Match Analysis: CF Montreal vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-08-09
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Saputo Stadium, Montreal, Canada
Game Overview
The match is a Major League Soccer regular season game between CF Montréal and Atlanta United FC, to be played at CF Montréal's home ground in Montreal. CF Montréal currently ranks 15th in MLS with 18 points, while Atlanta United stands 13th with 21 points, indicating a closely matched contest in the lower-mid league table. Both teams have shown struggles in defense and limited goal-scoring capacity this season, suggesting a potentially tight and competitive game.
Key Factors to Consider
- CF Montréal has scored 3 goals and conceded 10 in the season so far, with just 1 clean sheet, while Atlanta United FC has better offensive stats with 10 goals scored but remain susceptible with 11 goals conceded. Key players include Dante Sealy for Montréal and Emmanuel Latte Lath for Atlanta, with Latte Lath having scored 7 goals. Both teams have similar numbers of shots on goal, but Atlanta has a slight edge in attack.
- The teams met once already this season, with historical data showing closely contested matches. Last season they played twice, maintaining a competitive rivalry. No team has dominated decisively in recent meetings, suggesting a balanced matchup.
- No specific injury information was found for either squad prior to this match, implying squads are likely near full strength.
- The game is held at Saputo Stadium, a home venue for Montréal with expected good crowd support, possibly influencing the game atmosphere. Weather or extreme external conditions were not indicated.
- CF Montréal is motivated to improve their league position at home, while Atlanta United looks to continue their slightly better form and gain points on the road. Both teams have incentive to perform after middling league results.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Atlanta United FC: 189, CF Montreal: 129, Draw: 260 | CF Montreal win | ★★★☆☆ 62% |
| Spread | Atlanta United FC +50: -164, CF Montreal -0.5: 123 | CF Montreal -0.5 (win by at least 1 goal) | ★★★☆☆ 58% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: -167, Under 2.5: 126 | Under 2.5 goals | ★★★☆☆ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | CF Montreal 26% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Under 2.5 36% |
🔥 Best Value Pick: Under 2.5 at 36% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 28.3% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given the slight home advantage and current form, the prediction is a narrow win for CF Montréal, though a draw is also plausible due to the evenly matched squads and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides.
Predicted Score: 1-0