Match Analysis: Ohio Bobcats vs Bowling Green Falcons – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-27
- Time: 4:00 PM UTC
- Location: Frank Solich Field at Peden Stadium, Athens, Ohio
Game Overview
The Ohio Bobcats host the Bowling Green Falcons in a Mid-American Conference matchup with both teams holding 2-2 records. Ohio is favored as a strong home team with a recent good ATS record, while Bowling Green has struggled against solid opponents recently.
Key Factors to Consider
- Ohio Bobcats have been strong ATS (8-1-1 last 10) and SU (8-2 last 10) performing well at home, recently winning high-scoring games. Bowling Green is 2-2 but lost decisively in their last game (40-17 vs Louisville), indicating offensive and defensive struggles.
- Recent meetings favor Ohio, who defeated Gardner-Webb with a high score (52-35), showing offensive potency. Ohio's home advantage and consistency in the series give them an edge.
- No significant injuries reported for either team, maintaining full-strength rosters for this matchup.
- Game played at Ohioβs home stadium helps the Bobcats. Weather and other external conditions are neutral as no adverse factors are reported.
- Ohioβs motivation is high to assert control in MAC play at home following an uneven start. Bowling Green needs a bounce-back win after recent heavy defeat, but confidence may be lower.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | Ohio Bobcats -325, Bowling Green Falcons +260 | Ohio Bobcats | β β β β β 78% |
Spread | Ohio -8.5 (-108), Bowling Green +8.5 (-112) | Ohio Bobcats -8.5 | β β β β β 70% |
Over/under | Over 51.5 -112, Under 51.5 -108 | Under 51.5 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Ohio Bobcats -2% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 51.5 16% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 51.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Ohio Bobcats to win straight up, cover the spread, with the game going under the total points line.
Predicted Score: Ohio Bobcats 28, Bowling Green Falcons 17