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Auxerre vs. Lyon Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Lyon – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: November 23, 2025
  • Time: 2:00 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

Auxerre, languishing at the bottom of Ligue 1 with just 7 points from 10 matches, faces Lyon in a critical encounter at home. Auxerre have managed only 2 wins, 1 draw, and 7 losses this season, with a concerning goal differential of -9. Their attack is the weakest in the division, having scored just 7 goals across 12 contests. Lyon, despite recent struggles and a last-minute defeat to the European champions, remain in a stronger position with 19 points from 10 matches (6 wins, 1 draw, 3 losses). However, both sides are under pressure with inconsistent form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre are in a dire situation, having extended their winless run to seven matches before the international break. Their last victory came on September 21 at home against a single-goal performance. Across 12 Ligue 1 outings, they possess the poorest attack in the division by a considerable distance. Lyon, while showing more quality, suffered a recent last-minute defeat and are also dealing with a number of injuries and suspensions that will impact their selection.
  • Lyon dominate the historical matchup, remaining undefeated in 28 of their last 31 encounters against Auxerre across all competitions. In their recent Ligue 1 head-to-head meetings, Auxerre has suffered defeat in 4 out of the last 6 matches. Most recently, Lyon defeated Auxerre 3-1 on April 13, 2025.
  • Lyon are dealing with a number of injuries and suspensions that are likely to impact their selection for this fixture, potentially weakening their squad depth and forcing tactical adjustments.
  • Auxerre have shown their best performances at home this season, where their most recent victory occurred. The home advantage at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps may provide some respite for the struggling hosts, though their overall form remains deeply concerning.
  • Both teams carry significant pressure. Auxerre desperately need a result to climb away from the relegation zone and end their winless streak. Lyon seek to maintain their position in the upper half of the table and respond to recent setbacks, though they may be further motivated to secure three points against the league's weakest side.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: +275 | Lyon: -102 | Draw: +240 Lyon Win ★★★☆☆ 62%
Spread Auxerre: +50 -120 | Lyon: -0.5 +100 Lyon -0.5 ★★★☆☆ 58%
Over/under Over 2.5: -105 | Under 2.5: -115 Under 2.5 ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Lyon 0%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 -1%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Lyon at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite Auxerre's home advantage and Lyon's injury concerns, the away side's superior quality, historical dominance in this fixture, and stronger season-long performance suggest they will prevail. However, the combination of Lyon's selection challenges and Auxerre's home resilience could make this closer than expected. A Lyon victory remains the most probable outcome, though an Auxerre draw or upset cannot be entirely ruled out given the specific circumstances of this match.

Predicted Score: Auxerre 1-2 Lyon


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Angers vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Angers vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-09
  • Time: 4:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade Raymond Kopa, Angers, France

Game Overview

Angers hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 clash at Stade Raymond Kopa. Both teams are struggling this season, with Angers hovering just above the relegation zone and Auxerre sitting at the bottom of the table. The match is expected to be tight, with both sides needing points for survival. Recent form suggests low scoring and defensive battles, with neither team in top form.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Angers have won only 2 of their first 11 matches, with a narrow 1-0 loss to Lille in their last outing. Auxerre are rock-bottom with just 7 points from 11 games, showing poor attacking output and defensive fragility. Both teams have scored 5 goals in their last 5 matches, indicating a lack of firepower.
  • Angers and Auxerre have faced each other twice last season, with results split. Historically, matches between these two have been closely contested, often ending in draws or narrow wins. Recent H2H suggests a balanced rivalry with no clear dominance.
  • No major injuries reported for either side ahead of the match. Both squads are expected to field their strongest available lineups.
  • The match is not televised in the UK, but available via Ligue 1 Pass and beIN Sports Connect. Weather conditions are expected to be mild, with no adverse impact on play. The venue, Stade Raymond Kopa, is a neutral ground for both teams, but Angers have a slight home advantage.
  • Both teams are under pressure to avoid relegation. Angers are fighting to stay above the drop zone, while Auxerre are desperate for points to climb out of last place. The motivation is high for both sides, but Auxerre may be more desperate given their position.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Angers: 155, Auxerre: 188, Draw: 205 Angers ★★★☆☆ 55%
Spread Angers: 0 -125, Auxerre: 0 105 Angers 0 ★★★☆☆ 50%
Over/under Over: 2.25 102, Under: 2.25 -122 Under ★★★☆☆ 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Angers 7%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 9%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 9% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 11.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the form and motivation, Angers are slight favorites at home, but Auxerre's desperation could make this a tight contest. A draw is a strong possibility, but Angers have a slight edge due to home advantage and marginally better form.

