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Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Boston Red Sox vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-18
  • Time: 5:35 PM UTC
  • Location: Fenway Park, Boston

Game Overview

The Atlanta Braves (23-22) visit the Boston Red Sox (22-24) at Fenway Park for a closely matched MLB encounter. Braves are slightly ahead in standings and coming off a recent win, while the Red Sox have won 2 of their last 4 games but are on a 4-game losing streak prior. Starting pitchers are Spencer Schwellenbach for the Braves and Brayan Bello for the Red Sox, with solid but moderate season performances. The game has balanced odds with Braves favored slightly, and betting lines reflect a competitive matchup.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Atlanta holds a 23-22 record with an 8-15 away record and a 4-6 record in last 10 games. Boston has a 22-24 record, is 6-4 at home but 4-6 over last 10 games. Braves have recent momentum from a 4-2 win on May 16. Starting pitcher Schwellenbach owns a 2-3 record with 3.31 ERA, while Bello is 2-0 with a 2.33 ERA, indicating a pitching edge for Boston.
  • Both teams are very evenly matched this season given their similar records. No recent head-to-head dominance is indicated, suggesting a competitive fixture with home field advantage potentially playing a role.
  • No significant injury updates provided affecting starting pitchers or key players for either side, indicating both teams likely field close to full strength.
  • Game is at Fenway Park, a hitter-friendly park, with an over/under line set at 9 runs, suggesting expectations of moderate to potentially higher scoring. Weather and other external conditions are not reported to have a major impact.
  • Both teams are close to .500 and in mid-standings of their divisions, motivating them to gain ground with a divisional game. Braves coming off a win adds confidence, while Red Sox playing at home look for momentum shift following recent losses.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: -130, Boston Red Sox: 110 Atlanta Braves to win β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Atlanta Braves -1.5: 130, Boston Red Sox +1.5: -156 Atlanta Braves -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 55%
Over/under Over 9: -112, Under 9: -108 Under 9 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -8%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 9 16%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 9 at 16% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 16.8% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the slightly better recent form of Atlanta Braves and their narrow favoritism in moneyline odds, combined with stronger starting pitching metrics from Brayan Bello for Boston, this match is expected to be tight and competitive. However, the Braves' edge in away resilience and Boston's home advantage balance out. Prediction favors a narrow win for Atlanta Braves with moderate confidence.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 4 – 3 Boston Red Sox


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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 18, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 18, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals Prediction Under 8 100 16%
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Under 9 -108 16%
Cincinnati Reds vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction Cincinnati Reds -130 15%

Combined Odds: +581 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $136.3

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 12, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 12, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Atlanta Braves vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Under 8.5 100 20%
Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees Prediction New York Yankees -136 17%
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angels Prediction Under 7 100 16%

Combined Odds: +594 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $138.82

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Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-11
  • Time: 5:35 PM UTC
  • Location: PNC Park, Pittsburgh, PA

Game Overview

This MLB matchup features the Pittsburgh Pirates hosting the Atlanta Braves at PNC Park. The Braves are favorites with a strong recent win over the Pirates in an 11-inning game on May 10, 2025, at the same venue. The Pirates outhit the Braves 9-5 but still lost 3-2, indicating a close and competitive matchup between the two teams.

Key Factors to Consider

  • The Atlanta Braves are currently favored and have demonstrated resilience by winning an extra-inning game despite fewer hits. The Pirates have shown strong hitting capability but have struggled to capitalize fully on opportunities. The Braves have power hitters like Matt Olson who recently hit a home run and drove in runs, while the Pirates had excellent performances from Joey Bart going 4-for-4 with an RBI.
  • The previous game on May 10 resulted in a narrow 3-2 Braves victory in 11 innings at PNC Park. This closely contested game suggests a balanced rivalry but with a slight edge to the Braves given recent results.
  • No major injury information is available for either team at this time, implying both squads will likely be at or near full strength for this game.
  • The game is played at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, which might give the Pirates slight home-field advantage. Weather conditions on game day appear favorable with no reported disruptions.
  • The Pirates, coming off a tough extra-inning loss, will be motivated to rebound at home. The Braves, looking to continue their winning momentum on the road, will aim to assert dominance early to avoid another close finish.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Atlanta Braves: -212, Pittsburgh Pirates: 190 Atlanta Braves β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75%
Spread Atlanta Braves: -1.5 -130, Pittsburgh Pirates: +1.5 110 Atlanta Braves -1.5 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Over/under Over 8.5: 100, Under 8.5: -120 Under 8.5 runs β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Atlanta Braves -3%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Under 8.5 1%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Under 8.5 at 1% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 1% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Given the Braves' favored status, recent victory, and stronger odds, they are predicted to win again, though the Pirates' strong hitting suggests a competitive game.

