Match Analysis: Chicago Blackhawks vs Toronto Maple Leafs – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: November 15, 2025
- Time: 12:00 AM UTC
- Location: United Center, Chicago, Illinois
Game Overview
Toronto Maple Leafs (8-8-2) travel to face the Chicago Blackhawks (8-5-4) in a closely matched NHL contest. The Maple Leafs enter as slight favorites despite recent inconsistency, while the Blackhawks have shown strong recent form with exceptional goaltending metrics.
Key Factors to Consider
- Toronto is 8-8-2 on the season with a 1-4-0 away record, indicating significant road struggles. The Maple Leafs have a save percentage of .862 over their last five games. Chicago sits 8-5-4 at home with outstanding recent goaltending, posting a .940 save percentage over their last five games and a 2.00 goals-against average. The Blackhawks have covered the +1.5 puck line in 7 of their last 10 games and 9 of their last 10 home games.
- No specific historical head-to-head data provided in available sources, but the matchup appears relatively balanced between two mid-tier conference teams.
- No significant injury information available in the provided data sources.
- Home ice advantage strongly favors Chicago, with the Blackhawks demonstrating superior performance metrics at United Center. Toronto's away record (1-4-0) suggests difficulty on the road.
- Chicago appears more motivated given their strong home performance trends and superior recent defensive metrics. Toronto, despite being favored by sportsbooks, shows inconsistent form and struggles away from home.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago +117 / Toronto -143 | Chicago Blackhawks ML | β β β ββ 62% |
| Spread | Chicago +1.5 (-220) / Toronto -1.5 (+170) | Chicago +1.5 | β β β ββ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 6 (-115) / Under 6 (-108) | Under 6 | β β β ββ 61% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Chicago Blackhawks 26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 6 8% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Chicago Blackhawks at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 22.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The Chicago Blackhawks represent strong value despite being underdogs. Their exceptional goaltending (.940 SV%), superior home record, and Toronto's road struggles create a favorable edge for Chicago. Multiple expert analysts identify value in backing the Blackhawks at +117 moneyline odds.
Predicted Score: Chicago 4 – Toronto 2