Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
Baltimore Orioles host Houston Astros in a late August MLB matchup featuring strong pitching from Orioles' Trevor Rogers versus struggling Astros' Spencer Arrighetti. Orioles are underdogs seasonally but the pitching matchup and recent form favor Baltimore despite Astros' better overall record.
Key Factors to Consider
Orioles have a losing record (59-70) but show signs of life with recent wins and strong pitching. Astros are 72-58, generally better but have lost recent day games after previous day play, impacting stamina.
Recent series favored Astros offensively, but Orioles have edged pitching matchups. Last five games between these teams have trended over total runs.
No major injuries reported impacting starting pitchers or key lineups for this game.
Orioles have home-field advantage at Camden Yards, which historically boosts their Sunday afternoon performance. Astros show fatigue effects in day games following previous day matches.
Orioles motivated to salvage series in front of home crowd. Astros look to maintain momentum but face pitching challenges.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
-142
Baltimore Orioles
β β β β β 75%
Spread
140
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
β β β ββ 65%
Over/under
-115
Under 9 Runs
β β β β β 70%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 2%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9 12%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 12% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 14% (Kelly Criterion)
The Boston Red Sox host the Baltimore Orioles in a pivotal AL East matchup at Fenway Park. The Red Sox are slight favorites despite recent struggles, while the Orioles seek to capitalize on momentum from a previous victory over Boston. This game is key for Boston to maintain their position in the division and for Baltimore to improve their sub-.500 record.
Key Factors to Consider
Boston holds a 68-58 record with some recent inconsistency, including splitting their last six games and a bullpen showing vulnerability. Baltimore sits at 58-67 with offensive struggles but holds some recent positive momentum against the Red Sox.
Historically, Boston dominates with 97 wins to Baltimore's 70. Boston averages 5.32 runs per game in these matchups versus Baltimore's 4.44. However, Baltimore won the last meeting 6-3 on August 18, 2025, adding intrigue.
No major injuries reported to starting pitchers or key offensive players for either team that would significantly impact the game.
Game played at Fenway Park gives Boston a strong home field advantage with favorable dimensions for their lineup. Weather conditions expected to be typical for August in Boston with no significant impact forecast.
Boston motivated to secure a win to hold onto division standing prior to a lengthy road trip. Baltimore motivated to build on recent success and improve overall season record.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox -138, Baltimore Orioles +125
Boston Red Sox
β β β ββ 68%
Spread
Boston Red Sox -1.5 +147, Baltimore Orioles +1.5 -167
Boston Red Sox -1.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 9.5 -115, Under 9.5 -105
Over 9.5
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Boston Red Sox 3%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Over 9.5 3%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Boston Red Sox at 3% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 4.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Boston Red Sox to win straight up (moneyline), cover the -1.5 run line, and the game to go over 9.5 runs.
Predicted Score: Boston Red Sox 6 – 4 Baltimore Orioles
The Houston Astros host the Baltimore Orioles in an MLB matchup with Houston favored at home. Both teams have contrasting recent forms and pitching matchups influencing the game outlook.
Key Factors to Consider
Astros hold a 69-54 record with strong home performance (38-26), while Orioles are 56-67 with weaker road stats (26-37). Astros have slightly better pitching overall, but Javier is only making his second start after injury. Orioles starter Kremer has a 4.17 ERA but has excelled historically versus Astros (3-0, 1.82 ERA).
Kremer has a strong history against Houston, undefeated in three starts with a 1.82 ERA. The Orioles have struggled on the road in recent games versus Astros, who are defensively solid at home.
Houstonβs Javier is returning from injury and only has one start this season, causing some uncertainty in pitching reliability. Baltimore has no major reported injuries affecting the lineup or starting pitching.
Weather and field conditions at Daikin Park expected to be standard with no significant impact on play. Astros playing at home with crowd support and familiar conditions.
Astros remain motivated to maintain division lead; Orioles motivated to improve road record and end losing streak, coming off a disappointing extra-innings loss.
The Seattle Mariners (67-54) visit the Baltimore Orioles (54-66) for the final game of their series after splitting the first two low-scoring contests. Mariners are slight favorites despite the series split, with both teams having struggled offensively at times this series. Starting pitchers are Logan Evans for Seattle and Tomoyuki Sugano for Baltimore, pitching in a ballpark favoring pitching performances.
Key Factors to Consider
Seattle has been in strong form with eight wins in their last nine games and a solid pitching staff ERA of 3.78 and WHIP of 1.23. Baltimore has struggled overall but showed resilience with a walk-off win in the previous game, snapping Seattle's eight-game winning streak.
The teams are currently tied 1-1 in this series. Seattle has won 47 of 81 games when favored this season, while Baltimore has a weaker record as underdog and overall losing record.
No major injury reports for key starters Logan Evans and Tomoyuki Sugano. Both expected to pitch effectively.
The game is played at Camden Yards, a pitcher-friendly park which may suppress scoring totals. Weather conditions are stable with no impact forecasted.
Seattle is fighting for playoff positioning and comes in with strong recent momentum, while Baltimore is out of playoff contention but motivated after a recent emotional walk-off win at home.
Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland
Game Overview
This matchup features the Baltimore Orioles hosting the Oakland Athletics in the final game of their three-game series. Both teams have similar records with Orioles at 53-64 and Athletics at 52-67. Orioles are slight favorites at home. Key pitching matchups include Orioles' Cade Povich, who has struggled recently, and Athletics' starter Morales, who had a solid first appearance. Notably, the Athletics are missing ace Luis Severino due to injury.
Key Factors to Consider
Orioles have a mixed recent form, suffering a blowout loss recently but still averaging competitive offense at home (28-28 record). Athletics struggle on the road (29-33) and have difficulty winning back-to-back games. Orioles have allowed 11+ runs twice in last 5 games, highlighting some pitching vulnerability.
Season series is tied 2-2 between the teams, showing a balanced competitive history in 2025.
Athletics placed ace Luis Severino on the 15-day injured list with oblique strain, weakening their pitching rotation. Orioles have no major injuries reported impacting starting lineup.
Game played at Camden Yards, a neutral-to-favorable park for Orioles offense. Weather conditions and other external variables currently not reported to impact game significantly.
Both teams are fighting for standing late in the season; Orioles slightly more motivated to defend home field advantage with playoff aspirations marginally better.
Odds and Predictions
Category
Odds
Prediction
Confidence
Moneyline
Orioles -132 / Athletics +112
Baltimore Orioles
β β β β β 70%
Spread
Orioles -1.5 (+150) / Athletics +1.5 (-182)
Baltimore Orioles -1.5
β β β ββ 62%
Over/under
Over 9.5 (100) / Under 9.5 (-122)
Under 9.5
β β β ββ 58%
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
Market
EV Pick
Moneyline
Baltimore Orioles 5%
Spread
N/A
Over/Under
Under 9.5 6%
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9.5 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 6.8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Baltimore Orioles to win outright, cover -1.5 spread, and game total to go under 9.5 runs.