Match Analysis: Pisa vs Cremonese – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-07
- Time: 7:45 PM UTC
- Location: Stadio Arena Garibaldi-Romeo Anconetani, Pisa
Game Overview
This Serie A clash features Pisa hosting Cremonese at their home ground. Pisa has struggled this season, currently sitting at 0-4-6, while Cremonese shows a slightly better record at 3-2-5. Recent form and betting trends suggest Cremonese may have an edge, but Pisaβs home advantage and recent spread performance could play a role.
Key Factors to Consider
- Cremonese has shown moderate consistency with 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses. Pisa remains winless, with 0 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses. Pisaβs last five games have seen them lose 3 and draw 2, with poor offensive output. Cremoneseβs form is more balanced, but they have struggled away from home. Pisa has covered the spread in 4 of their last 5 away games, but their home totals have stayed under in all of their last 5 games.
- Historical data is limited for this matchup, but recent encounters suggest Cremonese has had a slight edge, with a tendency for low-scoring games. The last few meetings have seen both teams struggle to score, with most matches ending in draws or narrow wins.
- No major injuries have been reported for either side as of the latest updates. Both teams are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
- The match is being played at Pisaβs home stadium, which could provide a slight boost to their performance. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no significant impact on play. Crowd support may be limited due to Pisaβs poor form.
- Cremonese is looking to build on their recent results and climb the table, while Pisa is desperate for their first win of the season. The motivation for both teams is high, but Pisaβs lack of confidence could be a factor.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cremonese: 260, Pisa: 126, Draw: 200 | Cremonese to win or draw | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Cremonese: 25 -108, Pisa: -0.25 -112 | Cremonese +0.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over: 2.25 105, Under: 2.25 -125 | Under 2.25 | β β β β β 75% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Cremonese 62% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.25 26% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Cremonese at 62% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Cremonese is favored to win or at least avoid defeat, given their better form and Pisaβs struggles. The match is likely to be tight, with a low-scoring outcome. Cremoneseβs ability to secure points on the road and Pisaβs inability to score consistently point to a draw or a narrow away win.
Predicted Score: Pisa 1-1 Cremonese