Match Analysis: Colorado Rapids vs San Jose Earthquakes – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-05-10
- Time: 1:30 AM UTC
- Location: Dick's Sporting Goods Park
Game Overview
The Colorado Rapids will host the San Jose Earthquakes in an MLS regular season match at Dick's Sporting Goods Park. Colorado Rapids currently hold a stronger position (6th place) in the league standings compared to San Jose (14th), with recent form showing Colorado at 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 loss, while San Jose has 2 wins and 3 draws. Both teams have key offensive contributors, but Colorado's home advantage and slightly higher league rank give them a competitive edge.
Key Factors to Consider
- Colorado Rapids have been consistent with 8 points from 5 matches (2-2-1), showing solid home performances. San Jose Earthquakes are unbeaten in 5 matches but have more draws, indicating they struggle to convert chances into wins. Key players like R. Navarro and C. Arango lead San Jose's attack, whereas Colorado benefits from home form and overall team cohesion.
- This season, Colorado Rapids and San Jose Earthquakes have met twice, with Colorado holding a better position and likely better results in those encounters. Historically, Colorado tends to dominate at home against San Jose, reinforcing their advantage in this fixture.
- No specific injury reports for either side were indicated in the available data, suggesting both teams are likely near full strength for the match.
- The match is played at Colorado's home stadium, Dick's Sporting Goods Park, with kickoff at 6:30 PM local time, which may favor the home side due to familiar conditions and fan support. No notable external disturbances or weather impacts were reported.
- Colorado, sitting higher in the standings and with a stronger home record, are motivated to consolidate their position in the top half of the MLS. San Jose, while unbeaten recently, are motivated to improve their ranking and gain crucial points on the road.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rapids: -115, San Jose Earthquakes: 275, Draw: 300 | Colorado Rapids | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Colorado Rapids -0.5: -112, San Jose Earthquakes +50: -108 | Colorado Rapids -0.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 3.25: -102, Under 3.25: -118 | Under 3.25 | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rapids 7% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 3.25 2% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Colorado Rapids at 7% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 7.5% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Colorado Rapids are predicted to win this match, leveraging their home advantage, better league position, and slightly superior head-to-head record. Expect a moderately competitive game with Colorado edging out the Earthquakes.
Predicted Score: 2-1