Match Analysis: Columbus Crew SC vs Atlanta United FC – Prediction
Match Details
- Date: 2025-06-25
- Time: 11:30 PM UTC
- Location: Columbus Crew SC Home Stadium
Game Overview
This MLS match features Columbus Crew SC hosting Atlanta United FC. Historically, both teams have been competitive with Columbus slightly ahead in wins. The matchup promises an open game given the average goals per match of over three in their encounters, suggesting offensive opportunities on both sides.
Key Factors to Consider
- Columbus Crew has won 3 and drawn 2 of their last 5 matches, scoring 1.6 goals and conceding 2.4 per match. Atlanta United FC has won 4 and lost 1 of their last 5, scoring 1.4 goals and conceding 2.2 per match. Columbusβ form shows defensive vulnerabilities, while Atlantaβs higher win rate and recent offensive output indicate some momentum.
- In 23 matches since 2017, Columbus won 12 games, Atlanta 7, and 4 draws. Average goals per match in this fixture is roughly 3.2 with Columbus averaging 1.7 goals per game and Atlanta 1.3. The teams have a balanced recent H2H record with no dominant trend.
- No specific injury data available from current search results for this match. Potential impact unknown.
- The match is played at Columbus Crewβs home ground, which may offer them some advantage. No other external factors such as weather or travel disruptions are noted.
- Both teams likely motivated to gain important points mid-season in MLS standings. Columbus as hosts will want to leverage home advantage, while Atlanta looks to continue their positive recent form.
Odds and Predictions
| Category | Odds | Prediction | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC: -155, Atlanta United FC: 380, Draw: 320 | Columbus Crew SC | β β β β β 70% |
| Spread | Columbus Crew SC: -0.75 -122, Atlanta United FC: +75 102 | Columbus Crew SC -0.75 | β β β ββ 65% |
| Over/under | Over 3 goals: -125, Under 3 goals: +105 | Over 3 goals | β β β ββ 60% |
Top EV Betting Odds
Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.
| Market | EV Pick |
|---|---|
| Moneyline | Columbus Crew SC -5% |
| Spread | N/A |
| Over/Under | Over 3 -1% |
π₯ Best Value Pick: Over 3 at -1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 0% (Kelly Criterion)
Predicted Outcome
Columbus Crew SC to win a close, moderately high scoring match given home advantage and better historical record. Expect competitive play with goals from both sides but Columbus edging the result.
Predicted Score: 2-1