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Ceará vs. Bahia Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bahia – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-20
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará home stadium (exact venue not specified)

Game Overview

This Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A clash features home side Ceará hosting Bahia in a tightly contested matchup. Both teams have shown mixed recent form with Bahia historically holding a slight upper edge in recent encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Bahia leads slightly in recent head-to-head and overall quality but Ceará has home advantage and is motivated to improve on recent results, including a home victory over Vasco da Gama and a solid draw against Red Bull Bragantino. Both teams have fluctuated in form.
  • Recent H2H shows Bahia with a marginal edge: last meeting ended in a narrow Bahia 1-0 win. Past probabilities from predictive models show Bahia favored at ~45% win chance, draw ~25%, and Ceará ~30%.
  • No specific injury info provided for key players in either team, suggesting relatively full-strength squads for this fixture.
  • Match played at Ceará’s home venue, providing them a supportive environment. Weather and pitch conditions unknown but not noted as problematic.
  • Mid-season motivations for both sides to accumulate points are high to maintain or improve league standing. Home pressure will motivate Ceará to avoid defeat.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Bahia: 193, Ceará: 157, Draw: 200 Bahia ★★★☆☆ 56%
Spread Bahia 0: 105, Ceará 0: -125 Ceará 0 (Draw No Bet) ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 59%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Bahia 23%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Bahia at 23% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.9% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Bahia moneyline win; Ceará +0 spread; Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: Bahia 1 – 0 Ceará


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Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Vasco da Gama vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-14
  • Time: 11:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio São Januário

Game Overview

Brazil Campeonato Serie A clash between Vasco da Gama (home) and Ceará. Vasco da Gama is slightly favored with home advantage but sitting 15th place with poor recent form, while Ceará holds 10th position with slightly better form and motivation to climb the table.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Vasco da Gama has a record of 4W-1D-8L with 14 goals scored and 18 conceded. Ceará stands at 5W-3D-5L, scoring 14 and conceding 12. Recent runs show both teams somewhat inconsistent, but Ceará demonstrates slightly better defensive stability and more points in last five games (18 vs 13 points overall).
  • Seven meetings: balanced history with 2 wins each and 3 draws. Recent matches show close contests, suggesting no distinct dominance.
  • No specific injury report found, so assume typical squad availability for both teams.
  • Home advantage for Vasco da Gama at Estádio São Januário, but they have underperformed at home this season. No notable external disruptions reported.
  • Ceará, sitting higher in the table, appear more motivated to maintain or improve standing. Vasco da Gama needs points but recent inconsistency may affect confidence.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Vasco da Gama: -111, Draw: 225, Ceará: 330 Vasco da Gama ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Vasco da Gama -0.5: -110, Ceará +50: -110 Vasco da Gama -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2: -128, Under 2: 108 Under 2 ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Vasco da Gama 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 25%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Vasco da Gama win; Spread: Vasco da Gama -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 14, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Rennes vs. Lyon Prediction Lyon 151 33%
Vasco da Gama vs. Ceará Prediction Under 2 108 25%
Sao Paulo vs. Botafogo Prediction Sao Paulo 123 23%

Combined Odds: +1064 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $232.85

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Ceará vs. Juventude Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Juventude – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-30
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará Home Stadium

Game Overview

Ceará hosts Juventude in a Brazil Campeonato Serie A match where Ceará is favored due to stronger recent form and historical home advantage, despite Juventude winning the last head-to-head meeting.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará has a moderately better recent form with 6 wins in their last 16 matches, compared to Juventude's 3 wins, 2 draws, and 10 losses in the same period.
  • In recent encounters, Juventude leads with 5 wins to Ceará's 3 and 1 draw, including a 2-1 win in their last meeting in April 2025.
  • No major injuries reported for either team that strongly impact the starting lineup, maintaining stable squad availability.
  • Match played at Ceará’s home venue, giving them the typical advantages of familiar pitch and local support.
  • Ceará appears more motivated to climb the league table aiming to secure better standings, while Juventude’s poor form reduces their momentum.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará -172, Juventude +475, Draw +280 Ceará ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Ceará -0.75 -130, Juventude +75 +110 Ceará -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 -110, Under 2.25 -110 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará -5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 18%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 18% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ceará to win on the moneyline, covering the -0.75 spread, with a tight game under 2.25 goals scored.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Grêmio vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Grêmio vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-24
  • Time: 12:00 AM UTC
  • Location: Arena do Grêmio, Porto Alegre, Brazil

