Sporting Lisbon is the clear favorite away against Casa Pia, a team with a poor recent record. Sporting has been dominant historically and maintains a strong form, while Casa Pia has struggled both head-to-head and in the league.
Key Factors to Consider
Sporting Lisbon has won 80% of their last 10 matches and remained unbeaten in 94% of their last 33 league games. Casa Pia has not won in 8 of their last 9 Primeira Liga matches.
In the last 7 encounters, Sporting Lisbon has won all 7 matches against Casa Pia with no draws or Casa Pia wins. Over 1.5 goals occurred in 100% of these meetings.
No significant injuries reported for either squad affecting key starters, maintaining standard lineup strength.
The match is played at Casa Pia's home ground, but given their poor home form and Sporting's strong away record, venue advantage is minimal.
Sporting Lisbon is motivated to continue their strong league start and extend their winning streak, while Casa Pia aims to avoid relegation struggles and secure points early.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia 8.50, Sporting Lisbon -3.30, Draw 4.30
Sporting Lisbon
★★★★☆ 83%
Spread
Casa Pia +1.5 -115, Sporting Lisbon -1.5 -105
Sporting Lisbon -1.5
★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under
Over 2.75 -112, Under 2.75 -108
Over 2.75
★★★★☆ 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Sporting Lisbon -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 2.75 29%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Over 2.75 at 29% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 32.2% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Sporting Lisbon to win outright (moneyline), covering the -1.5 spread, with an expectation of over 2.75 total goals scored.
Location: Estadio Municipal de Famalicao, Vila Nova de Famalicao, Portugal
Game Overview
The Primeira Liga match features FC Famalicão hosting Casa Pia at the Estadio Municipal de Famalicao. Casa Pia currently stand 7th with 45 points while Famalicão are just behind in 8th place with 44 points, indicating a close contest between two mid-table sides vying for better league positioning. Both teams have met once this season, making this a potentially decisive encounter in their head-to-head rivalry.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia have edged slightly ahead with one more point than Famalicão, showing steady form in recent matches. Famalicão remain competitive at home, often leveraging home advantage strongly. Both teams display balanced offensive and defensive capabilities, with neither having clear dominance, suggesting a tight and tactical game.
The teams have faced each other once this season, with no overwhelming dominance by either side. This parity implies a balanced matchup where small details and current form may decisively influence the result.
No specific injury information is available from the current data, implying that both teams might have full or near-full squads available for selection.
Playing at Estadio Municipal de Famalicao gives the home team a slight edge. Weather and pitch conditions are not specified but typically should not pose major issues for this match.
With both sides closely ranked and separated by a single point, motivation levels will be high—Casa Pia aiming to consolidate their higher standing and Famalicão eager to overtake. The mid-season clash is critical for positioning in the league table.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 2.95, Famalicão: 1.91, Draw: 2.4
Famalicão to win
★★★☆☆ 60%
Spread
Casa Pia +50: -112, Famalicão -0.5: -108
Famalicão -0.5
★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under
Over 2.5: -112, Under 2.5: -108
Under 2.5 goals
★★★☆☆ 65%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Famalicão -1%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 16%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the very close league positions and balanced historical encounters, a competitive match is expected. The home advantage and marginally better form give Famalicão a slight edge, but a draw is a strong possibility as Casa Pia can counter effectively.
This Liga Portugal match features 9th-placed Casa Pia AC (42 points, 3 wins in last 6 home league games) hosting 3rd-placed Sporting Braga (65 points, 8 matches unbeaten in the league). Casa Pia has struggled for wins, recording only 1 win in their last 9 Liga Portugal matches. Braga has been dominant, winning 30 of their last 52 matches across all competitions. The head-to-head history favors Braga, who have won 4 of their last 6 encounters with Casa Pia. The match is expected to be a stern test for Casa Pia, with Braga as strong favorites.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia: 1 win in last 9 league matches, 3 wins in last 6 home league matches. Braga: 8 matches unbeaten, 30 wins in last 52 matches.
Braga has won 4 of the last 6 meetings with Casa Pia.
No specific injury news available.
No notable external disruptions reported.
