Match Analysis: Blackburn Rovers vs Swansea City – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-30
- Time: 6:45 PM UTC
- Location: Blackburn Rovers' Home Stadium
Game Overview
Blackburn Rovers host Swansea City in a balanced EFL Championship clash, with both teams showing similar recent form and a tightly contested head-to-head history.
Key Factors to Consider
- Blackburn has marginally better defensive stats recently, conceding 0.6 goals per game compared to Swansea's 1.0. Both teams have identical recent records of 2 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses over the last 5 matches, with Blackburnβs attack slightly stronger (1.8 goals per match vs. 1.4).
- Historically, Swansea has a slight edge with 7 wins to Blackburn's 6 in 17 meetings, but recent fixtures have been very close with Blackburn winning the last home meeting 1-0 and Swansea winning the previous away match 2-1.
- No significant injuries reported for either squad affecting starting lineups, maintaining team strength on both sides.
- Match played at Blackburn's home ground; weather and pitch conditions expected to be normal, offering no unusual advantage.
- Both teams sit mid-table and are vying for upward momentum; motivation to secure points is high especially for Blackburn playing at home and aiming to capitalize on home advantage.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Blackburn Rovers: 144, Swansea City: 175, Draw: 220 | Blackburn Rovers | β β β ββ 65% |
Spread | Blackburn Rovers 0: -125, Swansea City 0: 105 | Blackburn Rovers 0 (Draw No Bet) | β β β ββ 60% |
Over/under | Over 2.25: -105, Under 2.25: -115 | Under 2.25 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Blackburn Rovers 17% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 22% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Blackburn Rovers to win on the moneyline with a tight, low-scoring game likely.
Predicted Score: 1-0