Match Analysis: Coachella Valley Firebirds vs Calgary Wranglers – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-11-23
- Time: 10:00 PM UTC
- Location: Acrisure Arena, Palm Desert, CA
Game Overview
The upcoming AHL matchup features the Coachella Valley Firebirds hosting the Calgary Wranglers. Both teams have demonstrated competitive form this season, with the Firebirds showing strong home performances and the Wranglers being a resilient away side. The match promises intense rivalry engagement, given their recent close encounters.
Key Factors to Consider
- Coachella Valley Firebirds have a strong home record with 6 wins, 4 losses, and 1 draw in recent encounters, averaging 1.13 goals per game while conceding about 1 goal. Calgary Wranglers have a slightly lower form with 4 wins, 3 losses, and 3 draws, averaging 0.56 goals per game and conceding 1.33 goals. Overall, Firebirds show slightly better offensive and defensive statistics at home.
- They have met 37 times this season with the Firebirds holding an edge in home performance, not losing the first period in 9 of their last 10 home meetings against the Wranglers. The last match on October 26, 2025, ended with a narrow 4-3 victory for the Firebirds at Calgary's arena.
- No specific injury data available for either team prior to this match.
- The venue is Acrisure Arena in Palm Desert, CA, favoring the Firebirds. No major external weather or venue disruptions reported. The AHL All-Star Classic will be held at the Firebirds' home later this season, potentially increasing the team's motivation.
- Both teams have strong motivation: Coachella Valley Firebirds aim to assert home dominance and improve their record, while Calgary Wranglers look to reverse recent losses and maintain competitive positioning within the division.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | calgary_wranglers: -118, coachella_valley_firebirds: -124 | Coachella Valley Firebirds | β β β ββ 65% |
| Spread | calgary_wranglers_+1.5: -315, coachella_valley_firebirds_-1.5: 220 | Coachella Valley Firebirds -1.5 | β β β ββ 60% |
| Over/under | over_6: -110, under_6: -122 | Under 6 goals | β β β ββ 58% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Coachella Valley Firebirds -6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 6 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Coachella Valley Firebirds are predicted to narrowly win due to superior home performance and recent form. The match is expected to be competitive, possibly decided by one goal.
Predicted Score: 4-3