Game Overview

Grêmio hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Betano match where Grêmio currently ranks 15th and Ceará 10th. Recent encounters and their current standings show Ceará with a slight edge in form and points, but Grêmio plays at home, which is a strong factor.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Grêmio has 3 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses in their last 10 matches but a poor defense conceding 25 goals. Ceará has 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, scoring 19 and conceding 19, indicating better balance and recent results.
  • Historical H2H is balanced with 6 wins each and 2 draws in 14 encounters, though Ceará won their last meeting 2-0. At home, Grêmio tends to perform better but has struggled defensively against Ceará.
  • There is no publicized major injury impacting either side significantly that would alter the core line-ups.
  • Playing at Arena do Grêmio provides a home advantage for Grêmio. Weather and pitch conditions expected to be neutral and not favoring any side.
  • Both teams are mid-table with Ceará slightly better positioned, possibly giving Ceará more motivation to maintain or improve league standing; Grêmio aims to leverage home advantage to gather crucial points.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Grêmio: 101, Draw: 212, Ceará: 305 Grêmio ★★★★☆ 72%
Spread Grêmio -0.5: 102, Ceará +50: -122 Grêmio -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under Over 2: -118, Under 2: -102 Under 2 goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Grêmio 25%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 23%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Grêmio at 25% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 24.4% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Moneyline: Grêmio win; Spread: Grêmio -0.5; Over/Under: Under 2 goals

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Ceará vs. Bragantino-SP Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Bragantino-SP – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-16
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Governador Plácido Castelo, Fortaleza, Brazil

Game Overview

This Brasileirão match features Ceará hosting Bragantino-SP. Ceará sits mid-table, performing inconsistently at home, while Bragantino holds a slightly higher league position and has shown moderately better form overall. Their recent head-to-head encounters are fairly balanced but slightly favor Bragantino.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Ceará has a recent form with 4 wins and 6 losses in their last 10 matches, showing a 40% win rate and struggles in defense. Bragantino also holds a 40% win rate with some draws and slightly better away performance.
  • Recent head-to-head show a close contest with Bragantino winning 3, Ceará winning 1, and 4 draws across their last 8 matches. Last season encounters and current season matchups suggest tight competition but slight edge to Bragantino.
  • No major injury reports are currently confirmed for either side, indicating both teams likely to field strong lineups.
  • Match played at Ceará's home stadium provides a home advantage. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal; no significant external disruptions noted.
  • Both teams are motivated for points to climb or consolidate place in the league table. Bragantino’s slightly higher standing provides marginal motivation advantage.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceará: 100, Bragantino-SP: 275, Draw: 210 Ceará ★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread Ceará -0.25: -128, Bragantino +25: 108 Ceará -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 62%
Over/under Over 2: -130, Under 2: 110 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Ceará 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 26%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 26% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 23.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Ceará to win outright on the moneyline, covering the -0.25 spread, with a cautious under 2 goals expectation.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Palmeiras vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Palmeiras vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-10
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Allianz Parque

Game Overview

Palmeiras hosting Ceará in Serie A Round 19 with Palmeiras historically dominant at home and having won the last 3 encounters.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Palmeiras sits 3rd with 33 points from 16 matches (10W-3D-3L), scoring 21 goals and conceding 14. They are in decent form (ldwwwd). Ceará is 11th with 22 points from 17 matches (6W-4D-7L), more inconsistent with a 3W-2L recent split.
  • Palmeiras leads the H2H with 11 wins to Ceará's 4, and 5 draws out of 20 meetings. Palmeiras have won the last 3 matches, averaging 1.7 goals per game compared to Ceará's 1.1.
  • No specific major injuries reported for either side ahead of the clash, lineups expected close to full strength.
  • The match is played at Palmeiras' home ground Allianz Parque, giving them a home advantage backed by strong local support. Weather and pitch conditions expected normal.
  • Palmeiras motivated to maintain top table position and push for title; Ceará fighting to climb away from the mid-table logjam.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Palmeiras -205, Draw 320, Ceará 600 Palmeiras ★★★★☆ 75%
Spread Palmeiras -1 -115, Ceará +1 -105 Palmeiras -1 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2.25 -105, Under 2.25 -115 Under 2.25 ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Palmeiras -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 12%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Palmeiras to win on the moneyline and cover the -1 spread; match to stay under 2.25 total goals.

