Match Analysis: FC Twente Enschede vs SC Telstar – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:00 PM UTC
- Location: De Grolsch Veste, Enschede, Netherlands
Game Overview
FC Twente Enschede, currently 9th in the Eredivisie, will host SC Telstar, 17th in the league, at their home ground De Grolsch Veste. Twente has shown stronger recent form, scoring 12 goals in their last 5 matches, but defensive frailties persist with 14 consecutive matches without a clean sheet. Telstar has scored 10 goals in their last 5 matches but sits near the bottom of the table. Historically, Twente has dominated this matchup, winning the last 3 encounters and maintaining an unbeaten record in the last three meetings against Telstar.
Key Factors to Consider
- FC Twente has a better recent form with 4 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses from 11 games, scoring 1.88 goals per home game, while SC Telstar struggles with 2 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, scoring 1.39 goals away. Twente averages 2.33 goals per match against Telstar and has solid attacking contributions, including key players like Ricky van Wolfswinkel with 6 goals. Telstar's main chance creator, Jeff Hardeveld, leads the league in big chances created but overall team performance remains weaker.
- The last 3 meetings saw FC Twente win all matches without any draws or losses against SC Telstar. Average goals per match between these teams is 3, with 1.67 goals scored on average in the first half, showing attacking tendencies in the fixture. Twente concedes more but scores significantly more than Telstar historically in this matchup.
- No specific current injury data available for either side from the provided sources; squads appear intact for the upcoming match.
- The match is played at Twente's home stadium, providing a notable home advantage. Weather and other external conditions have not been flagged as significant factors impacting the game.
- FC Twente's mid-table position and recent scoring runs provide strong motivation to secure points and push for higher in the table, while Telstar fights to move out of relegation danger, likely motivating a resilient but cautious approach away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Twente Enschede: -325, SC Telstar: 725, Draw: 460 | FC Twente Enschede to win | β β β β β 85% |
| Spread | FC Twente Enschede -1.5: -118, SC Telstar +1.5: -102 | FC Twente Enschede -1.5 | β β β β β 75% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: -105, Under 3.25: -115 | Over 3.25 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | FC Twente Enschede -1% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3.25 17% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3.25 at 17% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 18% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
FC Twente Enschede is strongly favored to win this match given their historical dominance, better current form, home advantage, and offensive potency against Telstar. Expect Twente to control the match and score multiple goals, although defensive vulnerabilities may allow Telstar to score as well.
Predicted Score: 3-1