Location: Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, Rio Maior, Portugal
Game Overview
Casa Pia, currently ranked 2nd in the Primeira Liga, will host Sporting Lisbon, ranked 17th, in a match where Sporting is historically dominant, having won all of their last seven meetings. Sporting aims to bounce back from a recent Super Cup defeat with a strong away performance.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia has had a solid start but has faced three defeats in their last six matches. Sporting Lisbon remains unbeaten in their last 21 Liga Portugal games and boasts a run of six consecutive wins against Casa Pia, indicating superior form and consistency.
Sporting Lisbon has won the last seven head-to-head matches against Casa Pia in Liga Portugal, with several games ending in 0-3 scorelines favoring Sporting, demonstrating a clear historical advantage.
No specific injury updates are reported for either team ahead of the match.
The match location, Estadio Municipal de Rio Maior, is a neutral or alternate venue for Casa Pia, which might slightly reduce home advantage. Sporting's motivation to rebound after the Super Cup defeat adds psychological impetus.
Sporting Lisbon is motivated to assert dominance in the league following a recent setback and maintain their strong unbeaten run, while Casa Pia will aim to capitalize on home support and league standing for a positive result.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 8.5, Sporting Lisbon: -3.3, Draw: 4.3
Sporting Lisbon
★★★★☆ 85%
Spread
Casa Pia +1.5: -115, Sporting Lisbon -1.5: -105
Sporting Lisbon -1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108
Over 2.75 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sporting Lisbon -10%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 14%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 14% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 15.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon to win convincingly with a high probability, given their superior form, historical dominance, and motivation to recover from recent defeat.
Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal
Game Overview
The Primeira Liga match between Famalicão and Casa Pia is set to be a competitive clash between mid-table teams fighting for improved league standings. Famalicão, currently 8th, seeks to break a four-match winless streak after a recent 2-1 loss to Santa Clara, whereas Casa Pia, positioned 7th, aims to capitalize on their slightly better form and league placement. This fixture holds importance for both sides to solidify their mid-table status and push towards possible European qualification.
Key Factors to Consider
Famalicão has struggled recently, going four games without a victory, which includes the latest defeat away to Santa Clara. Casa Pia, while not flawless, has maintained a steadier form, ranking just above Famalicão. Both teams have comparable performances but Casa Pia shows a marginal edge in recent momentum.
The teams met once this season with a tightly contested match indicating evenly matched capabilities. Their historical encounters suggest a balanced rivalry with no clear dominance, reflecting in close statistics and competitive games in previous meetings.
No specific injury updates are available from the current data, but given the importance at this stage of the season, both teams are expected to field their strongest lineups if possible.
The match taking place at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao gives the home team a slight advantage in terms of familiar conditions and local fan support. Weather conditions and pitch state have not been reported as concerns.
Both teams are motivated to secure three points to improve their final standing in the Primeira Liga. Famalicão seeks to end their winless streak, while Casa Pia looks to maintain their higher position and leverage their recent form.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 2.95, Famalicão: 1.91, Draw: 2.4
Famalicão to win
★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread
Casa Pia +50: -112, Famalicão -0.5: -108
Famalicão -0.5
★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Famalicão -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 12%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.6% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the home advantage, recent form, and the slightly better odds for Famalicão, the prediction leans towards a narrow home victory. However, the probabilities for draw and away win remain significant, reflecting the closeness of the matchup.
Casa Pia hosts Sporting Braga in the Primeira Liga on May 10, 2025. Braga is currently in 4th place with 56 points, while Casa Pia ranks 8th with 39 points. Braga has shown stronger performance throughout the season.
Key Factors to Consider
Braga has performed more consistently this season, with notable players like R Horta and Bruma contributing significantly. Casa Pia has struggled to find consistency.
Data on past matches suggests Braga typically has the advantage over Casa Pia.
No significant injuries reported for either team.
Home advantage could benefit Casa Pia, but Braga's overall form might outweigh this.
Braga is motivated to secure a strong position in the league for European qualification.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 460, Braga: -165, Draw: 270
Braga
Not available
Spread
Casa Pia: 1 -125, Braga: -1 105
Braga
Not available
Over/under
Over 2.5: 100, Under 2.5: -120
Over 2.5
Not available
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Braga -12%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 20%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 20% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 20% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braga is likely to win based on recent form and performance.
