Match Analysis: St. Louis Cardinals vs Colorado Rockies – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-13
- Time: 6:15 PM UTC
- Location: Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri
Game Overview
The St. Louis Cardinals host the Colorado Rockies in an MLB regular season matchup. The Cardinals have a recent winning trend, beating the Rockies 3-0 on August 12, while the Rockies have been inconsistent but showed strong pitching in their latest outings. This game is crucial for both teams aiming to improve standings in their respective divisions.
Key Factors to Consider
- The Cardinals come into this match with momentum, having won 3 of their last 5 games, including a 3-0 shutout against the Rockies on August 12. The Rockies have a mixed recent form, with a 3-2 win over the Cardinals on August 11 but also heavy losses recently. The Cardinalsβ pitching, spearheaded by Matthew Liberatore, showed resilience in the recent shutout. Offensively, the Cardinals have shown better consistency compared to the Rockies this season.
- The two teams have recently met twice, splitting wins with the Rockies winning 3-2 on August 11 and the Cardinals shutting out the Rockies 3-0 on August 12. Historically at Busch Stadium, Cardinals have had an edge, with generally stronger performances at home.
- Current injury reports show no significant absences impacting starting players for either team in this match, ensuring both sides are near full strength.
- The game is played at the Cardinals' home stadium, providing them with home-field advantage. Weather conditions are expected to be stable, with no precipitation or wind factors that could influence gameplay. The timing of the game in the evening could favor pitching performance due to cooler conditions.
- The Cardinals are motivated to maintain their momentum and capitalize on their home advantage to solidify playoff positioning. The Rockies aim to bounce back aggressively after their recent shutout loss, fighting to stay relevant in their division race.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Colorado Rockies: 184, St. Louis Cardinals: -205 | St. Louis Cardinals | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Colorado Rockies: +1.5 -105, St. Louis Cardinals: -1.5 -115 | St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over: 9 110, Under: 9 -130 | Under 9 runs | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | St. Louis Cardinals -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 9 6% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 6% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 8% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
The St. Louis Cardinals are predicted to win given their recent form, stronger pitching performance, and home advantage, with a moderately high confidence level.
Predicted Score: St. Louis Cardinals 4 – Colorado Rockies 2