The Chicago White Sox host the Chicago Cubs in an MLB rivalry game with playoff implications for the Cubs and the White Sox aiming to improve on a difficult season record.
Key Factors to Consider
The Cubs hold a strong 61-43 record with solid pitching (3.89 ERA) and hitting stats, while the White Sox are struggling at 38-67 but have shown recent improvement by winning 6 of their last 10 games. White Sox pitcher Sean Burke (4-8, 4.19 ERA) starts against Cubs' Ben Brown (4-7, 6.48 ERA), who has struggled recently, especially on the road.
Historically, Cubs lead the series with 37 wins against White Sox's 28. The last meeting was a 6-1 Cubs victory. On average, Cubs score more runs (5.05) than White Sox (4.29).
No significant injuries reported impacting the starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team.
Game played at Guaranteed Rate Field favors the home White Sox. Weather and stadium conditions expected to be neutral.
Cubs look to extend their winning streak and consolidate playoff positioning; White Sox have motivation to capitalize on weaker Cubs pitcher and continue their recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Cubs -196, White Sox +164
White Sox
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
Cubs -1.5 (-120), White Sox +1.5 (+100)
White Sox +1.5
★★★★☆ 72%
Over/under
Over 9 (-105), Under 9 (-115)
Over 9
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago Cubs 50%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 13%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Chicago Cubs at 50% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
White Sox moneyline and spread +1.5; over 9 runs total.
The Tampa Bay Rays host the Chicago White Sox in a mid-summer MLB matchup. Tampa Bay is slightly favored at home with a solid recent pitching form, while Chicago struggles on the road this season. Both teams have starting pitchers demonstrating strong recent performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Tampa Bay is 31-27 at home this season and 30-21 as favorites; they have won 3 of their last 4 games as at least -200 favorites. Chicago has a 15-37 road record, with only a 19.4% win rate when underdogs at odds +168 or more.
Recent matchups tend to be low scoring, with the 'inning 1 under 0.5 runs' hitting in all last 8 encounters. The teams have balanced outcomes, but Rays hold a slight edge playing at home.
No major injuries reported affecting starting pitching or key offensive players for either team in the available data.
Tampa Bay's home park is pitcher-friendly, often leading to lower scoring games. The game is scheduled after a prior day game for the Rays, which tends to correlate with under total runs. Weather data is not provided but assumed normal.
Tampa Bay aims to stay competitive in the AL East playoff race, suggesting high motivation. Chicago is underperforming this year with a poor road record, lowering their motivation efficacy.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
home: -205, away: 172
Tampa Bay Rays
★★★★☆ 78%
Spread
home: 100, away: -120
Tampa Bay Rays -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
over: -105, under: -115
Under 9 runs
★★★★☆ 72%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Tampa Bay Rays -5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 5% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 5.4% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Bet on the Tampa Bay Rays moneyline winner; take Tampa Bay on the spread (-1.5); bet the under on total runs (under 9).
Predicted Score: Tampa Bay Rays 4 – Chicago White Sox 2
The Pirates host the White Sox with both teams below .500. Pittsburgh is favored, but Chicago arrives with momentum after two lopsided wins in the series. Expect a sharp focus on starting pitching, recent offensive surges, and bullpen reliability.
Key Factors to Consider
Pirates (39-60) are 46-46-0 ATS; White Sox (34-65) are 52-44-0 ATS. Chicago swept the first two games of this series, outscoring Pittsburgh 20-5. Both offenses are weak (.222/.223 team BA), but the White Sox have shown more recent life. Pittsburgh leads in bullpen consistency, but Chicago’s Aaron Civale (1-6, 5.30 ERA) has struggled as a starter[1][3].
Chicago won the first two games of this series 10-1 and 10-4, recording 13 hits in game two. The Pirates’ pitching has struggled mightily against the White Sox lineup this weekend, especially in middle innings. Pittsburgh’s home/road splits aren’t a strong enough differentiator here.
No major injuries reported affecting the pitching staff or key bats for either team in this game.
Day game, likely hot summer conditions at PNC Park—favorable for hitters. Lively ball trends in MLB have continued, with average run totals slightly elevated league-wide this season.
Chicago motivated to secure a rare series sweep, which would be a highlight for their dismal season. Pirates at risk of a sweep at home, which may pressure younger players. Bullpen management could be a factor with both teams playing again soon.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago +118 / Pittsburgh -138
Chicago White Sox
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Chicago +1.5 (-172) / Pittsburgh -1.5 (+142)
Chicago White Sox +1.5
★★★☆☆ 67%
Over/under
Over 9 (+100) / Under 9 (-122)
Over 9
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox 20%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 9 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
White Sox’s momentum, Pittsburgh’s shaky recent pitching, and Civale’s unpredictability make this closer than bookmakers suggest. Lean Chicago on the moneyline and +1.5, and expect an Over slugfest given the last two games and park conditions.
Predicted Score: Chicago White Sox 7, Pittsburgh Pirates 5
The Toronto Blue Jays are on a 10-game winning streak, facing the struggling Chicago White Sox. Toronto is 54-38, while Chicago is 30-62. The Blue Jays are favored due to their strong performance and recent momentum.
Key Factors to Consider
The Blue Jays have been hot, winning 10 straight games, including two against the White Sox. They have a strong batting lineup and a bullpen that has performed well lately.
The Blue Jays lead the season series 3-2 against the White Sox.
No significant injury updates are available for either team.
The Blue Jays' momentum and strong bullpen could be decisive factors.
The Blue Jays are highly motivated to continue their winning streak, while the White Sox are looking to break their slump.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Chicago White Sox: 132, Toronto Blue Jays: -156
Toronto Blue Jays
★★★★☆ 80%
Spread
Chicago White Sox: 1.5 -126, Toronto Blue Jays: -1.5 105
Toronto Blue Jays -1.5
★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under
Over: 8.5 -112, Under: 8.5 -108
Over 8.5
★★★☆☆ 55%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Toronto Blue Jays -2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 8.5 -1%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 8.5 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Toronto Blue Jays to win, covering the spread and potentially going over 8.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Toronto Blue Jays 6, Chicago White Sox 3