Match Analysis: Azamat Bekoev vs Yousri Belgaroui – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-10-18
- Time: 8:45 PM UTC
- Location: Rogers Arena, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada
Game Overview
The fight features Azamat Bekoev and Yousri Belgaroui in a UFC Middleweight prelims bout. Bekoev comes in with a 20-3 record, undefeated in UFC with two impressive TKO finishes, while Belgaroui is making his UFC debut with an 8-3 record and a KO win on Dana White's Contender Series. Bekoev fights out of American Top Team and is known for his well-rounded skill set including wrestling and striking, whereas Belgaroui is taller with a reach advantage and has a strong kickboxing background.
Key Factors to Consider
- Bekoev has a recent 8-fight winning streak and 2-0 UFC record, showing finishing ability with TKOs. Belgaroui is a newcomer with a notable 8-3 overall MMA record and a KO win in his last competitive appearance over a year ago.
- No previous fights between Bekoev and Belgaroui; this is their first matchup.
- No known injuries reported for either fighter before this bout.
- Fight takes place in Vancouver at Rogers Arena. Bekoev may benefit from momentum and experience, while Belgaroui's longer layoff and debut status might impact his performance.
- Bekoev aims to extend his UFC winning streak and demonstrate finishing ability, while Belgaroui is motivated to make a strong first impression in the UFC with his Contender Series win backing him.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Azamat Bekoev: -285, Yousri Belgaroui: 230 | Azamat Bekoev | ★★★★☆ 78% |
| Spread | Azamat Bekoev: -7.5 -125, Yousri Belgaroui: +7.5 -105 | Azamat Bekoev to cover the -7.5 spread | ★★★☆☆ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 1.5: -175, Under 1.5: 135 | Over 1.5 rounds | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Azamat Bekoev -0% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 1.5 -9% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Azamat Bekoev at -0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Azamat Bekoev is favored to win based on his UFC experience, finishing streak, and well-rounded skills, with a prediction of a technical knockout or decision within 3 rounds.
Predicted Score: Bekoev wins by TKO in Round 2