This match in the Portuguese Primeira Liga pits Casa Pia, currently 8th in the league, against FC Porto, who are 4th. FC Porto is favored due to their strong past performances against Casa Pia and their overall league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia has won 11 games, drawn 7, and lost 10, while FC Porto has 17 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. FC Porto has a better recent form and a strong head-to-head record.
In their last six meetings, FC Porto has won five times with no wins for Casa Pia. Last season, FC Porto won both matches against Casa Pia.
There is no specific injury report available, but it could impact team dynamics.
The match's high stakes could affect player performance under pressure.
FC Porto's motivation to secure a higher league position is likely higher than Casa Pia's.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-160 for FC Porto, 460 for Casa Pia, 270 for Draw
FC Porto to win
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
FC Porto -0.75 (-125), Casa Pia +75 (105)
FC Porto to cover
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 2.5: 111, Under 2.5: -132
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
N/A
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto is expected to win based on their superior league standing and past results.
This match between SC Farense and Casa Pia is significant for their respective positions in the Primeira Liga. SC Farense is struggling at 17th with 17 points, while Casa Pia is in a stronger position at 7th with 39 points. Their recent forms suggest a competitive match but with Casa Pia having a slight edge due to their league performance.
Key Factors to Consider
SC Farense has struggled with only three wins in 26 matches, while Casa Pia has managed 11 wins in 27 matches. However, Casa Pia has a poor away record with four consecutive losses.
In their last 10 meetings, SC Farense won four times, drew once, and lost five times to Casa Pia. Their previous match this season ended in a 1-1 draw.
No specific injury reports are highlighted in the available data.
Weather conditions and crowd support could potentially affect the match dynamics.
Both teams have strong motivation—Farense to improve their survival chances and Casa Pia to secure a higher league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
EV Pick
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Casa Pia 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A draw is a likely outcome due to the competitive nature of their recent matches and the historical context.
This Primeira Liga match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave FC holds significant importance for both teams. Casa Pia, sitting in seventh place, seeks to improve their standing, while Rio Ave FC aims to move up from twelfth. Recent performances show a mix of wins and losses for both teams, making this match crucial for morale and points.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia has shown better home form, winning 6 out of their last 10 home matches, while Rio Ave struggles away, losing 9 out of 16 games. Casa Pia's recent form includes a series of losses, while Rio Ave has had mixed results.
In their last 8 meetings, Rio Ave has won 4 times, with Casa Pia managing only 1 win and 3 draws. The most common score has been 0-1 in favor of Rio Ave.
No specific injury reports are available that would significantly impact the match.
Both teams face no significant external factors that could affect performance, such as weather or crowd advantages.
Casa Pia is highly motivated to break their recent losing streak, while Rio Ave seeks to improve their away record and secure crucial points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 2.18, Rio Ave FC: 3.45, Draw: 3.30
Casa Pia
★★☆☆☆ 46%
Spread
Casa Pia: -0.25 -112, Rio Ave FC: 25 -108
Casa Pia -0.25
★★☆☆☆ 46%
Over_under
Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 63%
Predicted Outcome
Casa Pia is favored due to home advantage and recent trends.
Nacional faces Casa Pia in a Primeira Liga match. Nacional has mixed form, winning six home games, while Casa Pia is in poor form but has won four away games. Casa Pia ranks 6th, and Nacional is 12th in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
Nacional has a mixed record in the league, with six home wins. Casa Pia, despite poor form, has shown resilience in away games.
Nacional has won three times in their past eight meetings with Casa Pia, who have won four times.
No specific injury reports are available for this match.
Weather conditions are not expected to significantly impact the game.
Both teams are motivated to improve their league standings, but Casa Pia's higher ranking may give them an edge in confidence.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 195, Nacional: 140, Draw: 210
Nacional
★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread
Casa Pia: 25 -128, Nacional: -0.25 108
Nacional
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over: 2.25 -102, Under: 2.25 -118
Under
★★★☆☆ 60%
Predicted Outcome
Casa Pia is slightly favored due to their league position, but Nacional's home advantage could make it a competitive match.