sam Houston is fighting to avoid further humiliation and pursue their first conference win, but motivation cannot overcome the stark talent gap and season-long struggles.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware -375 | Sam Houston +295 | Delaware Blue Hens | ★★★★☆ 89% |
| Spread | Delaware -9.5 -112 | Sam Houston +9.5 -108 | Delaware -9.5 | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Over/under | Over 56.5 -110 | Under 56.5 -110 | Under 56.5 | ★★★★☆ 72% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Delaware Blue Hens 13% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 56.5 7% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Delaware Blue Hens at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 47.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Delaware Blue Hens are heavily favored and should dominate Sam Houston State Bearkats. The Bearkats' 0-5 conference record, 1-8 overall mark, and recent 1-4 skid indicate a team in complete disarray. Delaware's 3-3 conference performance and +5.4 point differential suggest a competitive mid-tier CUSA team that will easily handle the worst team in the conference.
Predicted Score: Delaware 31, Sam Houston 18