Braga is fighting for a European spot and is in strong form. Casa Pia is mid-table, with limited motivation beyond securing their league standing.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Braga: -165, Casa Pia: 460, Draw: 270
Braga to win
★★★★☆ 75%
Spread
Braga: -1 105, Casa Pia: 1 -125
Braga -1
★★★☆☆ 65%
Over/under
Over: 2.5 100, Under: 2.5 -120
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 52%
Top EV Betting Odds
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Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Braga -4%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2.5 -5%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Braga at -4% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Braga is expected to win, with a predicted scoreline of 0-2. Casa Pia's recent form is poor, and Braga's dominance in recent encounters and league performance make them clear favorites.
This match in the Portuguese Primeira Liga pits Casa Pia, currently 8th in the league, against FC Porto, who are 4th. FC Porto is favored due to their strong past performances against Casa Pia and their overall league standings.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia has won 11 games, drawn 7, and lost 10, while FC Porto has 17 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses. FC Porto has a better recent form and a strong head-to-head record.
In their last six meetings, FC Porto has won five times with no wins for Casa Pia. Last season, FC Porto won both matches against Casa Pia.
There is no specific injury report available, but it could impact team dynamics.
The match's high stakes could affect player performance under pressure.
FC Porto's motivation to secure a higher league position is likely higher than Casa Pia's.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-160 for FC Porto, 460 for Casa Pia, 270 for Draw
FC Porto to win
★★★☆☆ 68%
Spread
FC Porto -0.75 (-125), Casa Pia +75 (105)
FC Porto to cover
★★★☆☆ 55%
Over_under
Over 2.5: 111, Under 2.5: -132
Under 2.5
★★★☆☆ 67%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
N/A
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
N/A
⚠️ No clear +EV edge found for this game.
Predicted Outcome
FC Porto is expected to win based on their superior league standing and past results.
This match between SC Farense and Casa Pia is significant for their respective positions in the Primeira Liga. SC Farense is struggling at 17th with 17 points, while Casa Pia is in a stronger position at 7th with 39 points. Their recent forms suggest a competitive match but with Casa Pia having a slight edge due to their league performance.
Key Factors to Consider
SC Farense has struggled with only three wins in 26 matches, while Casa Pia has managed 11 wins in 27 matches. However, Casa Pia has a poor away record with four consecutive losses.
In their last 10 meetings, SC Farense won four times, drew once, and lost five times to Casa Pia. Their previous match this season ended in a 1-1 draw.
No specific injury reports are highlighted in the available data.
Weather conditions and crowd support could potentially affect the match dynamics.
Both teams have strong motivation—Farense to improve their survival chances and Casa Pia to secure a higher league position.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
EV Pick
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Casa Pia 16%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 2 9%
🔥 Best Value Pick: Casa Pia at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8.1% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
A draw is a likely outcome due to the competitive nature of their recent matches and the historical context.
This Primeira Liga match between Casa Pia and Rio Ave FC holds significant importance for both teams. Casa Pia, sitting in seventh place, seeks to improve their standing, while Rio Ave FC aims to move up from twelfth. Recent performances show a mix of wins and losses for both teams, making this match crucial for morale and points.
Key Factors to Consider
Casa Pia has shown better home form, winning 6 out of their last 10 home matches, while Rio Ave struggles away, losing 9 out of 16 games. Casa Pia's recent form includes a series of losses, while Rio Ave has had mixed results.
In their last 8 meetings, Rio Ave has won 4 times, with Casa Pia managing only 1 win and 3 draws. The most common score has been 0-1 in favor of Rio Ave.
No specific injury reports are available that would significantly impact the match.
Both teams face no significant external factors that could affect performance, such as weather or crowd advantages.
Casa Pia is highly motivated to break their recent losing streak, while Rio Ave seeks to improve their away record and secure crucial points.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Casa Pia: 2.18, Rio Ave FC: 3.45, Draw: 3.30
Casa Pia
★★☆☆☆ 46%
Spread
Casa Pia: -0.25 -112, Rio Ave FC: 25 -108
Casa Pia -0.25
★★☆☆☆ 46%
Over_under
Over 2.25: -118, Under 2.25: -102
Over 2.25
★★★☆☆ 63%
Predicted Outcome
Casa Pia is favored due to home advantage and recent trends.