Match Analysis: New England Revolution vs Nashville SC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, USA
Game Overview
The match between New England Revolution and Nashville SC is a pivotal MLS encounter with Nashville SC currently enjoying a strong run of form, carrying a nine-game unbeaten streak in the league and an 11-game unbeaten streak in all competitions. Nashville is placed 3rd in the Eastern Conference and 5th overall in MLS with a potent offense that has already netted 32 goals in the season, close to the league's best. New England Revolution is hosting the game at Gillette Stadium, trying to capitalize on their home advantage. Previous meetings show a competitive history with New England unbeaten at home against Nashville in recent times.
Key Factors to Consider
- Nashville SC is in excellent form with 9-4-5 overall and unbeaten in their last nine league matches (5-0-4), scoring prolifically with 32 goals midway through the season. New England Revolution is ranked 11th and will rely on home advantage, but their recent form is less impressive compared to Nashville's surge.
- Historically, New England leads slightly with 3 wins, 2 losses, and 5 draws against Nashville. At Gillette Stadium, New England is unbeaten against Nashville with 2 wins and 3 draws. Their last home meeting ended 1-0 in favor of New England.
- No explicit injury information is provided for either side, suggesting both teams may have their key players available for this fixture.
- The match is played at Gillette Stadium, a familiar venue for New England, which could bolster their performance. Nashvilleβs recent success includes strong road results, going 2-0-2 in their last four away games, indicating they handle travel well. The close scheduling for New England with another home game three days later might affect their stamina.
- Nashville SC is motivated to maintain their unbeaten streak and consolidate their high MLS standing. New England Revolution looks to turn around their league position with a strong home result, making motivation levels high on both sides.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Nashville SC: 1.35, New England Revolution: 1.9, Draw: 2.55 | Nashville SC | β β β β β 75% |
| Spread | Nashville SC -0.25: 1.05, New England Revolution +25: 1.25 | Nashville SC -0.25 | β β β β β 70% |
| Over/under | Over 2.5: 1.2, Under 2.5: 1 | Over 2.5 goals | β β β ββ 65% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | New England Revolution 6% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 10% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 2.5 at 10% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 12% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Given Nashville SC's exceptional current form, strong attacking output, and undefeated run in recent matches, they are slight favorites despite playing away. However, New England's unbeaten home record against Nashville and home advantage suggests a close contest, likely resulting in a narrow victory for Nashville or a draw.
Predicted Score: 1-2