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Auxerre vs. Marseille Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Marseille – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-11-01
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbé Deschamps

Game Overview

Auxerre, struggling near the bottom of Ligue 1, face a strong Marseille side ranked third in the league. Auxerre have recently lost 3-0 to Strasbourg and are seeking only their third win of the season at home, while Marseille come off a 2-2 draw with Angers, showing offensive potency but some defensive vulnerability.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre’s form is poor with heavy recent defeats and defensive inconsistencies; Marseille are in better form, holding a strong league position and showing attacking threat but can concede goals. Marseille’s superior league standing reflects better overall consistency and quality.
  • Auxerre defeated Marseille 3-0 at home earlier this season in February 2025, indicating their potential to compete strongly at home; however, Marseille generally have better season results and higher league ranking currently.
  • No explicit injury updates available from search results; however, considering squad rotations due to fixture congestion and European commitments for Marseille, some rotation could affect team strength.
  • Fixture congestion in Ligue 1 due to European competition affects team preparation; rescheduling has influenced team fatigue and rotation strategies, especially for Marseille competing on multiple fronts.
  • Auxerre are highly motivated to escape relegation, aiming for one of their few wins this season at home. Marseille are motivated to maintain or improve their top-table standing and secure Champions League qualification.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 3.75, Marseille: 1.67, Draw: 2.95 Marseille win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Auxerre: -0.75 at -102, Marseille: +75 at -118 Marseille -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.75: -112, Under 2.75: -108 Under 2.75 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Marseille -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.75 0%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.75 at 0% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Despite a strong home win earlier in the season by Auxerre, Marseille’s overall stronger form and league position lead to a prediction of a narrow away win or draw, with Marseille likely to edge the match due to better quality and experience.

Predicted Score: 1-2


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Strasbourg vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Strasbourg vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-29
  • Time: 8:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de la Meinau

Game Overview

Strasbourg hosts Auxerre in a Ligue 1 match with Strasbourg currently ranked 5th, showing stronger recent form, while Auxerre stands 15th. Strasbourg is favored but Auxerre has demonstrated resilience, suggesting a potentially balanced contest despite the disparity in team quality.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Strasbourg has performed consistently better this season, holding a top 5 position with stronger attacking and defensive records, whereas Auxerre struggles near relegation zone with poorer form. Strasbourg's home advantage at Stade de la Meinau further tips performance in their favor.
  • Historically, Strasbourg leads with 5 wins to Auxerre’s 3 over their last eight encounters, with no draws recorded, showing a competitive but Strasbourg-favored head-to-head record.
  • Current available data does not specify injuries for either team, but both sides appear to field near full-strength squads, which maintains the expected competitive balance.
  • No significant external factors such as weather or extraordinary circumstances reported. Match timing and venue favor Strasbourg as the home side.
  • Strasbourg aims to consolidate their top 5 position and potentially push for European spots, giving them strong motivation, while Auxerre fights to improve their precarious 15th position, creating a defensive and cautious approach.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 375, Strasbourg: -149, Draw: 295 Draw ★★☆☆☆ 45%
Spread Auxerre: -0.75 -105, Strasbourg: +75 -115 Strasbourg -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 55%
Over/under Over 2.5: -120, Under 2.5: 100 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Strasbourg 133%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 40%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Strasbourg at 133% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 45.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Draw

Predicted Score: 1-1


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 29, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – October 29, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Lorient vs. Paris Saint Germain Prediction Paris Saint Germain -410 650%
Strasbourg vs. Auxerre Prediction Strasbourg -149 133%
AS Roma vs. Parma Prediction Under 2.25 -102 29%

Combined Odds: +312 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $82.33

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Auxerre vs. Le Havre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Le Havre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-26
  • Time: 4:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

