Match Analysis: Bragantino-SP vs Santos – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-09-28
- Time: 9:30 PM UTC
- Location: Estádio Nabi Abi Chedid, Bragança Paulista, Brazil
Game Overview
Bragantino-SP, playing at home, face Santos in a tightly contested Brasileirão Serie A matchup. Bragantino is slight favorite per bookmakers, with both teams showing mixed recent form but Bragantino holding a slight edge due to home advantage and recent results.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bragantino has had a mixed run with 9 wins, 4 draws, and 10 losses recently, showing some resilience but inconsistency. Santos has a 6-5-11 record with some struggles in away encounters and recent losses.
- In their last meeting on 27/04/2025, Bragantino won 2-1 away at Santos, indicating competitive balance but a recent Bragantino edge.
- No major injury reports for key starters on either side, thus both squads should field close to full strength.
- Bragantino playing at home benefits from familiar conditions and crowd support. No unusual weather or travel concerns expected.
- Both teams are motivated to gain points; Bragantino pushing to consolidate mid-table and Santos to escape lower rankings, but home advantage favors Bragantino's motivation.
Odds and Predictions
Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
---|---|---|---|
Moneyline | +131 | Bragantino-SP | ★★★☆☆ 68% |
Spread | -0.25 -102 | Bragantino-SP -0.25 | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
Over/under | -110 | Under 2.25 | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market | EV Pick |
---|---|
Moneyline | Bragantino-SP 22% |
Spread | N/A |
Over/Under | Under 2.25 5% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Bragantino-SP at 22% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bragantino-SP Moneyline
Predicted Score: 2-1