Match Analysis: Inter Milan vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-04
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Game Overview
Inter Milan, playing at home, face Cremonese in a Serie A match with contrasting recent forms. Inter are in strong attacking shape, unbeaten in their last five matches and scoring 12 goals, while Cremonese remain solid defensively but have scored fewer goals recently and haven't lost in five matches either.
Key Factors to Consider
- Inter Milan have scored 12 goals in their last 5 matches, showing strong offensive capabilities. Cremonese have scored 6 goals and kept multiple clean sheets, indicating defensive resilience but less attacking threat.
- Inter Milan have won the last 3 encounters against Cremonese, including recent Serie A fixtures, showing clear historical dominance.
- No major injuries reported for key players on either side that would significantly impact the match outcome.
- Inter Milan have the motivation to maintain momentum after strong Champions League and Serie A performances. The game is played at their home stadium, adding advantage.
- Inter need positive results to consolidate their league position and capitalize on recent good form, while Cremonese aim to frustrate stronger opposition and pick points through counterattacks.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | home: -470, away: 1000, draw: 575 | Home | β β β β β 80% |
Spread | home: 102, away: -122, line: -2 | Home -2 | β β β ββ 65% |
Over/under | over: -125, under: 105, line: 3 | Over 3 goals | β β β β β 70% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Inter Milan 725% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Over 3 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Inter Milan at 725% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 72.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Inter Milan to win on the moneyline, covering a -2 spread appears challenging but plausible, and expecting over 3 goals in the match given attacking trends.
Predicted Score: 3-1