Predicted Score: 2-0


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Ceará vs. Flamengo Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Ceará vs Flamengo – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-08-03
  • Time: 9:30 PM UTC
  • Location: Ceará's Home Ground

Game Overview

This Brazil Campeonato match features Ceará hosting Flamengo, two teams with a relatively balanced head-to-head history but with Flamengo showing consistently stronger recent form and marginally better goal production.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Flamengo has better recent form with 3 wins and 1 draw in last 6 matches, scoring 1.33 goals per game, whereas Ceará has 2 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses with just 0.5 goals per match recently. Flamengo also shows higher goal scoring and better away record.
  • In 17 matches at Ceará's venue, Flamengo leads with 6 wins vs Ceará's 4 wins, and 7 draws, indicating a slight advantage for Flamengo historically with 41-24 goal aggregate. Matches tend to be competitive and moderately scoring with average goals around 2.4 per game.
  • No explicit recent injuries reported for either team; therefore, squads likely near full strength.
  • Match timing favors neither team; no notable external disruptions or fatigue issues noted. Flamengo’s better squad depth may provide advantage in endurance.
  • Flamengo is positioned higher in the table, thus has strong motivation to secure points away, while Ceará will be motivated to defend home ground but faces tougher challenge.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Ceara: 3.2, Flamengo: 1.95, Draw: 2.3 Flamengo ★★★★☆ 78%
Spread Ceara +50: 1.85, Flamengo -0.5: 1.98 Flamengo -0.5 ★★★★☆ 70%
Over/under Over 2: 1.89, Under 2: 1.93 Under 2 Goals ★★★☆☆ 65%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Flamengo 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2 16%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Flamengo to win (moneyline), Flamengo -0.5 handicap, under 2.5 goals

Predicted Score: Flamengo 1 – 0 Ceará


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3 Pick Parlay for Soccer – August 3, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Ceará vs. Flamengo Prediction Flamengo Win -105 ★★★★☆ 78% (78%)
Vitoria vs. Palmeiras Prediction Palmeiras Win -110 ★★★★☆ 75% (75%)
Corinthians vs. Fortaleza Prediction Corinthians Win -120 ★★★★☆ 72% (72%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +583

Wager: $20 — Potential Payout: $136.67

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Cruzeiro vs. Ceará Prediction Brazil Série A in Soccer

Match Analysis: Cruzeiro vs Ceará – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-07-27
  • Time: 7:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Estádio Raimundo Sampaio (Mineirão)

Game Overview

Cruzeiro hosts Ceará in a Brasileirão Série A clash where recent form and head-to-head history strongly favor the hosts, who are unbeaten in their last 10 matches.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Cruzeiro have won 7 and drawn 3 of their last 10 matches, posting a 70% win rate and no defeats. Ceará has been inconsistent, with 5 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses in their last 10, including 3 losses in their last 6. Cruzeiro's offensive and defensive metrics are superior in this matchup[1].
  • In direct matchups, Cruzeiro leads with 4 wins, Ceará has 2 wins, and 2 draws. The average goals per game in head-to-head matches is low (1.5), and under 2.5 goals is a common result. Cruzeiro also leads in clean sheets and comeback victories[1][2].
  • No specific injury updates are available in the provided data. Assume near-full squads unless new information arises.
  • No major external variables (weather, schedule congestion, etc.) are evident in the data. The match will be played at Cruzeiro's home ground, where they are historically strong.
  • Cruzeiro, competing at home, is likely highly motivated to capitalize on good form and solidify their league position. Ceará, with more inconsistent results, may struggle to impose their game plan away from home[1].

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Cruzeiro -220 | Draw 330 | Ceará 650 Cruzeiro ★★★★☆ 82%
Spread Cruzeiro -1 (-125) | Ceará +1 (105) Ceará +1 ★★★☆☆ 68%
Over/under Over 2.25 (-102) | Under 2.25 (-118) Under 2.25 ★★★★☆ 73%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Cruzeiro 5%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 15%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 15% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 17.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Cruzeiro's superior recent form and home advantage make them clear favorites, with a low-scoring, controlled victory the most likely outcome.

Predicted Score: Cruzeiro 1-0 Ceará


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