Match Analysis: Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs Delaware Blue Hens – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-22
- Time: 5:00 PM UTC
- Location: Allegacy Federal Credit Union Stadium, Winston-Salem, NC
Game Overview
Wake Forest Demon Deacons (7-3) host Delaware Blue Hens (5-5) in a matchup where Wake Forest is a heavy favorite with a 17.5-point spread. The game is expected to be competitive but dominated by the home team based on season performance and betting market sentiments. The over/under is set around 51.5 to 52.5 points, reflecting moderate scoring expectations.
Key Factors to Consider
- Wake Forest has a stronger season record (7-3) compared to Delaware's (5-5), with Wake Forest showing solid home performance and better ATS (against the spread) statistics. Wake Forest averages approximately 30 points per game implied total, while Delaware's offense yields around 33 points implied total. Wake Forestโs running game is more productive with higher yards per carry. Delaware has shown inconsistency, particularly failing to cover spreads seven times this season.
- Recent data and betting lines strongly favor Wake Forest, with a 90.6% implied win probability from the moneyline odds. Delaware is a significant underdog historically in this matchup, with Wake Forest having a solid ATS record and home advantage.
- No specific injury information was found in the available data for this matchup. Thus, injury impact cannot be factored strongly into the prediction.
- Weather forecast suggests mild conditions (around 67ยฐF) with low rain probability (12%) and low wind (6 mph) at game time, unlikely to significantly affect gameplay. Venue is Wake Forestโs home stadium, contributing to their advantage.
- Wake Forest is motivated to solidify their winning record and secure a strong bowl game position. Delaware seeks a final win to reach a .500 record (six wins), providing motivation to cover the spread despite being clear underdogs.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest: -1000, Delaware: 650 | Wake Forest to win | โ โ โ โ โ 91% |
| Spread | Wake Forest: -17.5 -105, Delaware: +17.5 -115 | Wake Forest to cover the spread (-17.5) | โ โ โ โ โ 75% |
| Over/under | Over: 51.5 -115, Under: 51.5 -105 | Under 52.5 points | โ โ โ โโ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Wake Forest Demon Deacons 580% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 51.5 15% |
๐ฅ Best Value Pick: Wake Forest Demon Deacons at 580% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 89.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Wake Forest Demon Deacons are expected to win decisively, likely covering the 17.5-point spread. The total points are predicted to stay under 52.5 due to Wake Forest's recent lower offensive scoring average and Delaware's moderate offense. A final score prediction is Wake Forest 37, Delaware 14.
Predicted Score: Wake Forest Demon Deacons 37, Delaware Blue Hens 14