Predicted Score: Atlanta Braves 4 – 2 Pittsburgh Pirates


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – May 11, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -212 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 75% (75%)
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction San Diego Padres Win -295 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)
Houston Astros vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Houston Astros -1.5 140 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜† 70% (70%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +373

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $94.59

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Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 10, 2025 Daily Parlay

Top EV Parlay for Baseball – May 10, 2025

Game Pick Odds EV
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Atlanta Braves Prediction Atlanta Braves -142 28%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Over 9 -115 22%
Colorado Rockies vs. San Diego Padres Prediction Over 11.5 -105 21%

Combined Odds: +522 |
Wager: $20Β β€”
Potential Payout: $124.41

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Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction MLB in Baseball

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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – May 6, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds Prediction Atlanta Braves Win -215 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. New York Mets Prediction Under 9 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60% (60%)
Colorado Rockies vs. Detroit Tigers Prediction Over 9.5 -112 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60% (60%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +425

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $104.99

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Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction MLB in Baseball

Match Analysis: Atlanta Braves vs Los Angeles Dodgers – Prediction

Match Details

  • Date: 2025-05-04
  • Time: 11:10 PM UTC
  • Location: Truist Park (implied from Braves being home team in search results)

Game Overview

The Los Angeles Dodgers recently dominated the Braves 10-3 on May 3, 2025[1][2], suggesting strong offensive form. The Braves are playing back-to-back home games, while the Dodgers aim to continue their momentum.

Key Factors to Consider

  • Dodgers demonstrated superior run production (10 runs) and likely strong pitching in their May 3 victory[1]. Braves' 3-run output indicates potential offensive struggles.
  • Recent result favors Dodgers decisively (10-3)[1][2], though May 4 lineup adjustments could alter dynamics.
  • No injury updates available from provided data – critical factor needing live verification.
  • None specified in available data, though fatigue management may affect bullpen usage after high-scoring game.
  • Braves seek redemption after heavy home loss; Dodgers aim to solidify dominance.

Odds and Predictions

Category Odds Prediction Confidence
Moneyline Braves +136 | Dodgers -150 Dodgers ML (-150) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65%
Spread Braves +1.5 (-125) | Dodgers -1.5 (+105) Dodgers -1.5 (+105) 55% (caution advised given baseball's inherent variance)
Over/under Over 9 (-120) | Under 9 (+100) Over 9 (-120) β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 60%

Top EV Betting Odds

Discover the best value bets based on our EV analysis.

Market EV Pick
Moneyline Los Angeles Dodgers 42%
Spread N/A
Over/Under Over 9 6%

πŸ”₯ Best Value Pick: Los Angeles Dodgers at 42% EV | Suggested Bet Size: 30.6% (Kelly Criterion)

Predicted Outcome

Lean Dodgers moneyline (-150) given recent offensive explosion and pitching staff's ability to limit Braves' lineup[1][5], though home-field rebound potential exists.

Predicted Score: Dodgers 6-4 Braves (Over 9 hits)


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3 Pick Parlay for Baseball – May 3, 2025 Daily Parlay

3 Pick Daily Parlay

Game Pick Odds (American) Confidence
Atlanta Braves vs. Los Angeles Dodgers Prediction Under 8.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Chicago Cubs Prediction Under 8.5 -115 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. Washington Nationals Prediction Cincinnati Reds Win -180 β˜…β˜…β˜…β˜†β˜† 65% (65%)

Parlay Odds Calculation

Combined American Odds: +444

Wager: $20 β€” Potential Payout: $108.74

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