Auxerre, currently 14th in Ligue 1, hosts 16th placed Le Havre at Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Both teams have shown modest form in the league, with Auxerre holding a slight home advantage. Recent performances highlight some attacking threats but defensive vulnerabilities. This match is pivotal as both sides aim to improve their standings in a tight lower mid-table battle.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre has 7 points from 8 matches, demonstrating slightly better overall form than Le Havre, who have 6 points from 8. Auxerre's attack is led by forwards L. Sinayoko (3 goals) and I. Soumaré (3 goals and 2 assists), while Le Havre struggles defensively as seen in their recent heavy loss to Marseille 6-2. Both sides have mixed results, making this a close contest.
  • The teams have recently met twice last season with closely contested outcomes. Historical head-to-head indicates a balanced rivalry with minimal dominance by either side. These recent encounters suggest tight matches with limited goal differences.
  • No specific injury reports are detailed in available sources, but considering typical squad updates near this date, no major absences are expected for either team affecting key players significantly.
  • No unusual external factors such as weather or stadium issues reported. Standard pitch and weather conditions expected at the Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps. Both teams may be motivated by league positioning and local fan support for Auxerre.
  • Both teams are close in the standings and will be motivated to secure points to avoid slide into relegation danger. Auxerre's home advantage and marginally better form add to their motivation, while Le Havre seeks to break out from recent poor results and defensive lapses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 111, Le Havre: 245, Draw: 235 Auxerre win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Auxerre -0.25: -120, Le Havre +25: 100 Auxerre -0.25 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over 2.25: -125, Under 2.25: 105 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Auxerre 10%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

A narrowly contested match with Auxerre slightly favored to win at home given their superior recent form and home advantage. The match is likely to be tight with limited goal scoring but will favor the home side in a low-scoring affair.

Predicted Score: 1-0


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Rennes vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Rennes vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-10-19
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Roazhon Park, Rennes, France

Game Overview

The Ligue 1 clash between Rennes and Auxerre is set at Roazhon Park. Rennes rank 10th in the league, showing moderate form with a balanced goal-scoring and conceding pattern. Auxerre, sitting lower in 16th place, have shown resilience recently with two consecutive wins against Rennes. Both teams have a close historical rivalry, each securing three wins in their recent head-to-head meetings.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Rennes has scored an average of 1.29 goals per match and conceded about 1.43, with two recent losses in their last five games. Auxerre has a lower scoring average at 0.71 but a stronger defense conceding 1.43 as well. Auxerre has won two of their last five matches and demonstrated a high Asian Handicap win rate of 80%.
  • Historically, Rennes and Auxerre have met 24 times since 2003 with Auxerre winning 11, Rennes 8, and 5 draws. Recent matches are balanced with both teams winning three times each and three draws in their last nine encounters. The total goals average in previous clashes indicates moderately defensive matches.
  • Rennes will miss Abdelhamid Ait Boudlal and Glen Kamara due to injury, potentially weakening their defensive midfield. Auxerre face several absences including Lasso Coulibaly, Oussama El Azzouzi, Sinaly Diomandé, and Telli Siwe, likely impacting squad depth and defensive stability.
  • The match being at Rennes' home ground could provide a home advantage. Weather or pitch conditions are not specified but no notable external disruptions are reported. The 2-day gap from the current date suggests no immediate fatigue from recent fixtures.
  • Rennes, positioned mid-table, aim to consolidate their league standing while Auxerre, close to the relegation zone, are motivated to gain points to escape lower rankings. Auxerre's recent wins against Rennes may boost confidence; Rennes would seek to leverage home advantage for a comeback.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 364, Rennes: -128, Draw: 286 Rennes to win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread Auxerre: 75 -120, Rennes: -0.75 100 Rennes -0.75 ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under Over: 2.5 -118, Under: 2.5 -102 Under 2.5 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Rennes -2%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.5 19%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 19% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 19.2% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Considering recent form, home advantage, and injury status, Rennes are favored to win but the match is expected to be closely contested with a low-scoring margin. Auxerre’s defensive solidity and recent success against Rennes suggest a draw or narrow Rennes victory is most probable.

Predicted Score: 2-1


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Paris Saint Germain vs. Auxerre Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Paris Saint Germain vs Auxerre – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-27
  • Time: 7:05 PM UTC
  • Location: Parc des Princes, Paris, France

Game Overview

Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) hosts Auxerre for a Ligue 1 match at Parc des Princes. PSG is currently ranked 2nd in the league with strong recent performances, including a 4-0-1 record and 12 points accrued. Auxerre holds 10th place, with a mixed record (2-0-3 and 6 points). PSG features key players like Ousmane Dembélé, the 2025 Ballon d'Or winner, and promising forwards Barcola and Neves, providing significant attacking prowess. Auxerre, while competitive, is an underdog here with much lower odds and fewer scoring threats. This match is expected to be dominated by PSG given their form, squad depth, and home advantage.

Key Factors to Consider

  • PSG is in strong form with a solid unbeaten run this season, including convincing wins and goal-scoring contributions from top players. Auxerre's form is average with more draws and losses, lacking the offensive firepower of PSG.
  • Recent encounters favor PSG, highlighted by PSG’s dominance at home and better overall results in their last two meetings last season. PSG usually controls matches when facing Auxerre.
  • No significant injuries reported for PSG; full squad availability expected. Auxerre’s injury status not prominently reported, suggesting no major absences that affect match outcome significantly.
  • PSG benefits from playing at Parc des Princes with supportive home crowd. PSG’s schedule is light this week, ensuring freshness.
  • PSG aims to maintain or improve their high league standing early in the season, motivated by title ambitions. Auxerre seeks to climb the table and prove they can challenge top teams.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Auxerre: 1200, Paris Saint Germain: -675, Draw: 750 Paris Saint-Germain win ★★★★☆ 85%
Spread Auxerre +2.25: -108, Paris Saint Germain -2.25: -112 Paris Saint-Germain -2.25 ★★★★☆ 75%
Over/under Over 3.75: -102, Under 3.75: -118 Over 3.75 goals ★★★★☆ 70%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Paris Saint Germain 901%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 3.75 35%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Paris Saint Germain at 901% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 75.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Paris Saint-Germain are heavily favored to win this match due to superior team strength, recent form, and home advantage. A high-scoring home victory is the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Paris Saint-Germain 4 – 1 Auxerre


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Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Soccer – September 27, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Paris Saint Germain vs. Auxerre Prediction Paris Saint Germain -675 901%
CF Estrela vs. AVS Futebol SAD Prediction CF Estrela 101 192%
Atletico Mineiro vs. Mirassol Prediction Atletico Mineiro 132 47%

Combined Odds: +435 |
Wager: $20 —
Potential Payout: $107.08

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Auxerre vs. Toulouse Prediction Ligue 1 in Soccer

Match Analysis: Auxerre vs Toulouse – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-09-21
  • Time: 3:15 PM UTC
  • Location: Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, Auxerre, France

Game Overview

Auxerre and Toulouse face each other in a crucial Ligue 1 match where both teams are under pressure to break recent losing streaks. Auxerre, struggling with form and sitting 15th in the standings, have scored only three goals this season and are coming off a narrow 2-1 home loss to Monaco. Toulouse, currently in 10th place, remain unbeaten in recent encounters with Auxerre and aim to continue their dominance away from home.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Auxerre have managed only one win this season and have generally performed poorly, suffering defeats with poor possession and few scoring chances. Toulouse display steadier form and have avoided defeat against Auxerre since 2021, indicating mental and tactical edge.
  • Toulouse have dominated recent meetings, remaining unbeaten in the last six matches against Auxerre, including draws and wins, giving them psychological advantage.
  • No specific injury updates are provided in the data sources, so it is assumed there are no major injuries significantly affecting team lineups.
  • The match is at Auxerre's home ground, Stade de l'Abbé-Deschamps, which could provide some advantage, but their current poor form offsets this. No other major external factors such as weather or suspensions were mentioned.
  • Both teams are motivated to break their losing streaks; Auxerre to avoid slipping further toward the relegation zone, and Toulouse to maintain their superior record in direct clashes and improve their league standing.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline auxerre: 171, toulouse: 165, draw: 215 Toulouse win ★★★☆☆ 65%
Spread auxerre: -108, toulouse: -112, point_spread: 0 Toulouse +0 spread ★★★☆☆ 60%
Over/under over: -125, under: 105, line: 2.25 Under 2.25 goals ★★★☆☆ 55%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Toulouse 11%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 2.25 13%

🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.25 at 13% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12.1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Toulouse is favored to win based on superior recent performance, psychological edge from head-to-head stats, and current form. Auxerre’s struggles at home reduce their probability of a victory despite the home advantage, making an away win the most probable outcome.

Predicted Score: Auxerre 1-2 Toulouse


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